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Tupou Vaa’i was sent as a lamb to the slaughter against France

By Adam Julian
Tupou Vaa'i of New Zealand looks dejected at full-time following the Rugby World Cup France 2023 Pool A match between France and New Zealand at Stade de France on September 08, 2023 in Paris, France. (Photo by Hannah Peters/Getty Images)

Lucky. It’s only a pool game.

The All Blacks have finally lost a group match at a Rugby World Cup after 31 consecutive wins – outmuscled by France 27-13 in the 2023 opener.

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The All Blacks attack was clunky with a cross-kick the only weapon consistently likely to prize open the French defense.

Discipline was poor with the All Blacks losing the penalty count 12-4, the scrum faulted in the first half, and it’s hard to recall a single lineout drive.

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The hosts’ territorial kicking was superior and their work at the breakdown efficient, helped by the late withdrawal of All Blacks captain Sam Cane, and the most baffling All Blacks World Cup selection since Christian Cullen played centre in 1999.

What on earth was lock Tupou Vaa’i doing at blindside flanker?

Points Flow Chart

France win +14
Time in lead
47
Mins in lead
33
59%
% Of Game In Lead
41%
52%
Possession Last 10 min
48%
8
Points Last 10 min
0

In his Super Rugby career, Vaa’i has only started three of his 44 games for the Chiefs in the six jersey. All those games were in 2022 with two defeats against the Blues (22-24) and the Crusaders (19-34). The only win was against bottom-placed Moana Pasifika.

In 23 Tests for the All Blacks Vaa’i played 18 minutes as a replacement for openside Dalton Papalii in a dead rubber victory over Australia (38-21) in Perth in 2021. He has recently drifted into the loose forwards with little explanation.

Nine nondescript minutes in the 35-20 success over South Africa on July 15 was followed by a more conspicuous struggle – 41 minutes on the blindside in the record 7-35 defeat against the Springboks on August 25.

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Since Jerome Kaino retired in 2017, Liam Squire, Shannon Frizell, Akira Ioane, Ethan Blackadder, Dalton Papalii, Vaea Fifta, Luke Jacobson, and Ardie Savea have played blindside flanker in a Test match.

Such instability. Surely a better pathway forward is to pick actual loose forwards.

Frizell, unfortunately injured, is clearly head of the pack after three storming displays in the 2023 Rugby Championship. Rookie Samipeni Finau appears to have fallen out of favour and what were the All Blacks selectors saying to Luke Jacobson omitting him at the expense of such a green replacement?

Typically, an eight, Jacobson played more games at blindside for the Chiefs in 2022 than what Vaa’i has played in his whole career.

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Scott Barrett isn’t an ideal blindside, but he’s played 40 more tests than Vaa’i.

Surely, he was a better pick in an emergency than Vaa’i especially with Brodie Retallick (104 Tests) left on the bench.

Vaa’i is noted as a strong carrier and brings greater height than Jacobson. That can be the only logic for his selection which in this Test was a complete failure. He could have started at lock too but that would have exposed the initial folly of taking too few loose forwards.

As a trio the All Blacks loose forwards were completely outplayed by the French. Vaa’i was a lamb to the slaughter, a fish out of water. A gifted young athlete let down by bad selection. The field day had by Charles Ollivon at the breakdown was a highlight for the French.

Injury to wing Emoni Narawa leaves a space open in the All Blacks roster. Outside back cover appears less essential than loose forward cover.

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Ethan Blackadder recovered from his latest injury, and following a strong 93 minutes in two wins for Tasman in the NPC, has been summoned to France.

Will Blackadder drastically improve fortunes after just five matches for the Crusaders in Super Rugby in 2023? His last All Blacks Test was in a loss to Ireland in 2021.

Blackadder, when available, has been an essential cog in the Crusaders juggernaut. Of the 36 matches he’s played for the seven-time reigning champions 28 have been on the blindside with only four defeats suffered.

Blackadder is not an exceptional lineout jumper, but he will add considerable zeal at the breakdown. He is a prolific tacker, robust on his feet, and an assertive cleaner. His carrying and distribution are more nuanced than Vaa’i and he’s work rate in tight is higher than Papalii and Jacobson.

The All Blacks don’t have the raw power of South Africa, France, or Ireland. A loose forward trio of Blackadder, Papalii and Ardie Savea lends itself to a more savaging, quicker style of play which could spare us of the incessant kicking.

What if Blackadder succumbs to injury again? Brad Shields last played for England in 2019. He’s been immense for the Wellington Lions in the NPC. You could do a lot worse than a seasoned campaigner like Shields right now.

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Comments

26 Comments
S
Sebastian 285 days ago

Great analysis below but NZ penalties doomed the AB's. Ramos is just too good to give away that many points

N
NJ 286 days ago

ok, and....

j
john 288 days ago

I think that Christie should have been left at home and they should have taken Brad Weber he's alot more experienced than Christie and he played very well for chiefs leading them to a final

R
Ryan 288 days ago

Fair point, but I felt the game really turned when the ABs brought on Finley Christie.
He's a good club player at SR, but he's not going to be a difference maker in the final quarter at Test level... Smith was pretty solid against AD, but when the 21s entered it was impossible to create momentum... think they need to have Cam at 21.

T
Tristan 288 days ago

This AB coaching panel has repeatedly selected players in a squad and then not trusted them to play, instead preferring to play another player out of position. As a fan, the last 4 years have been excruciating. Home losses to Ireland and Argentina, series loss to Ireland, record loss to Boks, first RWC pool loss. And in every instance the opposition was the better team and we deserved to lose. Roll on 2024.

A
Alfred 288 days ago

Adam Julian play blindside test rugby before? Lol let alone played rugby before?

Side line commentators always quick to pull the trigger. Va'ai is not the reason why the ABs lost.
You can't keep winning forever, doesn't work like that.

AB's will click soon and when they do? and Va'ai does also... then silence from mr adam julian lol. ABs are fine and a couple of games to get the mojo back...

B
B.J. Spratt 288 days ago

A review of New Zealand Rugby governance has found the current New Zealand Rugby Union constitution and consequent governance structures “are not fit for purpose in the modern era.”

Probably explains it all really. Interesting report.

M
Massive 288 days ago

Va'ai an obvious choice having height and weight we need

B
Bob Marler 289 days ago

Why does it seem as if Foster, Schmidt and Ryan are out of ideas?

This team is performing as a team that’s being led by an outgoing coaching staff coasting to the end of their tenure. The players look like it. Fosters interview after the game confirmed it for me. Didn’t seem to give a $&@#.

I think the last 4 years has been a failure in management. There are too many amazing players in this team and beyond for it to be about anything less.

The lesson here would be - don’t have a coach at the World Cup that doesn’t stand to lose his job after a poor showing at the World Cup. If Razor is succeeding Foster - he should’ve been there already. This clean sweep of coaches after this campaign seems stupid now.

N
Neil 289 days ago

Can't understand why they did not start Jacobson at blindside? He might just have a tad more experience in the back row than Vaai. But hey, I'm not really worried as I know Fozzie has plenty of wingers to come off the bench & slot into the scrum if there are more injuries.

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