Forget the Six Nations... Ireland's real test is coming this summer
Six Nations champions Ireland have never been in better shape and with the 2019 Rugby World Cup a mere 546 days away, this could be the best realistic chance they’ve had to achieve success in the tournament.
The last time Ireland were Grand Slam champions, in 2009, they began the 2008 Autumn series eighth in the world rankings and scrambling to cling on to that top-eight spot, with the draw for the 2011 World Cup on the horizon.
Contrast that with the 2018 Grand Slam vintage, who are second in the World Rugby rankings, with only the All Blacks ahead of them. Joe Schmidt’s side are on a 12-match unbeaten run – which included a record 38-3 win over South Africa in the Autumn, albeit the Springboks were somewhat a shambles and head coach Allister Coetzee was on his last legs.
South Africa are potential quarter-final opponents in the 2019 World Cup, with Ireland favourites to emerge as Pool A winners, ahead of Scotland and Japan, while Rassie Erasmus’ side are unlikely to usurp New Zealand for top spot in Pool B.
The Springboks are an interesting prospect, Erasmus led Munster to last year’s Pro 12 final and the semi-finals of the Champions Cup. His insight into Irish rugby and their players is something to be wary of and he’s already said he wants to “mount a serious challenge” at next year’s World Cup. SA Rugby are certainly backing their man, handing him a contract running until the 2023 World Cup.
If they got there, semi-final opponents for Ireland would come in the form of England, France, Argentina, Australia or Wales, with New Zealand likely to primed and ready in the final.
But a dose of reality is needed, Ireland have never been beyond a World Cup quarter-final in their history. Since the turn of the Millennium there were last eight defeats to Argentina in 2015, Wales in 2011 and France in 2003, while 2007 saw them fail to get out of the group.
Expectation levels have skyrocketed after completing the Six Nations Grand Slam, but in order to really stake a claim to being genuine World Cup contenders they must win their three-match series against Australia.
They begin on June 9th at the intimidating Suncorp Stadium in Brisbane, with the second Test in Melbourne a week later, finishing in Sydney on June 23rd – it’s a hectic three-week schedule and one that will see Schmidt learn a lot about younger players and they about themselves. Remarkably eight of the Grand Slam winning squad have never tasted an international defeat – Joey Carbery, Jordan Larmour, Dan Leavy, James Ryan, Andrew Porter, Bundee Aki, Chris Farrell and Jacob Stockdale.
Ireland young guns Larmour and Carbery target further success
Touring the southern hemisphere brings massive challenges, in June 2012 Ireland narrowly lost 22-19 to New Zealand in Christchurch, with Dan Carter slotting over a last minute drop goal. A week later they were thumped 60-0 in Hamilton, the countries worst ever defeat. Seven of the XV that day – Rob Kearney, Keith Earls, Johnny Sexton, Conor Murray, Cian Healy, Rory Best and Peter O’Mahoney – all started against England at Twickenham on Saturday.
Those dark days of trouncing’s at the hands of Southern Hemisphere behemoths may be over, but they certainly left an indelible mark on Ireland’s more experienced members. Victory over New Zealand in Chicago in 2016 cleared what may have been a residual mental barrier. Now the next hurdle for this team is to win a series in the southern hemisphere, they butchered their chance in South Africa in 2016, winning in Australia won’t be easier either. 1979 was the last time Ireland won away against the Wallabies, they won both tour matches on that occasion. If they were to emerge with a series success almost 40 years later, the rest of the rugby world to really have to sit up and take notice with the World Cup a little over a year away.
Comments on RugbyPass
Spot on Ben. Dead right. Havili looked great at 10. Easily the highest rugby IQ of any NZ player these days. Getting a kick charged down is a result of getting used to adjusting your depth to the line at 10, which he will sort out with time. But other than that it was an outstanding first effort in that position this year. I think the NZ media has misunderstood this directive from Razor. Havili might rank behind B Barrett this year, but Beuden is 33 this month and won't last much longer. DMaC is great but flaky and not really a test match animal (his efforts in Dunedin versus Aus last year for example). If Razor can't have Mounga, DMaC is too unstructured for Razor (and is just too small for test rugby). Havili will end up our first choice first five, and in partnership with Jodie will be excellent. Two triple threat operators in tandem, and big bodies and tough tacklers to boot. Jordoe will be the ABs goal kicker. I am an Aucklander and Blues (and Warriors) fan, but Havili at 10 is going to be sensational in time… he can be the best first five in the world by the end of this year. No question.
