World Cup finalists England dominate potential British and Irish Lions XV for 2021
As an injury-plagued Wales side battled valiantly to a narrow semi-final loss to South Africa, head coach Warren Gatland’s attentions won’t have solely been on the performance of his team.
The Kiwi is set to take charge of the British and Irish Lions once again in 2021, as he bids to right the wrongs of 2009 and secure a series victory over South Africa. As such, the varying performances of Wales’ fellow home nations will have been of particular interest to Gatland, as would have been the state of the Springboks.
England have flown high and are preparing for the fourth World Cup final in their history. Ireland will have been disappointed with the manner of their quarter-final exit, while Scotland will have done nothing to boost their chances of an increased representation in two years thanks to their early departure from Japan.
Weighing up current form, age in two seasons’ time and Gatland’s traditional selection tendencies, RugbyPass take a look at what a British and Irish Lions XV might look like in 19 months when the storied tourists make their trip to South Africa.
- Liam Williams (Wales)
The Welshman is currently the standout full-back in the northern hemisphere. He is in a strong position at club level with Saracens to continue enjoying success and is a player that Gatland obviously appreciates. Who knows how the World Cup semi-final may have panned out had Williams not been sidelined by injury?
Elliot Daly and Stuart Hogg obviously come into the equation, too, although Gatland has previously preferred the former as a wing. As for Hogg, his form has dipped a little of late and he will be looking to return to his own loftier standards at new club Exeter Chiefs. Ireland’s Joey Carbery could be in the conversation if utilised at full-back moving forward.
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- Anthony Watson (England)
Watson was a key part of Gatland’s Test XV in New Zealand two years ago and nothing at this World Cup would make you think that role is going to change in 2021. His security in the air, decision-making in defence and ability to make the first one or two tacklers miss in attack have all helped propel England to the final.
Gatland will have no shortage of wing options to call upon come 2021, as Jacob Stockdale and Joe Cokanasiga have both announced themselves at the senior level and shown the power they can bring to the mix. George North, who will still only be 29 at the time of the tour, is another power option and one who has Gatland’s admiration, while Darcy Graham offers a contrasting and elusive threat.
- Manu Tuilagi (England)
Touch wood, Tuilagi’s injury woes seem to be behind him and he is rapidly showing the rugby world what it has been missing out on for the last five or six years during his absence. He will be 30 in 2021 and providing he hasn’t lost his speed or incisive instincts, he currently looks like the pick of Gatland’s options at outside centre.
Tuilagi’s England colleagues Jonathan Joseph and Henry Slade could both be in the mix, as could Ireland’s Garry Ringrose. Owen Watkin is a player whose role is growing with Wales and would add another power carrying option, while Ollie Lawrence could put himself on the radar this season.
- Owen Farrell (England)
Moving Farrell to 12 and playing him outside of Jonny Sexton was one of the major swings in momentum in New Zealand two years ago. He continues to impress in that role for England and barring a shortage of fly-halves in 2021, it could be the position he mans once again for the Lions, potentially even as captain.
Bundee Aki represents a different sort of threat, while Gatland is well acquainted with the talents boasted by Robbie Henshaw and Hadleigh Parkes. Two young guns to keep an eye could be Cameron Redpath and Tiaan Thomas-Wheeler, both of whom could throw their hats into the mix with a solid season or two.
- Jordan Larmour (Ireland)
The incisive Irishman didn’t have the most dominant World Cup, but he is a gifted player whose star promises to rise higher in the coming years. Like Watson, he offers the top-end speed and elusiveness that is coveted and it would not be surprising to see him catch up with the veteran wing defensively and in the air over the next season or two.
England’s array of wing options continue to stand out and both Jonny May and Jack Nowell could tour, as could Josh Adams, another man that Gatland knows well from his time with Wales. One wildcard could be James Lowe, with the Kiwi set to qualify for Ireland on residency next year.
