Exodus XV vs the class of '24: How the All Blacks' future squad stacks up
The end of an era approaches, and while not the most successful era by All Blacks standards, one that submitted some legendary names into New Zealand Rugby history.
A few young guns join the veteran talent heading offshore in 2024, some with the potential to return while others look to see out their playing days with that extra Euro or Yen in pocket.
For all the vacated jerseys there’s an abundance of hungry hopefuls training for their shot at the next level. So, how does an XV of departing players stack up against those who will define 2024 and beyond?
Well, let’s take a look. Here’s an All Blacks exodus XV:
- Ofa Tu’ungafasi
- Dane Coles
- Nepo Laulala
- Brodie Retallick
- Sam Whitelock
- Shannon Frizell
- Ardie Savea
- Pita Gus Sowakula
- Aaron Smith
- Richie Mo’unga
- Leicester Fainga’anuku
- Jack Goodhue
- Alex Nankivell
- Julian Savea
- Beauden Barrett
Bench: Alex Hodgeman, Andrew Makalio, Josh Dickson, Marino Mikaele-Tu’u, Brad Weber, Roger Tuivasa-Sheck, Bryn Gatland
Coach: Ian Foster
Average Age: 33
Average experience: 58 Tests
Filling in some of the gaps with former All Blacks and All Blacks XV selections, New Zealand could field quite the squad made up entirely of players heading offshore or retiring in 2024.
Even including the zero Test caps of Alex Nankivell and the two of Leicester Fainga’anuku, there’s an average experience of 58 caps in the starting XV.
And for comparison, here’s how the best of the rest look (based on current All Blacks selections):
- Ethan de Groot
- Samisoni Taukei’aho
- Tyrel Lomax
- Scott Barrett
- Tupou Vaa’i
- Samipeni Finau
- Sam Cane
- Luke Jacobson
- Cam Roigard
- Damian McKenzie
- Caleb Clarke
- Jordie Barrett
- Rieko Ioane
- Mark Telea
- Will Jordan
Bench: Fletcher Newell, Codie Taylor, Tamaiti Williams, Patrick Tuipulotu, Dalton Papali’i, Finlay Christie, Anton Lienert-Brown, Shaun Stevenson
Coach: Scott Robertson
Average age: 26
Average experience: 28 Tests
31-year-old Sam Cane and his 86 caps may be a bit of an outlier in this starting XV, the All Black captain’s current contract runs through until 2025, at which point he’ll have a decision to make. The rest are all at an age that could easily see them hold or hit their primes during the next World Cup cycle.
That being said, were this squad to front up at the 2027 Rugby World Cup, their average age of 30 would be slightly beyond what previous tournaments have proven to be optimal. For context, the Rugby World Cup winning sides of 2011 and 2015 had an average age of 28 and 29 respectively.
Compared to the outgoing crew, the next generation squad feature nine players that started in the All Blacks’ final fixture of 2022 compared to the six from the leavers. Proving form favours the younger unit.
Eleven of the exodus XV make up the recently named 36-man Rugby Championship squad, the remaining 25 will be available for selection in 2024.
What the farewell team have going for them is experience. Their 58-Test average is far closer to the magic number of 50 which is the average of World Cup-winning teams in the professional era.
Leicester Fainga’anuku lends some youth to the exodus team while Sam Cane offers experience to their opponents.
Comments on RugbyPass
“Cortez Ratima is light years ahead of anyone on current form, while TJ Perenara has also skyrocketed into contention following the unfortunate injury to the talented Cam Roigard.” At last some sanity. Hitherto so many pundits have been wittering on about Finlay Christie to the point one wondered if they were observing a FC in a parallel universe where the FC they saw wasnt just the mediocre Shayne Philpott project of Fosters hapless AB reign in the real world. Ratima, Perenara and Fakatava are the ONLY logical 9s for Razor now Roigard is crocked.
2 Go to commentsThis game was just as painful as the Hurricanes game. It was real fork-in-the-eye stuff.
2 Go to commentsNow if they could just fire the Crusaders ground PA guy who likes to play his dance music and just loves the sound of his own voice the entire game, even when play is going on. And I thought their brass band thing of a few years ago was bad.
5 Go to commentsUnfortunately when you lose by far the two form players this season in Roigard and Aumua, you're left replacing two game changing Tanks with a couple of pea-shooters. Which is also about the speed of TJs pass.
2 Go to commentsBit rich coming from the guy with zero loyalty to anyone or any team, including happily taking a players place in a league world cup squad because well, SBW wanted to play in it and thus an already named player got told he was no longer going. And airing stuff like this, which may or may not be true, doesn't exactly say you're a stand up guy either SBW. Just looking to keep his name in lights as usual.
37 Go to commentsTamati Tua. …the Taniwha NPC midfielder. Ollie Sapsford, Hawkes Bay NPC midfielder…doing well
2 Go to commentsFiji deserve to be in the rugby championship, fans love seeing the Fijian national team play, the Fijian Drua is a wonderful idea but the players can still be stolen to play for NZ and AUS…
1 Go to commentsThe first concern for this afternoon are wheather forecast…
1 Go to commentsWhy cant I watch Rugby games please?
1 Go to commentsBeautiful shot from Finau, end of story. Gutted for Shaun Stevenson though.
4 Go to commentsThe Chiefs definitely didn’t win ugly. They had the superior scrum, a dominant lineout, and their defence was excellent once the Waratahs scored their two tries (thanks to some lucky refereeing calls mind you). They put pressure on the Waratahs lineout throughout the game, and the mind boggles as to why the referee did not award a yellow card or a penalty try against the Waratahs for repeated scrum infringements on their own try line before Narawa’s first try. And the Chiefs were slick with their passing and running angles on attack. It was a dominant performance all round, even with many questionable refereeing decisions.
1 Go to commentsWasnt late. Ref 2 assistants andTMO all saw it so who are you to say it was?
4 Go to commentsAre the Brumbies playing the Blues twice in a row?
4 Go to commentsBig difference from the Saders. Forwards really muscled up and laid a solid platform. Scooter brought some steel and I liked the loosie combination. Newell has been rather disappointing this season but stepped up big time - happy also to see Franks dot down. He should do that more often! Reihana had a good game and there seems to be more flair and invention with him in the saddle. McNicoll plays well from the back and is reliable plus inventive when he joins the line. Keep it up chaps!
5 Go to comments🤦♂️🤣 who cares who’s the best . All I know is the All Blacks have the star coach but have few star players now …
33 Go to commentsJe suis sûr que Farrell est impatient de jouer avec Lopez et Machenaud et d’être entraîné par Collazo… 🤭
1 Go to commentsAn on field red (aka a full red) in SRP must surely carry a bigger suspension than a red card given by the bunker as that carries a 20 minute team punishment. Had Damon Murphy abdicated his responsibility as a ref and issued both Drua players a yellow, which would have been upgraded to a 20 minute red by the bunker, that would have killed Australia and New Zealand’s push for the 20 minute red to be trialled globally from July this year.
11 Go to commentsEver so often you all post a Danny Care story that isn’t the announcement that he has finally re-signed for one more, victory tour season at Quins and I’m just like, “well you fooled me again!” My absolute favorite player ever, we need to make his final year at the Stoop (and Twickers) official already. I know he supposedly snubbed France but I won’t feel better until he signs.
1 Go to commentslate hit what late hit it wasn’t at all late and can clearly see he was committed before the tackle
4 Go to commentsChristian Lio -Willies 2 try perfomance was a standout. As was captain Scott Barrett. Up front was where the boys won it.They are a great team and players. Fantastic Crusaders , you can keep going.
5 Go to comments