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Hurricanes vs Bordeaux Begles: European champs 10-point underdog against NZ's best


(Photos by David Rogers/Getty Images and Joe Allison/Getty Images)
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Should the back-to-back European champions Bordeaux Begles face off against Super Rugby’s dominant team, the Hurricanes would be 10-15 point favourites to beat them.

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We know from the All Blacks‘ form over the last two years that they had no issue beating the European nations. For all the noise around Razor, he produced an 85 per cent winning record against the Six Nations teams.

85 per cent is an incredibly dominant rate of winning, particularly if you throw in a dysfunctional All Black environment. The All Blacks’ biggest issues came against South Africa and Argentina, at home in the Rugby Championship, not from the European nations.

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UK media love to drum up the narrative that the All Blacks’ aura is gone, all while the results suggest otherwise. It’s been a miserable time for European nations versus the All Blacks, including the French ‘B’ side that was swept 3-0.

That French ‘B’ side is arguably better than Bordeaux, at least up front, while the Hurricanes are getting pretty close to being the All Blacks’ best line-up in 2026.

There’s an argument to be made they actually have better cohesion than the All Blacks, having perfected this system and roster over the last three years.

This 2026 Hurricanes team has 10 capped All Blacks in the squad, which could be more by the end of 2026, and two further internationals in Warner Dearns (Japan) and Brad Shields (England). Further to that, four of the non-capped players are some of the best performers.

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Blindside Devan Flanders is in career-best form, loosehead Xavier Numia is in career-best form and garnering All Black bolter chat, and winger Fehi Fineanganofo would be picked if he wasn’t going overseas. Callum Harkin has been exceptional at fullback.

The Hurricanes have the strongest front row stocks in New Zealand with three capable All Black-calibre tightheads, including one of the three 140kg props in the country.

Tyrel Lomax was the best in the world just two years ago, and the Hurricanes have done just fine with him injured this year with Pasilio Tosi and Tevita Mafileo. They have All Black Asafo Aumua at starting hooker and loosehead prop Xavier Numia is one of the most dominant props in the competition.

Japanese lock Dearns is the best second rower in Super Rugby Pacific, definitely of world-class calibre and in the conversation for world’s best. A defensive weapon at the lineout, he leads the competition in lineout steals.

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The back row is dominant, with Peter Lakai an option at openside and No.8; he was also the first-choice All Black No.8 by the end of 2025. Du’Plessis Kirifi is year-after-year one of the best fetchers in Super Rugby, and another capped All Black. Veteran Shields is a capped international with England. Braydon Iose is an explosive ball carrier, maybe the best in New Zealand.

The Hurricanes pack is full of internationals with a much better age profile than Bordeaux, most are mid-to-late 20s offering peak athleticism.

Bordeaux had four internationals in their starting pack that beat Leinster; Prop Jefferson Poirot (36 caps), hooker Maxime Lamothe (3 caps), lock Adam Coleman (42 caps), and Cameron Woki (33 caps).

Off the bench they had Gaëtan Barlot (12 caps), Ben Tamifuna (43 caps), Lachlan Swinton (7 caps), and Temo Matiu (1 cap).

Here’s the Achilles heel for Bordeaux’s pack despite holding a decent scrum: they have the second-worst lineout in all of Europe, completing at 76.2 per cent. That would be a pathetic mark for an international side.

That’s second-worst across the whole Top 14, URC and Gallagher Premiership; only Perpignan is worse at 72.7.

Warner Dearns has 15 lineout steals this season, averaging 1.5 per game. Also in the top five for lineout steals are Devan Flanders (6) and lock partner Caleb Delany (6).

So the Hurricanes, with the best defensive lineout in the Southern Hemisphere, would face off against the second-worst lineout in all of Europe. Connect the dots, because it doesn’t look good for Bordeaux.

The Hurricanes’ scrum is equally strong (95 per cent completion vs 97 for Bordeaux) with depth at prop, making for a strong bench unit. They are one of the few New Zealand sides currently that could match the Top 14 in this area.

In the backlines, Bordeaux have some real strength in this match-up, but we can’t ignore the fact that Cam Roigard is one of the top two 9s, if not the best No.9, in world rugby.

Maxime Lucu might be a good punter from the base and lively halfback, but he’s not getting a sniff against Dupont for the France No.9 jersey when Antoine is around.

We saw Roigard completely outplay Dupont two years ago in Paris, including the All Black stealing the ball right out of Dupont’s hands for a try. Roigard is a much better player now than he was then.

Ruben Love is settling into the N0.10 jersey and will push to play there for the All Blacks this year. On paper, Matthieu Jalibert is a more accomplished player at No.10, but Love has as much ability as he does.

At No.12 it’s no contest, the best inside centre in the world is Jordie Barrett. He’s simply on another level since returning from Leinster. Barrett has the second most try assists in Super Rugby and his midfield partner Billy Proctor, another All Black, is third. Roigard and his back-up No.9 Ere Enari are also top 10 in the competition in try assists.