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- Gareth Anscombe (Wales)
Unfortunately, Anscombe’s World Cup was wiped out before it began thanks to an injury in the warm-up games. He had added another dimension to Wales over the last season or two and the prospect of him and Farrell working in tandem is an exciting one. Crucially, he is a player that Gatland trusts.
George Ford has probably been the pick of the fly-halves at the World Cup, although he wasn’t a man that Gatland seemed too enamoured with back in 2017. The same description could also be extended to Finn Russell, opening the door for Dan Biggar to come in alongside his Wales team-mate. Don’t rule out Marcus Smith, either.
- Gareth Davies (Wales)
Keeping together the Welsh half-backs certainly wouldn’t hinder the Lions in their bid for chemistry and Davies, at 31 in 2021, should still have some tread left on the tyres. That said, scrum-half is going to be a position of considerable transition among at least three of the four nations, so there is plenty of scope for this one to pan out quite differently.
Ben Youngs and Conor Murray would offer veteran options and have both been there and done it for Gatland, while Ali Price’s career trajectory is ascending currently. This position has all the hallmarks for a fast-rising youngster, such as Scotland’s Jamie Dobie, to make a charge at a spot in the touring squad, if not the starting XV.
- Mako Vunipola (England)
Does anyone look ready to displace the ultra-versatile loosehead? He offers so much in so many different areas that it’s hard to see someone jumping ahead of him over the next year and a half. He may look the grizzled veteran, but at 28 years of age, he definitely has another Lions tour in him and probably another World Cup.
Ellis Genge and Rhys Carre may offer the stiffest competition if both continue to improve at their current rate of knots. Age may well have caught up with Cian Healy by that point in time and Joe Marler’s international future is up in the air, with the loosehead having come out of Test retirement for this World Cup.
- Jamie George (England)
This is a fairly straightforward pick on current form. George has shown himself to be one of the most consistent set-piece hookers in the game and his involvements in the loose, from rucking to carries in the wide channels, are extremely influential for England. Alongside Vunipola, George would give Gatland a front row very capable of outworking their Springbok opposite numbers.
Stuart McInally should be one of the Scots really pressing for selection, while Niall Scannell will likely have a season and a half of work for Munster and Ireland to stake his case. Luke Cowan-Dickie’s claim won’t be helped if he is still sitting behind George in England’s pecking order, and young Wasps tyro Alfie Barbeary is an interesting wildcard.
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- Kyle Sinckler (England)
Tighthead prop looks to be an area of particular strength for the Lions and no one is currently playing at the same level as Sinckler. His scrummaging has come on leaps and bounds since he toured New Zealand in 2017 and he arguably holds the accolade of the best playmaking prop in the international game. He has done what seemed unthinkable in 2017 and that is not only close the gap on Tadhg Furlong, but catch him.
The Irishman should, of course, be on the plane. He could be joined by Scotland’s Zander Fagerson, who is WP Nel’s natural successor. Andrew Porter will likely be in the mix, although that could also be at loosehead should Ireland and Leinster opt to move him back to his original position as a number of the nation’s looseheads move deeper into their 30s.
- Maro Itoje (England)
He doesn’t wear the captain’s armband for England, but he is every bit the leader by example that Farrell is. If the southern hemisphere were still to be won over by Itoje’s game-changing ability, that has surely been remedied at this World Cup with the lock already being heavily talked up as a potential World Rugby player of the year award winner later this year.
Adam Beard and Iain Henderson both have strong claims at a position that looks to be even more competitive than it was in 2017 and that is saying something. Joe Launchbury missed out then and could do so again in 2021 although he remains a considerable option. The younger Saracens locks of Nick Isiekwe and Joel Kpoku will be putting down their own markers.
- James Ryan (Ireland)
One of Ireland’s better performers over the last few weeks and someone who is in the mix to captain their side following Rory Best’s retirement. His combination with Itoje is one that everyone would be excited to see as he would bring his carrying ability to bear alongside Itoje’s defensive work at the lineout and contact area. On paper, it gels nicely.
