Breaking Down The Breakdown: Why New Laws Being Trialled In New Zealand Aren't Working
The new breakdown laws currently being trialled in New Zealand’s Mitre 10 Cup have found little favour with World Rugby’s law committee, according to sources close to the latest meeting. Scotty Stevenson assesses their impact on the numbers after six weeks of competition.
First trialled in club rugby competitions earlier this year, new breakdown law interpretations led by New Zealand coaches and referees were originally met with general positivity from stakeholders in the game. Its supporters pointed to an increased number of tries and a less congested breakdown area, not to mention the mitigation of contact injuries.
However, the new laws, which were designed to prevent players leaving their feet when contesting for possession, and to give referees a clearer picture of the ruck, were discussed at the meeting and given a resounding thumbs down, mirroring the view of most fans of the domestic championship in New Zealand.
Opponents of the changes believe the laws have gone too far, removing the contest at the ruck (a fundamental part of the game of rugby union, the only footballing code in which the ball remains in play on the ground) and rendering obsolete the core role of the specialist open side flanker whose job has always been to make turnover plays.
This last point is significant, for while it could be argued that the laws have led to a faster game due to a reluctance on the part of defenders to seal off the ball, it cannot be argued that the quality of breakdown ball, and therefore the game, has improved. Nor can it be argued that there has been a significant upswing in tries scored.
After six weeks this year, the Mitre 10 Cup has produced 305 tries in total. However, if we look back at the same stage of the competition last year, teams had combined for 293 tries in total. An increase of 2 tries per week across a 14-team competition is hardly grounds for wild celebration.
In terms of making the game easier for the referee, it may well be argued that the opposite is true. Ideologically, referees have been advised to be particularly harsh on any player who leaves his feet at the breakdown. Because of this there has been a significant increase in the number of offensive penalties conceded due to what coaches refer to as “zero rucks”, where the defending team commits no one but the tackler (who must roll away, or bounce back to his feet and re-enter the breakdown from behind the ball) to the breakdown area, and the attacking player, with no one to push against simply falls over.
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Despite that player invariably having no material impact on the phase, referees have penalised as a matter of course. When questioned about this, one experienced referee had this to say:
“Hardly any referee is putting any context around the decision. The infringement should have to prevent a contest otherwise it should not be called.”
Though tries have increased (negligibly) under the new laws, penalties have also increased. So far this year 901 penalties have been awarded across the competition with 541, or 60%, of those whistled at the breakdown.
At the same stage of the provincial championship last year, 856 penalties had been awarded. What is most interesting though is that 522 of those penalties were whistled at the breakdown, therefore the percentage of breakdown penalties has remained EXACTLY the same, at 60%.
While the trial laws appear to have had no real bearing on the number of tries scored, or the percentage of breakdown tries awarded, they certainly have had a material impact on the ability for teams to contest possession.
As mentioned, the laws have fundamentally shifted the role of the turnover specialist and have therefore curtailed the ability for defending teams to win turnover ball.
So far this season there have been 283 breakdown turnovers made. That is down from 375 breakdown turnovers made at the same stage last year, a reduction of 24.5%. That is a staggering number considering the importance of turnover plays in counterattack opportunities – one of the key weapons of New Zealand’s premier team, the All Blacks.
The picture for the individual sides is even more depressing. Last year Auckland had made 45 breakdown turnovers at this stage of the season on the back of players such as Mitch Karpik, an out-and-out ball hunter. This year, without Karpik and without the imperative to select a player in his mould, they have managed just 20 – a 55% reduction in their count.
Just five teams – Manawatu, North Harbour, Northland, Waikato and Wellington have improved their turnover rate under the new laws. Interestingly, those teams made up five of the worst six turnover teams at the same stage in 2016. More interestingly, Taranaki, whose coach Colin Cooper helped spearhead the law changes, has made the second fewest breakdown turnovers so far this season.
Here is the full comparison list of breakdown turnovers by team after six weeks in 2015 and 2016.
Given the cold reception to the new laws from World Rugby last week, it looks as if they will not make it past the trial stage. They have not led to a sudden surge in tries (although Week 6 did produce the most of any round this year, with 62), they have not led to a clearer picture for the referee, given penalty percentages have remained static, and they have led to a significant reduction in turnover ball, which goes against the spirit of the game.
There is some discussion of a simplified law variation that would still permit a contest, while removing the exiting loophole that allows the tackler to bounce back to his/her feet and make a turnover without having to first get behind the line of the ball. Unlike the current variations, that law will mean the open side flanker is no longer an endangered species. And we can go back to having a game that we (mostly) understand.
