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'Squeaky moments' casting doubt over Scott Barrett's Crusaders return

Scott Barrett of New Zealand look on in disappointment after The Rugby Championship match between New Zealand All Blacks and South Africa Springboks at Sky Stadium on September 13, 2025 in Wellington, New Zealand. (Photo by Hagen Hopkins/Getty Images)
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A non-playing sabbatical isn’t the only thing keeping All Blacks captain Scott Barrett on the sidelines in 2026, with Crusaders head coach Rob Penney revealing concerns over the lock’s physical readiness to return to rugby.

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Barrett opted for a break from rugby activities, rather than a stint in Japan or Ireland as his brothers had done, when the sabbatical period in his New Zealand Rugby contract came around this year.

The 32-year-old took the opportunity to go under the knife and address some lingering lower leg issues, with his recovery appearing on track when returning to training ahead of Super Round late last month.

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However, Crusaders head coach Rob Penney revealed on Wednesday that Barrett’s return hasn’t gone as smoothly as he and the club would have hoped. Penney noted that Barrett had “got through” his surgery rehab, but it was “other parts” that were the cause of concern.

A firm date was never given for Barrett’s return, but now it appears he is not on track to return after the Crusaders’ bye next week, following which just two rounds of action remain before the playoffs start.

“Probably not,” Penney responded when asked about a return following the bye.

“Again, we’re taking that one week at a time, but he’s just struggling to get to where he wants to be as he gets his body right.

“I talked about it about a month ago… as his intensity ramps up, was his body going to be able to cope with that, and it just has got a couple of squeaky moments that he needs to work his way through, so we’ll see when he’s back.”

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The Crusaders will likely need to claim some more wins over their final three games of the season, but with the second-place Blues, third-place Chiefs, and first-place Hurricanes all coming to Te Kaha over the coming month, the need for the Crusaders’ top talent is pressing.

Will Jordan has been out since a round 8 win over the Fijian Drua but is expected back after the bye, as is Taha Kemara, and potentially Chay Fihaki and Cullen Grace.

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Beyond the Super Rugby season, what form Barrett’s contributions to the All Blacks could take under Dave Rennie has been a talking point, with the captaincy unconfirmed and selection among a handful of talented young locks highly contested.

“I’ve seen enough of Scott Barrett to know he will be picked. I’ve seen some pretty good form over 12 years, he will be there,” ex-All Black James Parsons said on the Aotearoa Rugby Pod.

“It’s very rare you’ve seen him have a dip in form. I know everyone got into him, it’s no different to when Sam Cane became captain. Everyone piles in.

“But when you look at the output, and you do an analysis of what he still did, captaincy or not. Results dictate people’s opinion quite a lot in this country, and rightly so, they’re not experts, that’s fine… but in my opinion, you pick him every week.”

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cnw 2 hours ago
Rugby's Greatest Rivalry - The stats showcase South Africa's lethal adaptability

I think the issue is much more simple than this. As you know I did not buy into the narrative that Razor was an incompetant coach. I saw real development in terms of clinical structured play. For me the players were struggling with the regimentation needed to play Black Crusader rugby and it imploded in Wellington. London however was an unfortunate confluence of injuries to our key play makers - Roigard and BB - and another brain explosion by Taylor. The failure also to develop a 6-2 bench compounded an energy deficit in the second half. DR threw out the Black Crusader regimentation in favour of his Chiefs, Glasgow and Steelers formula. It has sparked an attacking prowess we have not seen for years - but it has come at the expense of the type of structured % play that Razor was building and brought with it a high error rate. When faced with a well oiled machine like the Boks, who have been fine tuning their systems for several years, the inevitable lack of coherency is exposed. And if we reflect on the losses to Boks on this tour, we can pinpoint “moments” in the game where the Boks systems overwhelmed the ABs. So, one of the key issues with the GVF analysis is that it underestimates the signficance of context of the games and thus overestimates the real difference between the coaches and the players.

Ps to put some stats around this, I have analysed the performance efficiency of the Boks and the ABs for all the NC and GR games. This is based on an aggregate of point per pass / carry and tackle. The AB average is 4.7 and never got higher than 5.8 while the Boks averaged at 6.7 and maxed out at 8.2 in Baltimore. This supports a strong inference that the Boks systems are just inherently more efficient at this time while the ABs are still coming to grips with their new systems. It is not coincidental that the Boks lost with their lowest performance ratio for the tour at 6.4.



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