Alun Wyn Jones will be 35 at the time of the tour. Too old to feature? No. Too old to start the Tests? It’s impossible to rule out, but with two such promising talents as Itoje and Ryan there, it’s hard to see. Courtney Lawes is another player who Gatland seems to admire, while George Kruis and Jonny Gray would be more than reliable options.
- Tom Curry (England)
This is a harder pick than Curry’s sublime recent form suggests. As one half of the ‘Kamikaze Twins’, he has shone for England in their mobile pack. That said, it is not a tactic that Gatland has always opted for in his own teams and there are a number of other candidates who might prosper slightly more in the traditional blindside role.
Ireland’s Peter O’Mahony has another tour in him and was briefly given the captaincy two years ago in New Zealand. Wales’ Aaron Wainwright hasn’t been far off Curry at this World Cup and has Gatland’s favour, while Ross Moriarty is another to have the support of the Kiwi. In a heavier pack, budding back rowers Ted Hill and Alex Dombrandt could also come into their own.
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- Sam Underhill (England)
Having gone for Curry at six, we have to complete the flanks with the selection of Underhill. He has been the form openside at the World Cup and if he and Curry both perform against South Africa in next Saturday’s final, that is only going to make them more appealing to Gatland in 2021. You don’t mess with a winning formula.
If Dan Leavy can get back to full fitness after his horror run of injuries, he would be a candidate to run Underhill all the way for the spot, as could Jamie Ritchie, who was one of the bright spots for Scotland out in Japan. Lewis Ludlam offers versatility, while Justin Tipuric is not done just yet and is the epitome of a player that Gatland rates and trusts.
- Billy Vunipola (England)
Vunipola has had a solid World Cup without reaching his full ability, but given the current state of No 8s in the northern hemisphere, he looks to be the clear choice to take on the Springboks. He missed his Lions opportunity two years ago due to withdrawing himself from the squad and opting for surgery to correct an injury.
Similar to Leavy, if Taulupe Faletau can get himself back to his best, he could be in the mix to take this spot, while Josh Navidi could feature somewhere in the back row. Jack Conan and CJ Stander are candidates from Ireland, but Caelan Doris could yet surpass them both if the youngster is given a sustained run at international level.
WATCH: England’s Billy Vunipola talks to the media ahead of the World Cup final
Comments on RugbyPass
“But with an exceptional pass accuracy rating “ Which apart from Roigard is not a feature of any of the other 9s in NZ. Kind of basic for a Black 9 dont.you. think? Yet we keep seeing FC and TJ being rated ahead of him? Weird if it’s seen as vital to get our backline beating in your face defences.
1 Go to commentsThanks BeeMc! Looks like many teams need extra time to settle from the quadrennial northern migration. I think generally the quality of the Rugby has held up. Fiji has been fantastic and fun to watch
13 Go to commentsLets compare apples with apples. Lyon sent weak team the week before, but nobody raised an eyebrow. Give the South African teams a few years to build their depth, then you will be moaning that the teams are too strong.
41 Go to commentsDid footballs agents also perform the scout role at some time? I’m surprised more high profile players haven’t taken up the occupation, great way to remain in the game and use all that experience without really requiring a lot of specific expertise?
1 Go to commentsSuper rugby is struggling but that has little to do with sabbaticals. 1. Too many teams from Aust and NZ - should be 3 and 4 respectively, add in 2 from Japan, 1 possibly 2 from Argentina. 2. Inconsistent and poor refereeing, admittedly not restricted to Super rugby. Only one team was reffed at the breakdown in Reds v H’Landers match. Scrum penalty awarded in Canes v Drua when No 8 had the ball in the open with little defence nearby - ideal opportunity to play advantage. Coming back to Reds match - same scrum situation but ref played advantage - Landers made 10 yards and were penalised at the breakdown when the ref should have returned to scrum penalty. 3. Marketing is weak and losing ground to AFL and NRL. Playing 2 days compared with 4. 4. Scheduling is unattractive to family attendance. Have any franchises heard of Sundays 2pm?
