Five problem areas where the All Blacks are desperately searching for solutions
Since New Zealand’s loss to South Africa in Wellington last year, the All Blacks have played top teams six times.
They managed to pip the Springboks in the return match in Pretoria – but were probably lucky to escape with the victory after falling behind 30-13.
On the end of year tour, New Zealand disposed of the Wallabies (37-20) then scraped through against England (16-15) and were suffocated by Ireland (16-9).
Now the All Blacks have failed to secure wins in two matches in a row. South Africa came to Wellington and held New Zealand to a draw, then over the weekend Australia absolutely demolished the men in black.
The All Blacks have two games to go before the World Cup, which means there’s very little time left to right the ship.
Second-choice second row
It will take a remarkable recovery for Brodie Retallick to be fit for the World Cup. Even if he does make it on the plane, he’s going to be seriously lacking in match fitness.
If Retallick is fit then the All Blacks will probably make do with him, Sam Whitelock and Scott Barrett. Retallick will need to buckle down and play in all four of New Zealand’s pool matches to get himself ready for the big games.
In the worst-case scenario, New Zealand will need a replacement for Retallick. Patrick Tuipulotu does not look like the man to fill that role. Jackson Hemopo is the next cab off the rank but has had precious little game time for the All Blacks to date. One of Tuipulotu or Hemopo needs to start against Australia this weekend – even if Barrett is free to play after his sending off. We need to see which of these two is better suited to travel to Japan, because neither of the two look up to it right now.
Selections and balance in the back row
The Ardie Savea-Sam Cane-Kieran Read axis never really got the chance to show their wares on Saturday night. The trio functioned well enough in the first half but the All Blacks were always under the pump and had precious little possession. Once Barrett was sent from the field, it became impossible to gauge the combination’s strengths. Steve Hansen won’t have dropped this idea after just one week – but there’s little time left to see if it’s a legitimate option moving forward.
Liam Squire suited up for Tasman over the weekend and looked solid upon his return. He only managed two-thirds of a game, however, and looked absolutely gassed when he left the field. Squire withdrew himself from selection, saying he wasn’t ready to play international football. Has his mindset changed over the last month? And if Squire does feel like he’s ready to play, will that be enough for Hansen to select him in the World Cup squad.
The gut says that Squire will travel to Japan if he thinks he’s ready. That decision will likely be made sometime next weekend.
Luke Jacobson was one of the somewhat surprise inclusions when Steve Hansen named his first squad of the year. He also retained his place when the squad was trimmed, despite having only played 15 minutes off the bench against Argentina.
Perhaps Jacobson would have been in line to start against the Wallabies over the weekend if he wasn’t afflicted by concussion symptoms. If Jacobson is fit and ready to play in next week’s match then it would make sense for the Waikato loosie to get a start on the blindside flank. If he’s still dealing with concussion, however, then he’ll likely be culled from the team when the World Cup squad is announced.
Prop mobility
Angus Ta’avao, Atu Moli and Ofa Tu’ungafasi were ostensibly retained ahead of Karl Tu’inukuafe because they’re considerably more mobile around the pitch.
That seems like an unusual justification, given that Owen Franks is one of the least mobile props doing the rounds in international rugby. He’s good around the fringes of the ruck, hits the breakdown well and tackles his heart out – but don’t expect the big fella to make much headway on attack.
Franks isn’t going to lose his starting jersey anytime soon, however, because he’s a staple of the All Blacks front row. The current back-ups are too inexperienced and simply aren’t strong enough in the set-piece to be starting against the likes of Cian Healy and Mako Vunipola.
The All Blacks are seriously missing Charlie Faumuina all of a sudden. He was reliable in the scrums and had no issues getting around the park.
It’s too late in the piece to play with the front row now – but it could end up being one of the All Blacks’ weaknesses come the World Cup.
The midfield puzzle
The Anton Lienert-Brown/Jack Goodhue combination never got the chance to shine over the weekend before Goodhue was helped from the field. There’s a good chance we won’t see the Northlander back for next weekend’s match.
We started the year without knowing what the first-choice midfield combination was – and we’re no closer to determining it now.
Lienert-Brown was one of the All Blacks’ best on the park against the Wallabies and took his chances well. His hot-stepping is probably better utilised off the bench, however.
That leaves Sonny Bill Williams and Ngani Laumape – two specialist second fives who have fairly different skill sets.
Amongst these five, the All Blacks need to find a proper combination and give them some game time together. If either Crotty or Goodhue are part of that first-choice duo then they’re likely not going to be able to play until the match against Tonga next month. Again, the All Blacks are running out of time.
What’s happened to the outside backs?
There were a lot of selection conundrums heading into 2019. One certainty, however, was that Rieko Ioane and Ben Smith would make up two-thirds of New Zealand’s back three.
That belief has now been shattered.
Ioane has lost all the form that made him an international sensation and seems disinterested in finding it again. Smith is Mr Reliable, but the All Blacks really need some more X-factor in their backline – because reliability and safety isn’t finding them much luck.
Sevu Reece and Braydon Ennor are waiting on the sidelines for a chance to prove themselves – and at least one of those two should get a start in the next match. Perhaps Smith will move to fullback, which could open up spaces on both wings. Either way, these two young men need to be thrown in the deep end. There was no point in selecting them in the narrowed down squad if they weren’t going to get any game time, after all.
Comments on RugbyPass
I think he is right, SBW is respected in RSA. The guy who never stood up is a worm. Sseems lots of NZ SBW hate, you do the crime do the time.