All numbers supplied by Paul Neazor at ThreeNRugby
Comments on RugbyPass
If rugby wants to remain interesting in the AI era then it will need to work on changing the rules. AI will reduce the tactical advantage of smart game plans, will neutralize primary attacking weapons, and will move rugby from a being a game of inches to a game of millimetres. It will be about sheer athleticism and technique,about avoiding mistakes, and about referees. Many fans will find that boring. The answer is to add creative degrees of freedom to the game. The 50-22 is an example. But we can have fun inventing others, like the right to add more players for X minutes per game, or the equivalent of the 2-point conversion in American football, the ability to call a 12-player scrum, etc. Not saying these are great ideas, but making the point that the more of these alternatives you allow, the less AI will be able to lock down high-probability strategies. This is not because AI does not have the compute power, but because it has more choices and has less data, or less-specific data. That will take time and debate, but big, positive and immediate impact could be in the area of ref/TMO assistance. The technology is easily good enough today to detect forward passes, not-straight lineouts, offside at breakdown/scrum/lineout, obstruction, early/late tackles, and a lot of other things. WR should be ultra aggressive in doing this, as it will really help in an area in which the game is really struggling. In the long run there needs to be substantial creativity applied to the rules. Without that AI (along with all of the pro innovations) will turn rugby into a bash fest.
24 Go to commentsSouth Africa rarely play Ireland and France on these tours. Mostly, England, Scotland and Wales. I wonder why
1 Go to commentsIt was a let’s-see-what-you're-made-of type of a game. The Bulls do look good when the opposition allows them to, but Munster shut them down, and they could not find a way through. Jake should be very worried about their chances in the competition.
2 Go to commentsHats off to Fabian for a very impressive journey to date. Is it as ‘uniquely unlikely’ as Rugby Pass suggests, given Anton Segner’s journey at the Blues?
1 Go to commentsSad that this was not confirmed. When administrators talk about expanding the game they evidently don’t include pathways to the top tier of rugby for teams outside of the old boys club. Rugby deserves better, and certainly Georgia does.
1 Go to commentsLions might take him on if they move on Van Rooyen but I doubt he will want to go back, might consider it a step backwards for himself. Sharks would take him on but if Plumtree goes on to win the challenge cup they will keep him on. Also sharks showing some promising signs recently. Stormers and Bulls are stable and Springboks are already filled up. Quality coach though, interesting to see where he ends up
1 Go to commentsAnd the person responsible for creating a culture of accountability is?
3 Go to commentsMore useless words from Ben Smith -Please get another team to write about. SA really dont need your input, it suck anyway.
264 Go to commentsThis disgraceful episode must result in management and coach team sackings. A new manager with worse results than previous and the coaching staff need to coached. Awful massacre led by donkeys.
1 Go to commentsInteresting article with one glaring mistake. This sentence: “And between the top four nations right now, Ireland, France, South Africa, and New Zealand…” should read: And between the top four nations right now, South Africa, Ireland, New Zealand and France…”. Get it right wistful thinkers, its not that hard.
24 Go to commentsHow did Penny get the gig anyway?
3 Go to commentsNice write up Nick and I would have agreed a week ago. However as you would know Cale & co got absolutely monstered by the Blues back row of Sotutu, Ioane and Papaliti and not all of these 3 are guaranteed a start in the Black jumper. He may need to put some kgs before stepping up, Spring tour? After the week end Joe will be a bit more restless. Will need to pick a mobile tough pack for Wales and hope England does the right thing and bashes the ABs. I like your last paragraph but I would bring Swinton, Hannigan into the 6 role and Bobby V to 8
23 Go to commentsThe Crusaders can still get in to the Play Off’s. The imminent return of outstanding captain Scott Barrett and his All Black team mate Codie Taylor will be a big boost.There are others like Tamaiti Williams too. Two home games coming up. Fellow Crusader fans get there and support these guys. I will be.
1 Go to commentsCant get more Wellington than Proctor.
2 Go to commentsWhy not let the media decide. Like how they choose the head coach. Like most of us we entrust the rugby system to choose. A rugby team includes the coaches. It's collective.
14 Go to commentsHi NIck, I have been very impressed with him and he seems a smart player who can see opportunities which Bobby V _(who must be an international 6_) doesn’t see or have the speed to take advantage of. If he continues to improve and puts on 5kgs then he could be a great 8. He is a bit taller than Keiran Reid at 1.93m and 111 kgs, so his skill set fits his body size and who knows where it will lead. I hope the spate of Achilles tendon issues have been dealt with by the S&C people. It’s been a very long time since Mark Loane and Kefu stood out at 8. The question is will we be able to hold onto him, if he does make it he will be pretty hot property. I disagree with the idea of letting them go to the Northern Hemisphere and then bring them back.
23 Go to commentsBilly Fulton 🤣🤣🤣🤣 garrrmon not even close
14 Go to commentsDoes the AI take into account refs? hahaha Seriously why not have two on field refs to avoid bias?
24 Go to commentsVern challenging this Blues side might be the edge they need to fulfill their potential. Convincing results from strong D and strong carries are hard to argue against.
1 Go to commentsLove seems to add a strong back field defense with speed to close the gap and tackle to his ability to attack, kick and pass (an accurate long pass). This sets him an edge over some of the other names - JRK in particular. Has to be said that Jordan and Stevenson have also been exposed defensively while Love has yet to face test match intensity. Spoilt for choice.
1 Go to comments