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The four All Blacks at risk of not making the cut in 2026

Leroy Carter of New Zealand breaks from Tom Roebuck of England during the Quilter Nations Series 2025 rugby international match between England and New Zealand at Allianz Stadium on November 15, 2025 in London, England. (Photo by Shaun Botterill/Getty Images)
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As Super Rugby Pacific veers towards the business end of the competition, a number of uncapped rookies have put their hands up to be selected.

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Inevitably, there will be new squad members, meaning there will be incumbents under pressure to retain their places when the 34-player squad is announced for the Nations Championship.

With a whole new regime coming in with a new selection staff, including former coach Graham Henry, there is probably more pressure than before on those who are yet to be established All Blacks.

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Here are the candidates under the most pressure to retain their black jersey in 2026.

Leroy Carter (Chiefs)

The Chiefs wing and All Blacks Sevens flyer enjoyed a breakout 2025 season in his first year of Super Rugby Pacific. He formed a prolific wing combination with Emoni Narawa for the Chiefs, with both rewarded with All Blacks starts.

Carter reached the top five in statistical categories for tries, defenders beaten, and top 10 in metres carried as he was arguably the form wing in the competition. That form led to an All Black selection, where he started on debut in Wellington against the Springboks. He scored a try and played well as an individual on a horror night for the All Blacks.

In 2026 Carter has been a jigsaw piece for the Chiefs of sorts, moving to 13 to cover the midfield for two games and switching from the left to right wing frequently. He’s bagged four tries while coming up with five try assists. It hasn’t been a bad year by any means, but the wing position has become hypercompetitive.

In the 34-player squad, you’d expect five outside backs selected. The Highlanders’ Caleb Tangitau is the form winger in the competition and surely will be picked. The return of Leicester Fainga’anuku also complicates Carter’s position. Rennie has indicated he sees Fainga’anuku as a wing who can play in the loose forwards, and that versatility adds weight to his inclusion. Will Jordan covers fullback and the right wing. Caleb Clarke is back to some of his best form.

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Fehi Fineangonofo is still eligible this year, despite having a deal offshore for 2027. History says they won’t pick him, but maybe they decide to intentionally cap him to convince him to come back, given he is just 23.

It’s crowded out wide, and as the incumbent, Carter is under pressure to retain his place even with Sevu Reece departing.

Simon Parker (Chiefs)

A bolter pick last season, the 25-year-old filled the problematic blindside role for the All Blacks, winning selection over Chiefs teammate Samipeni Finau.

He was rewarded with a new three-year deal by NZR, but Parker is already under pressure to retain his place in the loose forwards. When names are tossed up for in-form loose forwards in 2026, Parker’s has been absent.

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In his favour is that Hurricanes blindside flanker Devan Flanders is headed overseas, a man tipped to be a bolter this year. Peter Lakai and Du’Plessis Kirifi are still vying for selection, while ex-Hurricane Ardie Savea is a sure selection.

Blues duo Hoskins Sotutu and Dalton Papalii are headed overseas, and while neither was in the mix last year, the new coaches may have opened the door for Papalii to return had he not broken his jaw. Also at the Blues, support for Anton Segner is gaining traction, while wildcard picks are Torian Barnes and Malachi Wrampling-Alec.

The Crusaders, who had no selections in the loose forwards on the end-of-year tour in 2025, have at least two who can play blindside.

One of the form No.6s in New Zealand is Ethan Blackadder, who brings more versatility than Parker. Young Dom Gardiner is also a standout who is increasing his chances as a bolter lately.

Between Segner, Blackadder and Gardiner, Parker could get squeezed.

Billy Proctor (Hurricanes)

Centre is the problematic position for the All Blacks with no real locked-in candidate. Proctor is a good selection and deserving on his attacking form, but he has flaws that have been exposed a lot in defence this season.

At international level he cannot keep making reads in defence that see his channel breached. If it happens at Super Rugby level often, it will happen in Test matches.

The All Blacks shouldn’t give up on Proctor yet, but the fact that Quinn Tupaea was moved to 13 last year and excelled is a bad sign for him. Tupaea is a genuine option for 13 again.

As previously detailed, the best option for the All Blacks is returning Blues centre Rieko Ioane from Leinster.

The Barrett-Ioane midfield has proven to be successful and was dismantled by Robertson without cause in 2025. With a change in coaching staff, Ioane could be back in the 13 jersey.

The dark horse is veteran All Black Anton Lienert-Brown, who is currently playing under Rennie on sabbatical at the table-topping Kobelco Kobe Steelers in Japan. This gives Lienert-Brown an advantage, having also played for many years under Rennie at the Chiefs. He’s got the runs on the board, has all the experience, and is currently doing a job for the coach.

Proctor should still be in the mix, but he could be the third-string centre on the depth chart in 2026.

Finlay Christie (Blues)

Christie was a hero at Eden Park last year against the Springboks in what was his finest performance in the black jersey. But it cannot be denied that the Blues’ halfback was already battling to retain his place last year.

Injuries to Cam Roigard and Noah Hotham saw Christie called up frequently, along with debutant Kyle Preston from the Crusaders, as the All Blacks battled a crisis in the No.9 jersey.

Hotham is back in form for the Crusaders and arguably the No.2 option on form behind Cam Roigard. With Cortez Ratima another young option with more dynamism, Christie may get squeezed (until injury strikes again).

While Xavier Roe has put Ratima on the bench for the Chiefs, Sam Nock is also getting more starts for the Blues, forcing Christie to a bench role.

The smokey pick is Adam Lennox of the Highlanders, who has pushed two-cap All Black Folau Fakatava to the bench. Lennox has pace and a great running game, which adds an extra dimension.

