Position by position: The Lions places on the line this weekend
It is not just Wales who go into this weekend of the Guinness Six Nations with a lot to play for as there are British and Irish Lions places available.
Warren Gatland has been one of the few spectators at many of the matches this year, and he would have seen players burst into his list of contenders, while others may have fallen out of contention.
But for Wales, England and Ireland, this is the final weekend of Test rugby before the Lions squad is announced, while Scotland have another match with France soon, which could actually be the most defining for the Scottish hopefuls.
So these are the players that need big weekends:
LOOSEHEAD PROP: Assuming there are three loosehead prop spaces up for grabs, Mako Vunipola and Wyn Jones look to be winning the race for two of the spots. A solid display against the French pack in the loose and in the scrum would surely secure a place for the Welshman. That leaves Rory Sutherland and Ellis Genge as two of the frontrunners for the final space.
HOOKER: Jamie George, Ken Owens and Luke Cowan-Dickie are the favourites to take the potential three hooker berths and it will take an almighty effort elsewhere to change that.
TIGHTHEAD PROP: Kyle Sinckler and Tadhg Furlong look to be shoo-ins for this summer. Tomas Francis’s chance depends on his performance against France, which is the same next week for Zander Fagerson. That could be the determining factor for those two, although Andrew Porter will be hoping for a strong performance from the bench against England.
SECOND ROW: One department that will cause Gatland a headache. Alun Wyn Jones, Maro Itoje and James Ryan seem secure, which means there could be two more spaces.
Tadhg Beirne and Iain Henderson can make a statement this weekend in Ryan’s absence, and a strong performance against England upfront could tip it for them. Beirne has been a standout this Championship and his ability to cover No6 is a huge boon.
The clash at the Aviva Stadium could be pivotal in swaying Gatland, which makes the absence of Jonny Gray and Scott Cummings against Italy all the more damaging for their chances.
OPENSIDE FLANKER: This has been a Championship of openside flankers, with Hamish Watson, Tom Curry and Justin Tipuric performing at superhuman levels. Gatland will not want to take too many No7s, particularly against an imposing Springboks pack, but it would be very unfortunate if one of these three does not get picked.
Given Tipuric’s history with Gatland and Curry’s growing influence on England, Watson may be third on this list, but the Englishman’s ability to cover No6 may mean all three go.
Now that Sam Underhill has returned from injury, he will exert some pressure while playing for Bath, meaning any slipup for these No7s could be damaging.
BLINDSIDE FLANKER: It’s hard to know how many specialist No6s will be picked this year given the ability of Itoje and Beirne to move into the back row, on top of No8s shifting to the flank.
The two leading candidates to go currently are Josh Navidi, who could all but seal his place if he fronts up against a bruising French pack, and Jamie Ritchie, who has the opportunity to do the same in the postponed fixture (although he is a slightly different player to Navidi).
Peter O’Mahony on his return from suspension will need to pull out all the stops against England in order to force his way into the reckoning given the competition on offer.
No8: Taulupe Faletau seems guaranteed to be selected this summer based on his form and relationship with Gatland. There may be one more space for a specialist No8, and should Billy Vunipola continue his resurgence in form, he may take it. Though it is do or die for the Englishman, as he will have little or no rugby to influence Gatland after the Six Nations with Saracens in the second tier in England. He did not look up to scratch at the beginning of February but looked to be nearing his best against France.
CJ Stander will surely play like half-man, half-beast for the remaining months of his career, and starting at No6 against England shows his versatility across the back row. Scotland’s Matt Fagerson is equally comfortable on the flank, but is probably fourth in the pecking order.
Sam Simmonds is applying pressure from Exeter, the latter two in particular need big weekends.
SCRUM-HALF: A position where nothing is set in stone with plenty of players in contention for what could be three places. Ben Youngs will want another impressive display this weekend, particularly against his long time rival Conor Murray, who is in even greater need of a big performance after struggling for form.
Gareth Davies could lay down a marker against Antoine Dupont when starting ahead of Tomos Williams, while Ali Price will need to bounce back after a tough time against Ireland.
FLY-HALF: Owen Farrell, Finn Russell and Dan Biggar are the frontrunners to land the three fly-half spots, but that does not mean Jonathan Sexton and George Ford cannot make a statement in Dublin, particularly with Farrell as an option at centre. It is likely that the winning fly-half could take a major step towards a Lions spot.
CENTRE: Eliot Daly’s switch to outside centre this weekend could be the boost he needs after falling down the pecking order in the back three. He, like George North at No13, can prove his versatility and help his chances, possibly at the expense of his injured teammate Henry Slade.
