The Return of SBW and the All Black's midfield puzzle
Sonny Bill Williams returned to the Blues starting line up against the Hurricanes and put in an inspired performance. The All Blacks selectors could have ticked off his upcoming selection after the first forty minutes. If he remains healthy it seems like an inevitability that he will be in the 12 jersey when the All Blacks take on France.
He is unlike any other midfielder in New Zealand Super Rugby teams – he is the last of the ‘big’ midfielders in the country. While other teams have trended towards smaller, ball-playing midfielders, SBW remains a sizable force whose job is to bend the defensive line with strong carries and line running.
His ability to punch through the line and suck in defenders is unrivaled in World Rugby – when you add in the masterful offloading ability you get a unique attacking weapon. This was on show again in his return, as he wrapped one behind the back of sweeping halfback Finlay Christie whilst sandwiched between the tackles of Ardie Savea and Ngani Laumape for a try assist.
Here is the bottom line – no other 12 available for the All Blacks can create space at the line for other players like Williams. Every carry he has requires the attention of multiple defenders and as a freakish contortionist, he can get the ball away from impossible situations. There are very few players that can complete a one-on-one tackle on Williams and prevent an offload. Last year with the All Blacks he shelved a lot of the offloading but showed he has added a short kicking game to his repertoire.
Ryan Crotty, Tei Waldon, Ngani Laumape, Johnny Fa’auli have been the regular starters for each of the other franchises, with the Blues running with a carousel of players in Williams absence. The closest clone is Laumape, who is used as a compact battering ram but is significantly smaller and doesn’t possess the same level of vision. His primary instinct is to run over players, rather than anticipate the tackle and look for support.
With France playing a one-dimensional crash and bash game around Mathieu Bastareaud, picking Williams will ensure that France doesn’t have as much gain line success. His defence is imposing, and he is capable of shutting down Bastareaud single-handedly.
The British & Irish Lions success with two playmakers at 10 and 12 (Jonathan Sexton and Owen Farrell) raised discussion about New Zealand trending that way with a double-barreled attack, but there isn’t a 10 in New Zealand with the size and defensive reliability of Farrell that could play that role.
If the All Blacks want some balance in the midfield it will be at centre where they can pick a ball-playing midfielder and luckily they have a plethora of them. This means the one man that risks getting squeezed out is Ryan Crotty – despite recommitting to NZR on a one-year deal. He does currently provide that balance but his play dipped last year at international level and with rising stars in New Zealand’s centre stocks, one more year might be a bridge too far. Although Williams is older at 32-years-old, he is a superior athlete and doesn’t require as much speed as a centre does.
At Super level, the Crusaders prefer Crotty at 12 with the young Jack Goodhue favoured at centre. Presumably, the athleticism of youth gives Goodhue the nod, allowing Crotty to defend inside and avoid matchups against more athletic opposition. At international level, this may continue to become too much of an ask. If Crotty shows more signs of slowing in 2018, it might be time to build a new midfield combination around Williams.
Goodhue has been outstanding in one and half seasons of Super Rugby and is firmly in contention to partner with Williams. His line running is astute and he would find plenty of lanes to hit outside of Williams. His passing game would enable the All Blacks to still get enough quality ball to wings like Ioane. Their skill sets complement each other and would be my preferred pairing.
Anton Lienart-Brown is another top-level centre playing at a high level in Super Rugby. He has the most line breaks (9) and line break assists (8) of the bunch. His passing abilities are similar to Goodhue, with excellent catch-pass ability.
The most surprising contender is the Highlanders Rob Thompson who statistically has been one the best centres this season in Super Rugby. He has the third-best tackle success rate (86.8%) of the New Zealand centres, a touch behind Lienert-Brown (87.0%) and Goodhue (87.65%). In attack, he has registered five try assists and two tries, along with six line breaks and eight line break assists which is the highest output of any New Zealand centre. His dynamic short range kicking game has been integral to the Highlanders play.
Of the emerging bunch, it’s hard to split the three. They each offer slightly different strengths but all have great defence and ball-playing ability. Matt Proctor is a fourth option but surprisingly has a lower tackle success rate and hasn’t had the time on the field that the others have.
Don’t be surprised to see Williams partner with a new centre before the Rugby World Cup, at the very least as a backup trial and at most a replacement for Crotty.
