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'That's South Africa stuff': The stats that depict Dave Rennie's coaching style


EDINBURGH, SCOTLAND - OCTOBER 29: Dave Rennie, Head Coach of Australia, looks on prior to kick off of the Autumn International match between Scotland and Australia at Murrayfield Stadium on October 29, 2022 in Edinburgh, Scotland. (Photo by Mark Runnacles/Getty Images)
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The next chapter of All Blacks rugby will be written by Dave Rennie, and while fans will have to wait until July to get their first taste of what that means for not just New Zealand but the other international heavyweights, there are some statistics that highlight his coaching philosophies.

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The 62-year-old has won three U20 world championships and two Super Rugby titles, and has since progressed to coach the Wallabies and the Kobe Steelers. Across each of the professional outfits he’s been involved with, a clear priority has been evident.

Former All Black James Parsons broke down the numbers on the Aotearoa Rugby Pod this week, highlighting Rennie’s strength as a coach and his unrelenting commitment to what he sees as the winning formula.

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“Dave Rennie is all about the breakdown, both sides of the ball,” Parsons started. “So, when the penalty count is high, and both of them (Rennie and Jamie Joseph) have pretty low averages, but I’d say Dave Rennie’s a little bit (inconsistent). Rennie is coaching teams; obviously, he’s not giving the penalties away.

“When I say he’s all about the breakdown, they get a high turnover count at the breakdown, and a high penalty count. Because when they get it wrong, they get pinged off the park, and it looks like, based on the stats, that you’re told, ‘Just keep going’, rather than leaving it and trying to work with the ref.

“And then, when they get it right, their turnover count is through the roof.

“So, defensively, all about the breakdown. Attacking-wise, all about the breadkwown. Low offloads, low turnover count; ‘I’m going through you’ is Dave Rennie’s (attitude).

“You think about the Chiefs, and I know because I had Tom Coventry coach me at North Harbour, and I was always in awe of those two years with the Chiefs, just the way they played, and he said they have this thing called ‘napalm’, and that’s how they cleaned rucks: you carry, and I’m going to get rid of everyone else.

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“It was brutal; there was that brutality. And it’s no different wherever he’s (Rennie) gone; Australia, same thing. Dave Rennie, statistically, you’re not going away from it. Even when you’re being penalised, he’s saying, ‘Rip straight back in there.’

“That leads to the next point: his average gain-line (success rate) is nearly 70 per cent. That’s over 15 games. That is ridiculous. And then, his dominant carry is just under 40 per cent. Again, over 15 games. That’s South Africa stuff.

“The low turnover count, to me, just says ball-carrier, cleaner, and we’re going to tighten the defence, and then we’re going. We’re going to take that space, whether it’s by a kick or run.”

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Jez Nez 227 days ago

Really happy for Rennie. Was always a fan and was furious over McLennan’s decision to end his contract early - and that was before finding out how bad the return of Eddie would be.


He was a big loss to the Wallabies.


Am stoked he gets a go for what will have always been his dream role.

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LouisJ 16 minutes ago
Wallabies player ratings vs New Zealand | Bledisloe Cup II 2026

I agree with a lot of what you are saying 2Cents. The forwards are too stationary and I think they are playing too many phases, hitting the ball up with nearly no gain, this also causes fatigue because they are wrestling to try make some post contact metres. They need to hit the ball at pace, which Bell did well during the later stages of the game. The All Blacks also did well to niggle enough to keep Lonergen from getting the ball out quick but the wallabies allowed the AB’s to niggle because they weren’t clearing effectively and sometimes not at all. That’s where Tom Hooper and Tupou are missed. Communication in the midfield was lacking but it’s hard to blame 2 guys that have never really played together. I still maintain that Su needs to be left on the wing as I don’t believe his defence is up to scratch in the midfield. I think they might have been better off playing Daugunu and Henry in the midfield and Su on the wing. Hopefully Henry can have some better performances with Ikitau or Paisami inside. Having Carter, Paisami, Ikitau, Jake Gordon, Hooper and Tupou back, will make a big difference, it is just a fact. There is definitely a lack of depth in the back for Wallabies, it was positive to see Meredith step up and HMP looked good as well in the limited time he had. Jorgo had a pretty average game today but he doesn’t usually have more than one average game at a time, he made a few mistakes but he has been one of our best for a number of games since last year so I think he deserves to be forgiven. Harry Wilson was also not as ruthless as he was last week, I agree, but the All Blacks did well containing him a bit more today. I think the Wallabies were better today and I think they will step up in the Nations Championship. Kiss is moving in the right direction with the boys. Most importantly I believe they need to get their mental game sorted, then the need to get their defence structured and organised. I think the run of 12, now 13 losses in a row against the AB’s have a massive psychological effect on the guys and they so badly want to win that they are pushing passes, making wrong decisions and making mistakes as a result. I believe they have the skills to be great.

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LouisJ 1 hour ago
All Blacks player ratings vs Australia | Bledisloe Cup II 2026

I agree with a lot of what you are saying. I also think the ratings are atleast 1 point to high across the board. Loose forwards look solid and there is certainly depth in that department. Front row is not bulletproof, there isn’t that much depth and the wallabies stood up very well in the scrum. I don’t think there is that much depth at lock either, I think Barret and Holland is a solid combination. I don’t think Tavatavanawai will be able to handle the likes of the Springboks or the French, and even the English, Irish and Scotts will run circles around him. Tavatavanawai will have a hard time against guys like Minocello and Chocobares as well. Jordy and Quin is a massive loss and Billy Proctor is missed as backup. DMAC played very well against the wallabies because of their terrible defence and the massive amount of space they gave him, but he will be far less effective against defensive structures like the springboks and France even probably Ireland and Scotland. I hope the Kiwi supporters stop whinging about Beauden Barret now, he just showed once again that he is still a very dangerous player. One thing that has to be said, is that Roigard is pure class. They only thing I don’t like is his whingin to the ref and TV dives, he had a couple of whinges again today, I hope he can drop that from his game because otherwise he is pure class. I reckon there were some positives form the Wallabies performance today, but they would have been far more dangerous if they had Carter Gordon, Ikitau, Paisami, Hooper and Tupou in their 23 and if they can have a more solid backup at 9, like Jake Gordon they will look much better against the All Blacks.

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