Bordeaux’s dangerous back three, Damian Penaud (who played centre in the European final), Louis Bielle-Biarrey and Salesi Rayasi, a former Hurricane himself, are the headline of the UBB roster.

Bielle-Biarrey is the world’s best player right now, and Penaud is still one of the world’s best finishers. Bielle-Biarrey is a game-changer who, on the kick chase, is lethal.

Those threats would certainly need to be neutralised or contained somewhat. It helps that the Hurricanes have power wing Fehi Fineanganofo, who can play both sides. His best matchup might be on Belle-Biarrey, to make the slight-framed winger tackle.

How much ball would Bielle-Biarrey get in space if the lineout malfunctions repeatedly, and the Hurricanes hammer Bordeaux’s pack all day long?

Lastly there is the eye test. When you see what the Hurricanes are doing, they play a beautiful game. In-sync running, fast, slick handling, disguised running lines and scheme. Fineanganofo has equalled the Super Rugby all-time season record with 16, his teammate Josh Moorby is right behind him with 13. Those two wingers weren’t on anybody’s radar before the season and both could break the old record.

If the Hurricanes get going, is Bordeaux going to stop them? Is this a great defensive team? Their points against in the Top 14, over 27 per game, suggest not. The Hurricanes are restricting teams to 19.3 per game.

While there are certainly great players out wide for Bordeaux, when it comes down to it, the Hurricanes have a superior spine and forward pack.

What’s that old saying, forwards decide who wins, and backs decide by how much?

 

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Comments

40 Comments
J
JO 41 days ago

I continue to be amused by those who say things like ‘the AB aura has gone’. Oh yeah? Number one or 2 for the past 50 years. Maybe, occasionally (?) 3. 50 YEARS! Any organization on earth would salivate for that level of dominance. That said, I do think UBB might pip the Hurricanes. What a game that would be! (…and a HUGE moneyspinner for both teams… get it on, guys!!)

W
Wagga wagga 42 days ago

I confess to having given up reading this obsequious and toadyish article. What I did read was nauseating

S
SB 43 days ago

Embarrassing article, as a professional it’s sad that obvious things are missed out and lies are told. Firstly the writer missed Bochaton, Gazzotti and Vergnes-Taillefer as capped players in the UBB pack. Last year’s team that France sent was not a B team in the pecking order. It was C or D. UBB would beat that team 9/10 times.


We saw Roigard completely outplay Dupont two years ago in Paris, including the All Black stealing the ball right out of Dupont’s hands for a try.

This is just an outright lie, he stole the ball out of Alldritt’s hands as he picked the ball up at the back of the scrum and went to offload the ball to Dupont.


As for completely outplaying Dupont, if you go back and watch the game Roigard was doing well in front of a forward pack absolutely dominating France in the first half. Second half things changed and Roigard was powerless to stop it, before he was substituted 10 minutes into the half as he was coming back from injury. Dupont played well and finished the match at fly-half, making key decisions not just with the ball but also tactically as he captained his team to victory. His third one against New Zealand.

M
MG 43 days ago

Article neglects to mention that Bordeaux compete in two hugely-competitive tournaments, unlike the Hurricanes who meet weak opposition every second week in a competition that is in terminal decline since the SA sides headed north.

E
EvilMockingJay 43 days ago

So arrogant…

W
WB 44 days ago

Simple answer, no one’s making you read it.

W
WB 44 days ago

You don't need to be near water to get bites, judging by the replies in the letter section, keep going girls.

T
TheFiend 44 days ago

Kiwi arrogance

J
JP 44 days ago

While this is clearly bait I think people have an overtly negative perception of the standard of super rugby. The Hurricanes have the talent to beat any top European team on their day. Over a long season, probably not - but the squads aren’t built for that competition. Super rugby having poor crowd attendance vs super rugby being a weak standard of rugby are two vastly different things.


There should be a club world championship, how good would that be.

N
Nik 44 days ago

Dear Ben Smith,

It is always better to remain silent and let a few people think you may be a fool. Instead you chose to write this article and now the whole world can see how spectacularly inadequate you are.

P
PR 44 days ago

Ben Smith articles are always a combination of trolling, wishful thinking and genuine delusion that NZ is still the power they used to be. Mostly it has to be clickbait, though, because taken at face value his attempts at rugby analysis would be laughed out of every sports department in the world. Can only surmise that Rugbypass is paying him to stir things up - often to the detriment of their own credibility.

T
TO 44 days ago

April fools article right. I only saw who wrote this article when reading the comments and thereafter no surprise at all. All I can say is disappointing journalism with very little respect for the great game of rugby and for a well deserved win for Bordeaux.

N
Nik 44 days ago

Can I have some of whatever Bin Smuth has been drinking? I have never read a more idiotic piece of sports reporting. Even with home advantage and a traditionally one eyed NZ referee Hurrycanes would be lucky to get within 10 points of UBB.

P
PR 44 days ago

It’s not sports reporting, it’s trolling. No respected rugby writer would write this rubbish.

R
RoyceCoolidge 44 days ago

‘Miserable time for European teams against the All Blacks’. True, England did get a win against the All Blacks in November.

