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The stats hinting Aki is a timely addition to blunt Lions midfield

By Liam Heagney
(Photo by Ian Rutherford/Sportsfile via Getty Images)

An indication about the worrying bluntness of the Lions attack in their Test series versus the Springboks is evident in the revolving door regarding their midfield partnerships as Robbie Henshaw heads into Saturday’s third Test decider lining out in a third different centre combination, this time with Bundee Aki. 

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The Lions have managed just a single try in 160 minutes of Test rugby against the South Africans, that score coming from Luke Cowan-Dickie off a lineout drive near the line, and attack coach Gregor Townsend has just one final chance to make his supposed creative blueprint click.

The Scotland boss came in for criticism in the wake of last weekend’s depressing second-half fade-out, the Lions surrendering a three-point interval lead to lose by 18 points after they were held scoreless in the second half. Warren Gatland reacted by making six changes to his starting line-up, with midfield again an area that has been tinkered with.

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Gregor Townsend talks about the Lions attack

Video Spacer

Gregor Townsend talks about the Lions attack

Henshaw was paired with Elliot Daly in the first Test, Chris Harris in the second and he will now take the field in the third alongside Aki, an inclusion that has resulted in Henshaw switching out one channel to outside centre to accommodate his fellow Irish international. Harris had no luck in his 62-minute appearance, statistics on the Lions website stating he made zero metres off three carries and made just two passes. This followed Daly’s similarly abortive run in the No13 jersey the previous week, his six carries registering zero metres while he also managed just a single pass. 

This bluntness had now left the Lions placing their faith in Aki taking over the No12 role and allowing Henshaw to have a go in the 13 channel after making a total of 56 metres off 13 carries in his two Test appearances at inside centre where he also threw nine passes. When Aki last played for the Lions, Harris was at outside centre against South Africa A and the Scot enjoyed a 26-metre gain off eight carries, making seven passes and beating three defenders.

Also, the only time the Aki-Henshaw partnership was previously used on the tour, Henshaw was a try-scorer versus Japan, making 16 metres off eight carries at No13 as well as putting in five passes and offloading twice. It suggests that Aki at No12 might just be the necessary foil to enable Henshaw to thrive at outside centre in a manner that was beyond Daly and Harris when they started versus the Springboks at No13. “It featured a lot in our selection discussions in the first and second Tests that Bundee had been playing well, had played well in the Japan and South Africa A games,” admitted Townsend.

“He has that connection with Robbie who hadn’t played that much following his injury on tour. We looked at how we felt the game would go, what we wanted to do in our game and that was the reason for the selections in the first and second Test, but now Bundee and Robbie get that chance to play together and you can already tell their communication on and off the field, they have got a really good understanding. Bundee has been waiting for the opportunity. He brings his own strengths but he connects really well with Robbie so they will enjoy the fact they are getting this chance to play for the Lions together.”

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Flankly 3 hours ago
The AI advantage: How the next two Rugby World Cups will be won

If rugby wants to remain interesting in the AI era then it will need to work on changing the rules. AI will reduce the tactical advantage of smart game plans, will neutralize primary attacking weapons, and will move rugby from a being a game of inches to a game of millimetres. It will be about sheer athleticism and technique,about avoiding mistakes, and about referees. Many fans will find that boring. The answer is to add creative degrees of freedom to the game. The 50-22 is an example. But we can have fun inventing others, like the right to add more players for X minutes per game, or the equivalent of the 2-point conversion in American football, the ability to call a 12-player scrum, etc. Not saying these are great ideas, but making the point that the more of these alternatives you allow, the less AI will be able to lock down high-probability strategies. This is not because AI does not have the compute power, but because it has more choices and has less data, or less-specific data. That will take time and debate, but big, positive and immediate impact could be in the area of ref/TMO assistance. The technology is easily good enough today to detect forward passes, not-straight lineouts, offside at breakdown/scrum/lineout, obstruction, early/late tackles, and a lot of other things. WR should be ultra aggressive in doing this, as it will really help in an area in which the game is really struggling. In the long run there needs to be substantial creativity applied to the rules. Without that AI (along with all of the pro innovations) will turn rugby into a bash fest.

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