Elsewhere, Bundee Aki has one chance to impress with Garry Ringrose injured, as his physicality in the midfield is always desirable, although Ringrose and Robbie Henshaw are probably ahead of him amongst Irish players.
Jonathan Davies could take a big step to his third tour with a commanding performance in Paris, particularly in his less favoured role at inside centre. Davies and Ringrose are possibly the only nailed on selections, and with Manu Tuilagi returning soon, this is a huge week for centres.
WING / FULLBACK: It is hard to know how many spaces in the back three will be up for grabs with players being picked as centres or not. But Stuart Hogg and Liam Williams are all but certainly picked, as are Josh Adams and Jonny May. Louis-Rees Zammit has bulldozed his way into contention this year and Anthony Watson’s form is picking up at the right time.
That leaves very few spaces left, if any. Duhan van der Merwe will need huge performances against Italy and France to catch Gatland’s eye. The Irish back three will also need something monumental, although there is a chance for the returning Jacob Stockdale should he capture his form of 2018.
Did anyone else spot this? https://t.co/hVM99MmDgA
— RugbyPass (@RugbyPass) March 19, 2021
Comments on RugbyPass
Jake White is a brilliant coach and a master in the press. This is another masterclass in media relations and PR but its also a very narrow view with arguments that dont always hold water. White wants his team to win, he wants the best players in SA and wants his team competitive. You however have to face up to the reality of a poor exchange rate and big clubs with big budgets. SA Rugby cant compete and unless it can find more money SA players will keep leaving regardless of Springbok eligibility and this happened in 2015 - 2017. Also rugby is not cricket. Cricket has 3 formats and T20 cricket is where the money is at. When it comes to club vs country the IPL is king but that wont happen because the international calendar does not clash with the club calendar in rugby. So the argument about rugby going down the same path as cricket is really a non-starter
11 Go to commentsNZ rugby seem not to have learnt anything from professional rugby. Super rugby was dying and SA left before they died with the competition. SA rugby did a u turn on their approach to international players playing overseas and such players are now selected for Bok teams. As much as each country would love to retain their players playing in local competitions, this is the way the world is evolving my friends. Move with it or stay 20 years behind the times. One more thing. NZ rugby hierarchy think they are the big cheese. Take a more humble approach guys. You do not seem to have your players best interests at heart.
3 Go to commentsBeaches? In Cardiff? Where?
1 Go to commentsHe is right , the Crusaders will be a threat. Scott Barrett, ( particularly), Fergus Burke , Codie Taylor, ( from sabbatical) etc due back soon for the Crusaders. There are others like Zach Gallagher too. People can right the Crusaders off, Top 8 , here we come !!
1 Go to commentsWe will always struggle for money to match the other sides but the least the WRU can do is invest properly in Welsh rugby. Too much has been squandered on vanity projects like the hotel and roof walk amongst others which will never see a massive return. Hanging the 4 pro sides out to dry over the last decade is now coming back to bite the WRU financially as well as on the pitch. You reap what you sow.
1 Go to commentsWhat do you get if you cross a doctor with a fish? A plastic sturgeon
14 Go to commentsWhat happened to feleti Kaitu’u? Hasnt played in a while right?
1 Go to commentsGregor I just can’t agree with you. You are trying to find something that just isn’t there. Jordie Barrett has signed until 2028. By the end of that he would have spent probably 11-12 years on Super Rugby and you say he can’t possibly have one season playing somewhere else. It is absurd. What about this scenario, the NZR play hard ball and he decides to leave and play overseas. How would that affect the competition. There seems to be an agenda by certain journalists to push certain agendas and don’t like it when it’s not to their liking. I fully support the NZR on this. Gregor needs to get a life.
3 Go to commentsHope he stays as believe he can do a great job.
1 Go to commentsMake what step up? Manie has a World Cup winner’s medal around his neck and changed the way the Springboks can play. He doesn’t have anything to prove to anyone. The win record of the Boks with him in the team is tremendous. Sacha can be wonderful and I hope he has a very succesful Bok career, but comparing him to Manie in terms of the next Bok flyhalf is very strange. Manie is the incumbent (not the next) and doing pretty incredibly.