In other news:
Comments on RugbyPass
Ah, good to find you Nick. Agree with everything about Cale. So much to like about his game
48 Go to commentsNot too bad. Questions at 6, lock and HB for me. The ABs will be a lot stronger once Jordan and Roigard return. Also, work needs to be made to secure Frizzell back for next season and maybe also Mo’unga; they’re just wasting time playing in japan
22 Go to commentsOn the title, i wonder for many of those people it is a case something like a belief in working smarter, not harder?
1 Go to commentsForget Sotutu. One of those whose top level is Super Rugby. Id take a punt on Wallace Sititi Finau ahead of Glass body Blackadder.
22 Go to commentsI’m a pensioner so I've been around a bit. My opinion of SBW is he is an elite athlete and a great New Zealander and roll model. He has been to the top and knows what he's talking about. To all the negative comments regarding SBW the typical New Zealand way, cut that tall poppy down.
17 Go to commentsI'm not listening to a guy moralise over others when this is the guy who walked out mid season on Canterbury RLFC when he had a contract with them, what a hypocrite. Those praising him are a joke.
17 Go to commentsI’d put Finau at 6 instead of Blackadder but that’s the only change I’d make. Can’t wait to see who Razor picks.
22 Go to commentsTamati Williams, Codie Taylor, and Same Cane? Not sure about Hoskins Sotutu at test level. Wasn’t that impressive last season. Need a balance between experience and talent/youth.
22 Go to commentsInteresting insight. Fantastic athlete, and a genuine human being.
17 Go to commentsThey played at night in Suva last weekend and it’s an afternoon game forecast for 19 degrees in Canberra this weekend. Heat change is a non issue.
1 Go to commentsWishing Rosie a speedy recovery
1 Go to commentsObscene that SA haven’t been knocking
1 Go to commentsChances of Blackadder being injured seem too high to give him serious consideration. ABs loosie combination finally looked good with 2 committed to tackling and clearing rucks in the centre and Ardie roaming. Hoskins/Ardie together would force one of them into where they don’t excel and don’t get to use their talent, or require a change in tactics. If we continue to evolve last years systems I would take Papali’i and Finau at 6 and 7 (conceding that Blackadder will be injured) and Ardie at 8.
22 Go to commentsArdie’s preferred position 7? Where do they get these writers from? I've no idea where he's playing in Japan, but the previous two seasons he wore the 7 jersey exactly twice.
17 Go to commentsNot good to hear Ulster described as “financially troubled”. Did not think it was getting to that level. I would hope the Irish system of spreading players of talent away from Leinster would kick in now. Better to have a Leinster fringe player with Ulster or Connacht, then getting only a few games a season in Dublin. 10, for example, would seem to be a case for spreading the talent. I would not be at all adverse to a SA man coming in as head coach/DR. Ludeke is worth trying. Certainly got a long and impressive coaching career at this level…..149 games in SR, then Japan, 30 years experience. And Ulster’s ledger of successful SA coaches and players is on the positive side. Is talk of Ruan Pienaar interested in coming back as a coach…..could be a good combination with Ludeke. And Pienaar and family would have no settling in to do, one would judge. He loved life in Ulster when there, by all reports.
1 Go to commentsSome thoughts to consider here, Sam. Thanks
2 Go to commentsI think he is right, SBW is respected in RSA. The guy who never stood up is a worm. Sseems lots of NZ SBW hate, you do the crime do the time.
17 Go to commentsAfter missing the curfew, the player was simply too “Shagged” to stand up.
17 Go to commentsVernier is probably the best 12 in the world though she has some English competition these days . I am nervous for England because it is unpredictable France and who knows which team will turn up, but they have not yet shown anything that should worry England, Saturday could be a different day. I would be more confident against the BFs.
1 Go to commentsWhat a difference Rodda and Carter made. Rodda has been out for ages but he is really the only world class lock in Australian rugby. Him, Carter and Beale made a huge difference on the weekend. If only they had a few decent props they’d be a much more dangerous team. Hamish Stewart was excellent last week as well. His carrying has improved significantly and has to be next in line after Paisami at 12 for the Wallabies. He’ll benefit hugely with Beale at fullback, there’s just no better communicator in Australian rugby than him and his experience will make a huge difference for the Force. No one sees space like Beale and he’s still sharp. I can see Force making a late charge into the top 8 if they can get some consistency.
2 Go to comments