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Six Nations expectations soaring in Scotland despite scepticism from outside

By PA
(Photo by PA)

Expectation levels in Scotland are as high as they have been for several years ahead of a Guinness Six Nations revival.

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The positive vibe north of Hadrian’s Wall is not in keeping with the assertion of those bookmakers who have priced up Gregor Townsend’s burgeoning side as fifth favourites in a six-horse race.

Scepticism from outside is perhaps understandable as Scotland have not won the tournament since 1999, when it was still the Five Nations. Nevertheless, there is a genuine sense that something special is brewing in Scottish rugby at present.

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Underpinned by a couple of vibrant club teams in Edinburgh and Glasgow who are rearing an exciting batch of talent to augment top-class operators like Ali Price, Finn Russell, Stuart Hogg and Hamish Watson who went to South Africa with the British and Irish Lions last summer, Scotland are now regularly proving a tough opponent for the world’s top teams.

Ranked seventh on the planet, they have defeated four of their five Six Nations rivals, as well as Australia, over the last 15 months alone. Ireland are the only team in the tournament the Scots have failed to get the better of in this period.

There is respect, but certainly no fear of England – whom they beat at Twickenham last year – or France – beaten in their last two meetings. Recent experience of putting the two tournament favourites to the sword ensures confidence is high within Townsend’s squad.

“It should create belief, and it does, but it’s a new tournament,” said the head coach. “You’ve got to put your game out there and take on these very, very good teams over a seven-week period. Certainly the experiences this team has had should put them in a very good place and full of optimism going into this tournament.”

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For all the big moments Scotland have enjoyed in recent times, the fact remains that they have not troubled the top two in the table since the Five Nations became Six in 2000. Consistency – or lack thereof – has been the stumbling block for a side currently not short on quality.

Last year, for instance, they beat England away, then lost in Wales. They have been perennially unable to get more than three wins from their five fixtures. The challenge is to find the level of collective focus required to turn three tournament wins into four or even five and endorse the notion – developing for some time under Townsend – that Scotland are on the brink of breaking new ground.

“We’d obviously love to win more than three games because if you do that, you’re going to finish in the top two,” said the head coach. “We’ve had experiences, we’ve got the players and we have the belief to do as well as we’ve ever done but we know the teams around us are all playing really well, as they’ve shown in November. It’s going to be as big a challenge as ever, if not even bigger.

“We are on a continual path to improvement. Whether we see that in the Six Nations or beyond, we’ll keeping working hard. We believe that with the group we have, the experiences they have had, and the fact they’ve improved since last year’s Six Nations, that we can win our games, but we know there are going to be challenges throughout this tournament.”

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Flankly 14 hours ago
The AI advantage: How the next two Rugby World Cups will be won

If rugby wants to remain interesting in the AI era then it will need to work on changing the rules. AI will reduce the tactical advantage of smart game plans, will neutralize primary attacking weapons, and will move rugby from a being a game of inches to a game of millimetres. It will be about sheer athleticism and technique,about avoiding mistakes, and about referees. Many fans will find that boring. The answer is to add creative degrees of freedom to the game. The 50-22 is an example. But we can have fun inventing others, like the right to add more players for X minutes per game, or the equivalent of the 2-point conversion in American football, the ability to call a 12-player scrum, etc. Not saying these are great ideas, but making the point that the more of these alternatives you allow, the less AI will be able to lock down high-probability strategies. This is not because AI does not have the compute power, but because it has more choices and has less data, or less-specific data. That will take time and debate, but big, positive and immediate impact could be in the area of ref/TMO assistance. The technology is easily good enough today to detect forward passes, not-straight lineouts, offside at breakdown/scrum/lineout, obstruction, early/late tackles, and a lot of other things. WR should be ultra aggressive in doing this, as it will really help in an area in which the game is really struggling. In the long run there needs to be substantial creativity applied to the rules. Without that AI (along with all of the pro innovations) will turn rugby into a bash fest.

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