1 Go to comments00 😍 U
1 Go to commentsSabbaticals have helped keep NZ’s very best talent in the country on long term deals - this fact has been left out of this article. Much like the articles calling to allow overseas players to be selected, yet can only name one player currently not signed to NZR who would be selected for the ABs. And in the entire history of NZ players leaving to play overseas, literally only 4 or 5 have left in their prime as current ABs. (Piatau, Evans, Hayman, Mo’unga,?) Yes Carter got an injury while playing in France 16 years ago, but he also got a tournament ending injury at the 2011 World Cup while taking mid-week practice kicks at goal. Maybe Jordie gets a season-ending injury while playing in Ireland, maybe he gets one next week against the Brumbies. NZR have many shortcomings, but keeping the very best players in the country and/or available for ABs selection is not one of them. Likewise for workload management - players missing 2 games out of 14 is hardly a big deal in the grand scheme of things. Again let’s use some facts - did it stop the Crusaders winning SR so many times consecutively when during any given week they would be missing 2 of their best players? The whole idea of the sabbatical is to reward your best players who are willing to sign very long term deals with some time to do whatever they want. They are not handed out willy-nilly, and at nowhere near the levels that would somehow devalue Super Rugby. In this particular example JB is locked in with NZR for what will probably (hopefully) be the best years of his career, hard to imagine him not sticking around for a couple more after for a Lions tour and one more world cup. He has the potential to become the most capped AB of all time. A much better outcome than him leaving NZ for a minimum of 3 years at the age of 27, unlikely to ever play for the ABs again, which would be the likely alternative.
3 Go to commentsJake White talks more sense than anything I've read in the last 5 years. Hope someone's listening.
11 Go to commentsThe Springboks tried going down the road of only picking home-based players and it was an unmitigated disaster in 2016 and 2017. Picking overseas-based players has been one of the main reason the Boks have done so well since 2018, not only because of the quality Rassie could call on, but because of the knowledge and experience those players brought into camp from England, France and Japan. With some of the big names playing abroad it also gave younger players in SA the chance to break through at franchise level. Would we have seen the emergence of a Ruan Nortje if RG and Lood were still at the Bulls? Not so sure. I understand why Jake would want to block players leaving since his job depends on good results but it’s an approach that would take Bok rugby back to the bad old days and no South African wants to see that.
11 Go to commentsExeter were thumped by 38 points. And they only had to hop on a train.
39 Go to commentsI am De Groot.
1 Go to commentsHad hoped you might write an article on this game, Nick. It’s a good one. Things have not gone as smoothly for ROG since beating Leinster last year at the Aviva in the CC final. LAR had the Top 14 Final won till Raymond Rhule missed a simple tackle on the excellent Ntamack, and Toulouse reaped the rewards of just staying in the fight till the death. Then the disruption of the RWC this season. LAR have not handled that well, but they were not alone, and we saw Pau heading the Top 14 table at one stage early season. I would think one of the reasons for the poor showing would have to be that the younger players coming through, and the more mature amongst the group outside the top 25/30, are not as strong as would be hoped for. I note that Romain Sazy retired at the end of last season. He had been with LAR since 2010, and was thus one of their foundation players when they were promoted to Top 14. Records show he ended up with 336 games played with LAR. That is some experience, some rock in the team. He has been replaced for the most part by Ultan Dillane. At 30, Dillane is not young, but given the chances, he may be a fair enough replacement for Sazy. But that won’be for more than a few years. I honestly know little of the pathways into the LAR setup from within France. I did read somewhere a couple of years ago that on the way up to Top 14, the club very successfully picked up players from the academies of other French teams who were not offered places by those teams. These guys were often great signings…can’t find the article right now, so can’t name any….but the Tadgh Beirne type players. So all in all, it will be interesting to see where the replacements for all the older players come from. Only Lleyd’s and Rhule from SA currently, both backs. So maybe a few SA forwards ?? By contrast, Leinster have a pretty clear line of good players coming through in the majority of positions. Props maybe a weak spot ? And they are very fleet footed and shrewd in appointing very good coaches. Or maybe it is also true that very good coaches do very well in the Leinster setup. So, Nick, I would fully concurr that “On the evidence of Saturday’s semi-final between the two clubs, the rebuild in the Bay of Biscay is going to take longer than it is on the east coast of Ireland”
11 Go to commentsWhat was the excuse for the other knockout blowouts then? Does the result not prove the Saints were just so much better? Wise call to put your eggs in one basket when you’ve got 2 comps simultaneously finishing.
39 Go to commentsReally hope Kuruvoli and his partner rock the Canes.
1 Go to commentsI wonder what impact Samson has had on their attack, as the team seems less prone to trundle it up the middle, take the tackle and then trundle it up again. I lost faith in the coach last year as the Rebelss looked like a 2nd/3rd rate South African team. I also disliked Gordon standing back, often ignored as the forward battle went on and on. Maybe its our Aussie way of not getting off our A***’s until the enemy is at the gate.
86 Go to comments