B
B 44 days ago

Bordeaux Salary Cap and Budget: €39million Euros ($77million NZD)…


SRPacific NZ Clubs have a nominal $4.5 million salary cap to each contract 38 players, and the maximum they can pay any individual is $195,000.


Matthieu Jalibert €850.000 ($1.6million NZD)…

Damian Penaud €600.000 ($1.2million NZD)…

Two of their top paid players get paid half of the Hurricanes $4.5million salary cap…

P
PB 44 days ago

Yes and the point is what? Can the Hurricanes beat Bordeaux as this monkey claims?

P
PS 44 days ago

I think what has prevented NZ rugby to bounce back from its rather medium international shape is its impossibility to be humble and to accept the facts. NZ is not the last WC winner nor has it won the Rugby Championship during the last two years. Super Rugby has a relatively low level compared to ten years ago, But still, obviously the European club champion, two times in a row, and which has beaten Leinster, Bath and Toulouse to obtain its last title, has to lose against the Hurricanes. I am not convinced that burying its head in the sand is what is going to make AB rugby great again …

S
Soliloquin 45 days ago

Not the same workload.

Bordeaux this season:

32 games.

24 in the hardest league in the world against clubs like Stade Toulousain, Montpellier, Toulon, La Rochelle, Pau, Clermont, Stade Français, Racing 92, Castres…


8 games, all wins, in the EPCR.

Won in South Africa against the Bulls, against last years’ CC finalist Northamption.

Won in the EPCR against the Top 14 champions Toulouse in the QF, the Prem champions Bath in the SF and the URC champions Leinster in the final by some margin.

(plus Leicester, Bristol and the Scarlets).


Some UBB players have already taken part in almost 30 games (Woki 28 and Palu 30). Poirot 25, Jalibert 27 (23 for UBB), Penaud 28 (25 for UBB), LBB 30 (22 for UBB), Lamothe 28 (25 for UBB).


The Canes?

13 games.

(Bordeaux played 11 games since the start of the SR season with the 6 Nations in between)


So yeah, good lenses! 🙃

A
Alex 45 days ago

Lol classic Ben Smith

K
KB 45 days ago

Ships would have sunk if Ben was a weather forecaster…

T
Top16 45 days ago

J'ai toujours beaucoup de mal avec ces commentaires plein d'ignorance de la part de pseudo journaliste. Ils ne connaissent rien au rugby européen car ils le méprisent. Si on les écoute, seul le SR est un championnat digne de ce nom, tout le reste n'est rien. Donc pourquoi attacher de l'importance à ça ??

S
Stuart 45 days ago

Troll (snore)

T
Tom 45 days ago

🥱

T
TokoRFC 45 days ago

This is such a wind up…


As a Canes fan that actually tries to follow European rugby I’m sorry anyone has had to read this hubris


Moefana and Gazotti are not mentioned and would all cause the Canes headaches. Woki has terrorized the All Blacks lineout before.


The main thing though is: A solid Top 14 player is much better than a solid super rugby player. Just look at the France C team that pushed us at home

T
TokoRFC 45 days ago

The Canes are good but let’s be real. Bordeaux played the best half of rugby of 2026 so far

S
Soliloquin 45 days ago

Oh so there’s a follow-up to this ridiculous tweet?

The level of ignorance, cherry-picking, total bias is blatant. Wow.


Some say it’s bait.

But bait with good figures and objective information is what Nick Bishop delivers, with often a level of comment engagement that usually tops RP’s rates.

J
Jfp123 45 days ago

I agree with you about this article, but I find Bishop also churns out plenty of bait, which I guess is why he provokes so many comments.

c
cnw 45 days ago

An interesting analysis. Problem is that the comparison belies the opposition. Are the current

Crusaders, Chiefs and Blues in the same league as Toulouse, Leinster, Bath and say the Stormers top team. Hard to say from NZ. My guess is that in a one off game the Canes might pull it off but after a long season across two competitions it might be a hard ask.

T
TokoRFC 45 days ago

This is a great point:

Are the current

Crusaders, Chiefs and Blues in the same league as Toulouse, Leinster, Bath and say the Stormers top team?

The answer is f no

D
DC 45 days ago

Ben Smith has to be afflicted by CTE at this point. No rugby knowledge to begin with and spewing ignorant pablum now.


Then again, that’s everyone in the SH for the past decade-plus.

S
SM 45 days ago

Top tier clickbait. Take a bow, sir.

E
ED 45 days ago

Always the same garbage analysis and such a low standard of journalism from Ben Smith.

I
Ic 45 days ago

Didn't his pre final analysis indicate that a combined Leinster/UBB team would have just 6 members from the French side?

u
unknown 45 days ago

So Ben Smith has turned his spite towards France now. After a long time hammering the Springboks for being better than his beloved all blacks he’s decided to spit some of his venom towards France, and why ? Because other more level headed journos have had the temerity to praise Bordeaux for their performances. A pathetic child masquerading as a serious writer.

k
kupecraig 45 days ago

That’s bait

E
ED 45 days ago

That’s 100% Ben Smith…

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