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'You won't be able to pick the top six' Former All Black excited about new season of Super Rugby

Waratahs' Siosifa Amone (C) celebrates his successful try with teammates during the Round 1 Super Rugby Pacific match between the New South Wales Waratahs and Otago Highlanders at Allianz Stadium in Sydney on February 14, 2025. (Photo by David GRAY / AFP)

There’s only been one round of Super Rugby Pacific in 2025, but three former All Blacks are predicting that this season will be the closest in recent memory.

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Three Australian-based Super Rugby teams were able to pick up round one victories, showcasing what will likely be better seasons for the Australian franchises, after the Melbourne Rebels players have split into multiple different squads this season.

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All five games in round one were decided by a 1-12 margin, with many of the games coming down to the last moments to decide the winner.

Speaking on The Breakdown, former All Black turned Sky Sports commentator Jeff Wilson predicts this Super Rugby Pacific season will exceed expectations set at the start of the season.

“Pure and simple. This will be the closest Super Rugby competition we’ve had for a long, long time, and I can tell you why, because everyone, bar, I think the Hurricanes, who I think can perform to what they did last year. I think everyone else can be better,” Wilson said on The Breakdown.

Ultimately coaches have had more opportunities and are in their second year, for the likes of Rob Penney, Vern Cotter, Clark Laidlaw, they’ll be better at doing their job.

“Jamie Joseph taking the helm down in Dunedin and you think about all of the Australian teams and the stock that has moved around, the fact that all of a sudden they’ve got some depth.”

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Wilson also believes that Ardie Savea moving to Moana Pasifika has majorly improved Tana Umaga’s side.

“And we know Artie Savea has already made a big difference to Moana Pasifika”.

When asked whether the two 2024 Super Rugby finalists the Chiefs and the Blues can improve on last year’s season, Wilson is adamant the experience will only make both teams better for the 2025 campaign.

“Just through experience, understanding the fact you can evolve. But I think coaches will understand where they need to make improvements, and you’ll have to be better, because across the ditch, three wins already for the three Australian teams.

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“The Brumbies had a win. The Western Force have had a win and the Waratahs have had a win.”

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“They’re in a different mindset now. In 2025 the New Zealand teams are on notice.”

81-Test former All Black Justin Marshall is interested to see how the Blues deal with the “favourites” tag, saying that the mindset will be a challenge.

“The mindset is also a problem though. When you’re the reigning champions, and the Blues haven’t had to deal with that for a very long time.

“So the targets on their back, but they were not the favourites last year. This year everybody wants to knock them over.”

Sky Sports commentator and rugby analyst Mils Muliaina thinks the Crusaders and Rob Penney must grow their game, if they want to be in contention this season.

“The Crusaders had their most unsuccessful year last year. They have to get better. They have to try and evolve the style they played last year.

“The Chiefs came and they out muscled them, and they’ve got to find the different way they can actually play that different style.”

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9 Comments
B
BA 27 days ago

want the canes to win no doubt but I’m hoping the quality of rugby stays high and more the style was very very fast kinda how wanna see the international game move closer to that

J
JW 27 days ago

So he means all the Australian sides won in the weekend?


Wilson really is a bit of a fruitloop sometimes. I like the foundation of his thoughts be he has one of the worst ‘presenter’ ways of sharing them.

H
Head high tackle 28 days ago

Funny enough Ive seen a lot of “TOP SIX opinions over the past week or so leading up to the start of the comp and most named pretty-much the same 6. Not so hard for most I think.

I think that they mainly pick themselves and will be a bot surprised if it was from outside the top 4 NZ sides ( Chiefs, Blues, Canes and Crusaders ) with Reds and Brumbies added in.

Tahs and Highlanders may push 1 side out or maybe even the Drua but After that Its the Mp and Force and I cant see them being top 6.

I think the downfall of the Crusaders last year was a shock to most.

J
JW 27 days ago

Not so hard for most I think

It’s hard because the Crusaders were a top 4 side last year, so something has to give this year (you couldn’t see anything going through those difficulties again but actually with Higgins going down this week the Canes are looking very close to repeating).


I’ll go slightly the more variable route and predict the battle for the last two spots will be just as much up in the air as they were last year.

C
Cantab 28 days ago

Correct with picking NZ sides for the top 4 spots. The other 2 spots not quite so clear but if any of the rest manage to beat one of the NZ top it would be a major upset. That said upsets do happen from time to time.

T
Tk 28 days ago

Yes agreed. It will be hard to pick the finishing order of the top six but at most, one of those teams may miss out.

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RedWarriors 4 minutes ago
France deny England and clinch Six Nations title in Paris

I think we need to call out the red card non-decision here and acknowledge the damage that France, through Galthie, have done to confidence in the officaiting and citing process.

It started when Garry Ringrose had club matches included in his ban following similar precedents for (Atonio, Haouas, Danty) who were all carded/cited in match just before fallow week and club matches counted. Ntamacks citing was in week 1 and harder to demonstrate availability for club match with another International match between. Preceednt ~(O’Mahony 2021) was followed. Reading the written decision for Ntamack shows that Galthie understood this perfectly. Yet after the Ringrose ban included club matches, Galthie publicly goes berserk screaming ‘Injustice (against France”. Again, he knows the precedents for Ringrose are all French and indeed the only person preceding Ntamack to have club matches count in that situation was France’s Willemse.

The media swallowed this up wholesale and the story started circulating and being added to without a single journalist/pundit (except rush Mirror) actually reading the Ntamack decision. Sneaky Ireland had better briefs than honest naive France was one random addition by a pundit which becamse accpeted fact without checking etc and added to the circulation.

Angered by losing his star player Galthie again lashes out. He knows know he can de facto attack individual players, the media won’t intervene and as long as he doesnt directly attack an individual official he will stay out of trouble.

So he attacks players who then het threatened by some lunatic French supporters online. Ireland are ‘Butchers’ apparently. The passive head contact earning Nash a yellow now becomes a double head hit on Barrassi, requiring a double red.

France who have more dangerous tackle citings under Galthie than all other six nations combined. They get more favourable outcomes than all other teams. poor France are now the victims of great injustice. It is farce.

But it paid off.

Mauvaka struck the Scottish Scrum half with a diving head butt in Sundays match. Its a clear red. Scotlands back line attack looked superiors to France’s and Scotland were there or there abouts.

What I can only assume is the chilling affect on Galthie’s public attacks Carley send it to the bunker. A deliberate head butt is a clear red on more than one count. There is no doubt, bo grey area.

If thats a red card do France win the match? I would say that Scotland are likely winners, which would have meant England winning the title.

Spilled milk now, but World Rugby, the citing commisioners and officials cannot allow big Unions to publicly intimidate the officiating process and attack individual players from other teams.

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Barron Johnstown 2 hours ago
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