5 Go to commentsSharks deserved to be far further back by the last quarter. Their tackling was awful, their set pieces were disappointing, their defensive organization was poor (especially on the Kok side of the D line), they kept making unnecessary errors, and they never looked like cracking the Clermont defense during those first 60m. Masuku kept them in touch, with some help from the Clermont generosity on penalty opportunities. Agree with the writer of this article. It was belligerence, and ability to raise their pressure game just enough, that turned the last quarter into a Bok-style shutout. Clermont have a reputation of not playing the full 80m, and there was a bit of that for sure. But, quite often when the intensity of a team drops off in the last quarter credit is due to the opponent for tiring them out. At 60m, with the Kok try, you thought that just maybe the game was on. At 70m, with the Mapimpi contribution, one felt that Clermont were fading, while facing a team that would maintain the pressure game through the final whistle. Good win in the end, but the Sharks are still playing way below their potential. And with their resources, and a coach that has had enough time to figure things out, they are running out of excuses.
6 Go to commentsGood riddance
1 Go to commentswel the crusaders were beaten by a queensland reds side that hadnt beaten them at home since 1999 and queensland reds partied like it was 1999
5 Go to commentsHard to disagree with the 5 points - with the exception that Wilson should be a squad member but, depending on the other loose forward selections, is not yet a shoo-in. McReight is. Aussie is looking a lot better this year and JS has some selection options. Also, Havili’s tendency to get caught, charged down is also a liability at times but he seemed focused (mostly) and is definitely a consideration for utility back-up. Still feel Reihana is a better prospect at 1st five for Saders.
5 Go to commentsYeah nah, still not sure on Havili tbh. Even though I’m a Crusaders fan through and through I’d be stunned if Razor considers him after seeing some of the stunning talent coming through up North.
5 Go to commentsThink it was a great defensive performance by Northampton. They didn't have stage fright in the first half, the Nienaber defense smothered them. They limited Leinster to 15-3 in the first half. It could have been over by then. A great try from Leinster in the start of the second half looked to have sealed it. But Byrne missed another conversion. Northampton started trying little kicks behind the Leinster wingers. Leinster messed one and Smith brilliantly made the conversion. Leinster decided to tighten the game after Byrne missed a straight forward penalty. A few errors got NH into the 22 and they scored and converted with a few minutes left. Another brilliant steal from Lawes saw NH have a final attack which was turned over by Conan. A classic semi final. World record attendance of 82,300. Leinsters 3 week preparation warranted for this one.
1 Go to commentsJust came back from the game and the atmosphere was amazing. Players stayed afterwards for more than a hour to sign stuff and take photos with fans. Great day out.
6 Go to commentsA great game. The Sharks without Etsebeth are a shadow of the team compared to when he plays. The limitations of Some of the expensive Sharks players are being exposed. Credit to Clermont for some exhilaration play at times.
6 Go to comments100% Mr Owens. But who would want to be a referee.? It must be the most difficult job on earth.
1 Go to commentsStarts to be overdone and oversold this systematic SA narrative…which nevertheless has the merit in this case to recognise blatant refereeing mistakes in their favor
6 Go to commentsNice article. Shades of Steinbeck. They can win the final if they take the game seriously; but only if they take it seriously.
6 Go to commentsWhat a sad way to end a glittering career. Somebody should tell him to delete his social media accounts and face the consequences of what he's done. Then he should slip away quietly into obscurity. This isn't likely to happen, something tells me he'll be back in The Sun / Daily Mail sooner rather than later.
5 Go to commentsguys its fine! he understands why he did what he did and has taken accountability for it; why should he have to be accountable to a court? after all he did was abuse people in person - its not as if he was engaging in _online_ abuse!
5 Go to commentsChiefs flanker Kaylum Boshier yellow-carded for collapsing the scrum as it rolled towards the line. It was a maul….
1 Go to commentsyou know, i’m a leinster fan so I want Northampton to lose and it is gonna be tuff with Cortney lawes, Alex michell and the other guys🏉 lets go leinster🏉
1 Go to commentsWelcome to the Pro ranks. Those hard teams of old do hit the sole better though. its a dog fight at the top.
6 Go to commentsCan someone fill me in please, I've read a number of Ben Smith articles now and it seems he's got something again South Africa? Surely, this game was over and done with 7 months ago. Can't we have something a bit more interesting and relevant, or is this the calibre of journalist on this site?
238 Go to commentsNot sure what the Welsh are moaning about. They’ve had far more players off England, than England have had off Wales. Guys like Josh Hathaway and Kane James will play for Wales in the end. And they’ll be fsr better players for having played in the Gallagher Premiership, than they ever would have been had they stayed mired in the shambles that is Welsh rugby.
4 Go to commentsThis is all being blown totally out of proportion. First of all, since half the Irish team isn’t Irish - it’s very likely that none of the Irish players said that at all and, thus, we’re not being arrogant. Second, since half the Irish team is Kiwi - it’s very likely the Kiwi players were predicting a NZ SA World Cup final. Which they got spot on. Good on them!
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