There is a lot of pressure on Christie to force his way in as one of the three All Black halfbacks.

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126 Comments
T
The Answer 30 days ago

Out of the four, Parker probably has the most upside, but he hasn’t done this Super season enough to earn a starting spot. Realistically, all of these positions are still up for grabs. I’d roll with Aride, Lakai and Kirifi. Blackadder, if healthy, and Parker off the bench.


I’d bring Rieko back. Jordie’s role at the Hurricanes has evolved, and he now looks far more focused on creating opportunities for the centre outside him. Under Foster and Razor, Jordie was too often used as a straight-line battering ram, which achieved little beyond compressing the field and limiting everyone outside him.


Rennie will likely want a more expansive attacking shape. If Jordie can draw defenders and put Rieko into space, Rieko’s pace through the middle will seriously stretch opposing backlines, and that is exactly where you want line breaks to happen. It would make the All Blacks' backline a much more dangerous and difficult proposition to defend against.

f
frandinand 32 days ago

After just being blindsided by Lester's comments about BB I now read this drivel from Ben Smith. The Barrett Ioane midfield has proven to be successful. When. Where.

These two articles by NZ journalists just reinforce the fact that the standard of NZ journalism is abysmal.

Can't Rugby Pass find someone to write about NZ Rugby who actually knows something about the game and doesn't have a bias towards anyone who wears a Blues Jersey.

f
fk 33 days ago

You lost me completely peddling a Barret/Ioane midfield reunion. Are you kidding? If anything epitomised Razor’s tenure it was the failed midfield.

B
Blackmania 33 days ago

Tangitau’s knee injury, likely a serious one, changes the picture for the back three.


Such a shame — we’re losing our fastest winger, and probably one of the fastest in the world. Oh well…


I think Henry is going to have a lot of influence… and we know he was a fan of a 14/15 pairing with fullback-type profiles. This could be a chance for Ratumaitavuki-Kneepkens, or possibly for Fihaki. A Clarke/JRK/Jordan back three?


Neil Barnes knows JRK’s abilities well…

K
KwAussie 33 days ago

Reiko has had is dash and proven time after time that despite being a fantastic wing and a great one on one defence he just can’t play centre where he has to create space for the back three and read the game to set the defence. I see he is playing wing for Leicester and not 13 so he should not be considered as 13 for the ABs, especially not based on the failures he demonstrated while playing there.

T
The Economist 33 days ago

I can’t see any way Carter and Proctor don’t get picked. The former plays for the Chiefs, which means an immediate leg-up, plus the wing options aren’t great. The latter has been very good and must be ahead of Ioane and ALB every day of the week (and twice on Sundays), although ALB of course gets the Chiefs tick.


Christie may get a reprieve simply because the other halfback options, Roigard excluded, aren’t great. Parker (and Finau) should definitely be gone, but being Chiefs probably won’t be.

M
MM 33 days ago

Got it in for the Chiefs perchance??

M
MP 33 days ago

Billy has been the shoot up man for the Hurricanes rush defence. Very unfair to say that he has been “exposed” when doing his job extremely well. The flip side of this “exposing” is that he has been completely neutralising the outside channels of other teams by closing shut their passing lanes.

There is a reason the Hurricanes are leagues ahead in defence, only 199 points against, next closest is 50! points more than that.

Under a different defending regime he might not be instructed to do that role.

If anything he has shown that he is versatile in defence and excels under different defending regimes given this isn’t his usual defending style.

J
JW 33 days ago

Inevitably, there will be new squad members, meaning there will be incumbents under pressure to retain their places when the 34-player squad is announced for the Nations Championship

I thought we were moving on from this outdated thinking?


No one is under pressure because all will find themselves on the outer at some point. Want we want is a strong competition of 50+ players through the year, especially of the core 44 going to South Africa, where there is literally nothing between them.


The idea that the All Blacks are so narrow, that the talent has been funneled through to a small group that have been selected to push forward further as All Blacks should be left in the past, there is just far too much talent to stick to the same group again and again.

M
MikeM 33 days ago

100% agree

B
Bazzallina 33 days ago

Chur to that JW

C
CG 34 days ago

Send all the old stages to safferland and take the L.

Roigard Jordan Savare Holland etc would all be targeted for a maiming

It would destroy any World Cup hopes

T
TT 34 days ago

Based on CURRENT PERFORMANCEs there is ZERO reason to have a 'Barrett' in the ABs. No, nothing against the Barretts; a PAST fan. Thanks for your service, but,


* B.Barrett? LONG past prime.


* S.Barrett? Quote Penney, 'available but' not even good enough for Crusaders'!! POST long rest period!!


* J.Barrett? Zero impact.


The similar cases of Ioane, Reece were clear in data years ago but only belatedly dealt with.

J
JW 33 days ago

Scooter would be the best 6 in the country for my mind, just needs to be given a shot like Leicester.

m
malakhabaddon 34 days ago

Ioane and Carter will be out, Ioane because he had enough time to prove himself, Carter because his position is well covered, and as a newbie, should he get picked, Tangitau appears to be a better alround player then Carter. And Carter was shown up when it mattered most for him.


Procter may have a chance, what are the chances of seeing a few tests in 2026 with 4 wellingtonian inside backs🤷 and Parker may get pipped at the post as well. Would be keen to see Blackadder return.


I think Scott Barrett should be used as a spare tyre, for me the history of 3 Barrett brothers in the all blacks together has to many bad memories.


Most all those players made their array of mistakes through 2024/25, under Razors bad mismanagement skills, 2026 will be very exciting. If they drop 2 tests for the season, preferbly not both of them to SA, thats a great sign, their alround error rates in 2025 were there worse I can remember, I wander if it was a record? And they still miraculously pulled off 10 out of 13 tests.

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