11 Go to commentsAbsolutely..all they need is a chance in yhe playoffs and I bet all the other teams will be nervous…THEY KNOW HOW TO WIN IM THE PLAYOFFS..
2 Go to commentsI really hope he comes back and helps out with some coaching.
1 Go to commentsI think we are all just hoping that the Olympic 7s doesn’t suffer the same sad fate as the last RWC with the officials ruining the spectacle.
1 Go to commentsPersonally, I’ve lost the will to even be bothered about the RFU, the structure, the participants. It’s all a sham. I now simply enjoy getting a group of friends together to go and watch a few games a year in different locations (including Europe, the championship, etc). I feel extremely sorry for the real fans of these clubs who are constantly ignored by the RFU and other administrators. I feel especially sorry for the fans of clubs in the Championship who have had considerable central funding stripped away and are then expected to just take whatever the RFU put to them. Its all a sham, especially if the failed clubs are allowed to return.
9 Go to commentsI’m guessing Carl Hayman would have preferred to have stayed in NZ with benefit of hindsight. Up north there is the expectation to play twice as many games with far less ‘player management’ protocols that Paul is now criticising. Less playing through concussions means longer, healthier, careers. Carter used as the eg here by Paul, his sabbatical allowed him to play until age 37. OK its not an exact science but there is far more expectations on players who sign for Top 14 or Engl Prem clubs to get value for the huge salaries. NZR get alot wrong but keeping their best players in NZ rugby is not one of them. SA clubs are virtually devoid of their top players now, no thanks. They cant threaten the big teams in the Champions Cup, the squads have little depth. Cant see Canes/Chiefs struggling. Super has been great this year, fantastic high skill matches. Drua a fantastic addition and Jaguares will add another quality team eventually. Aus teams performing strongly and no doubt will benefit with the incentive of a Lions tour and a home RWC. Let Jordie enjoy his time with Leinster, it will allow the opportunity for another player to emerge at Canes in his absence.
11 Go to commentsLove that man, his way to despise angry little men is so funny ! 😂
4 Go to comments“South African franchises would be powerhouses if we had all our overseas based players back in situ. We would have the same unbeatable aura the Toulouses, Leinsters or Saracens of this world have had over the last decade or so.” Proof that Jake white does not understand the economics of the game in SA. Players earning abroad are not going to simply come back and represent the bulls. But they might if they have a springbok contract.
22 Go to commentsA lot of fans just joined in for the fun of it! We all admire O'Gara and what he has done for La Rochelle
4 Go to commentsThe RFU will find a way to mess this up as usual. My bet is there will be no promotion into the the Premiership, only relegation into National League One. Hopefully they won’t parachute failed clubs into the league at the expense of clubs who have battled for promotion.
9 Go to commentsWell that’s the contracts for RG and Jordie bought and paid for. Now, what are the chances we can persuade Antoine to hop over with all the extra dosh we’ll have from living at the Aviva & Croke next season…??? 🤑🤑🤑
35 Go to commentsWow, that’s incredible. Great for rugby.
35 Go to commentsYou probably read that parling is going to coach the wallaby lineout but if not before now you have.
17 Go to commentsIf someone like Leo Cullen was in O’Gara’s place I don’t hear Boo-ing. It’s not just that La Rochelle has hurt Leinster and O’Gara is their Irish boss. It’s the needle that he brings and the pantomime activity before the game around pretending that Munster were supporting LaRochelle just because O’Gara is from Cork. That’s dividing Irish provinces just to get an advantage for his French Team. He can F*ck right off with that. BOOOOO! (but not while someone is lying injured)
4 Go to commentsDid the highlanders party too hard before the game? They were the pits.
1 Go to commentsWhat a player! Not long until he’s in the England side, surely?
5 Go to comments