11 Go to commentsAfter missing the curfew, the player was simply too “Shagged” to stand up.
11 Go to commentsVernier is probably the best 12 in the world though she has some English competition these days . I am nervous for England because it is unpredictable France and who knows which team will turn up, but they have not yet shown anything that should worry England, Saturday could be a different day. I would be more confident against the BFs.
1 Go to commentsWhat a difference Rodda and Carter made. Rodda has been out for ages but he is really the only world class lock in Australian rugby. Him, Carter and Beale made a huge difference on the weekend. If only they had a few decent props they’d be a much more dangerous team. Hamish Stewart was excellent last week as well. His carrying has improved significantly and has to be next in line after Paisami at 12 for the Wallabies. He’ll benefit hugely with Beale at fullback, there’s just no better communicator in Australian rugby than him and his experience will make a huge difference for the Force. No one sees space like Beale and he’s still sharp. I can see Force making a late charge into the top 8 if they can get some consistency.
2 Go to commentsRodda will be a walk up starter at lock. Frost if you analyse his dominance has little impact and he’s a long way from being physical enough, especially when you compare to Rodda and the work he does. He was quite poor at the World Cup in his lack of physicality. Between Rodda and Skelton we would have locks who can dominate the breakdown and in contact. Frost is maybe next but Schmidt might go for a more physical lock who does their core work better like Ryan or LSL. Swain is no chance unless there’s a load of injuries. Pollard hasn’t got the scrum ability yet to be considered. Nasser dominated him when they went toe to toe and really showed him up. Picking Skelton effects who can play 6 and 8. Ideally Valetini would play 6 as that’s his best position and Wilson at 8 but that’s not ideal for lineout success. Cale isn’t physical enough yet in contact and defence but is the best backrow lineout jumper followed by Wright, Hanigan and Swinton so unfortunately Valetini probably will start at 8 with Wright or Hanigan at 6. Wilson on the bench, he’s got too much quality not to be in the squad. Paisami is leading the way at 12 but Hamish Stewart is playing extremely well also and his ball carrying has improved significantly. Beale is also another option based on the weekend. Beale is class but he’s also the best communicator of any Australian backline player and that can’t be underestimated, he’ll be in the mix.
8 Go to commentsWhy do people keep on picking Ardie at 7 when he's a ball in hand 8? A modern 7 is the lead tackler and ruck clearer which isn't his strength.
14 Go to commentsSly dig there at Ireland’s propensity to back a non-Irish coach. Must really want it. I’m not sure I like ROG very much. Comes off as unpleasant. But he’d gain my respect if he took a number 7 ranked team and turned them into WC winners. Not even back-to-back. Argentina? Scotland? Or how about Wales? France would be too easy, no?
1 Go to commentsA bit of sensationalism, but surprised by the comments about SBW. I’ve always thought of him as a pretty authentic person. There is nothing worse than working with a colleague you’ve seen straight through.
11 Go to comments100% agree with your comment about Touch. I’ve been playing it competitively since Covid. It’s on a Wednesday night after work. It means the weekend is free for time with my family.
1 Go to commentsRodda back is massively important for the Wallabies. Kaitu at hooker important too coz he was very good a few years ago.
2 Go to commentsThe pink cabous might be eligible this year and the Boks don’t need him
8 Go to commentsNasser and kaitu are options for hooker. Especially Nasser. You forgot Rodda who touch wood will be fit at test time and if fit he’s number one. Great partner for the great Skelton and Oz best lineout caller. Third best lock is LSL whom I’d be inclined to sub on for Skelton around 60 minutes. Probably start valetini at 8 because I like a big body back there. Cale should play 6 at the brumbies. For Wallabies definitely cale in the squad but as an apprentice. Dunno who starts at 6 seru wright Swinton hanigan with Will Harris and Harry Wilson not far away. Seru and Swinton my front runners but Swinton is going. Still if we don’t cap seru then Fiji must coz they need his lineout skills and easily compensate for his lack of weight
8 Go to commentsYeah but who was it?
11 Go to commentsThink you might have written this just before the Brumbies got thrashed last weekend
8 Go to commentsI really do believe that Billy Proctor should be selected at least in the larger squad but also it would be my choice at 13, much more a center than Ioane who can still play at wing. Roigard if fit should play, otherwise it should be Perenara or Christie. Also, Iose could deserve a spot at blindside. Of course, being a Canes supporter I’m biased but I really believe that at least Billy P is deserving a chance and being Holland one of the Selectors, I’m having a little hope he could grab it.
14 Go to commentsI would not play Swinton I’d pick Wright or Hanigan. The rest are decent starters, but can’t agree on any subs except Tupou. My take on the subs: Gibbon, Ueslese, Tupou, LSL, Wilson, White, Will Harrison, and Petaia.
8 Go to commentsSBW the biggest moron to pull on a black jersey a park footy player at best
11 Go to commentsSBW is fast becoming a laughing stock, his misplaced comments & lack of insight Is actually pretty sad.
11 Go to commentsJust well you guys are couch 🛋 potatoes selector's, picking a team of greenhorns to play England! “What are you people smoking?” The halfbacks will be Christie, Fakatava, Perenara Props; Newell, Bower, Lomax, Tunga'fasi, Hookers; Asosa Amua when fit, Taylor, Samisoni,
14 Go to commentsQuite frankly, all this is a bit pathetic. The first time Wales get the Wooden Spoon in 21 years and everyone is on the bandwagon for a ‘play-off’ game. Wales have no obligation to Georgia and no obligation to the rest of the Six Nations to play such a game. If they want Georgia in so badly then they need to include South Africa into a Northern Hemisphere competition with 2 leagues of 4 teams with the top 2 competing for the Championship. Sadly, this will end Triple Crowns and Grand Slams forever. Is this really what you want?
4 Go to comments