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No excuses for Brumbies - Super Rugby 2019 Preview

By Tom Vinicombe

When coach, Dan McKellar inherited the Brumbies from Stephen Larkham in 2018, he was faced with the task of taking a team who had failed to live up to the lofty standards of yester-years to the top of the Super Ruby table.

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The Brumbies, Australia’s most successful Super Rugby team, were once a team to be feared. When schedules were announced, trips to Canberra were written off as a probable loss for any visiting coaches.

It’s been years since the Brumbies were really a force. In 2013 the men from Australia’s capital almost stole the Super Rugby crown from the Chiefs but other than this flash of success, the Brumbies have been a middling team propped up on the competition ladder due to the much-maligned structure of the Super Rugby competition.

2013 through to 2017 saw the Brumbies consistently make the knockout rounds of the competition – a five season run equalled in Australia only by themselves between 2000 and 2004. Despite this accomplishment, there was little to no expectation that the team would really cause any ripples in the playoffs, such was the relative strength of their competitors.

Once McKellar took over the reins last year, things went from bad to worse.

The Brumbies failed to make the playoffs in 2018 and also fell behind both the Waratahs and the Rebels in the Australian conference. Although the Brumbies fell to their lowest placing in six years, the fact that they won more games than in 2017 would have been a minor consolation to McKellar. There’s room to improve, no doubt, but things aren’t categorically bleak.

Fire power in the backs

The Brumbies squad has remained fairly settled between 2018 and 2019, losing only a few players overseas or to other Australian sides. This means that the potent combination of Tom Banks and Henry Speight remains in the back three and the shrewd recruitment of Toni Pulu from across the Tasman will only strengthen the Brumbies’ attack.

Pulu was once dubbed the fastest man in New Zealand rugby by his then-coach Dave Rennie and although his pace and awareness has never received much interest by the All Blacks selectors, Pulu was fast-tracked into the wider Australia squad at the end of last year to give him a taste of Wallaby life.

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Though his selection on the wing is not guaranteed in a Brumbies squad well stocked with outside backs, he’ll run out in the 14 jersey for the season opener and will have plenty of opposition sides on edge.

With Christian Lealiifano running the cutter (and Wharenui Hawera a reliable, if not spectacular backup), the Brumbies will be set on making sure that the outside backs are given enough time and space to create some magic. Kyle Godwin has departed for greener pastures so it will be up to the long-serving Tevita Kuridrani to be the key link in the midfield. How he pairs with the other less experienced midfield options will be a major factor in whether the backlines hums.

Keeping the engine purring

Whilst there are a number of gamebreakers in the backs, the Brumbies’ forwards have tended to do the most damage to opposition teams in the past. With McKellar taking charge last year, the squad did seem less reliant on the frankly boring game of kick and chase had been playing under Larkham and Laurie Fisher in the preceding years – but that doesn’t mean the engine room doesn’t have a kick to it for 2019.

After a bit of controversy in 2018, Wallaby prop James Slipper has made the move west from the Reds. It’s rare to successfully court a player of such a high calibre so regardless of how Slipper has ended up in Canberra, the Brumbies will make great use of his service.

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The 1-2 punch of Slipper and Scott Sio will be one of the best in the competition and with Alan Alaalatoa holding up the tighthead side of the scrum, the Brumbies will not be left wanting in the props department.

Hooker Folau Fainga’a was drafted into the squad last year to cover for injuries and made an instant impact. He has naturally been selected in the full squad for 2019 and although he lacks experience, he comes across as a player with great potential and the time he spent with the squad last year will give him confidence to push on.

Elder statesman Joshua Mann-Rea will chalk up his 50th cap later in the year and no matter which combination of hookers is put out alongside the props, the Brumbies’ front row will certainly be up there with the top quintets in Super Rugby.

The locks and loose forwards remain relatively unchanged for the Brumbies for 2019, excepting the recent addition of former Crusader Pete Samu. The Brumbies were well served last year by the likes of Rory Arnold, Sam Carter and the world class David Pocock. Samu adds a bit more mongrel to the loose forwards and although his performances for the Wallabies have not set the world alight, he is a very able player at Super Rugby level.

Playoffs to easy a goal

With almost half of the competing teams playing in the knockout matches at the end of the season, simply making the playoffs isn’t a high enough target for Australia’s premier Super Rugby franchise. The Brumbies should be setting a target of at least making the semi-finals – a feat which they will likely only achieve if they can also top the ladder in the Australian conference.

As far as draws go, the Brumbies will have no complaints for 2019. Well-spaced byes as well as multiple matches against all the Australian teams (including the Sunwolves) should path the way for a manageable run to the playoffs.

The toughest period for the Brumbies will be the month after their first bye where they will be tasked with taking on the Crusaders (away), Lions (home), Stormers (away) and Jaguares (away). If they can bank enough points in the lead up to this period and scrounge a few bonus points here and there, there’s a real chance that the Brumbies could have some hefty momentum heading into the playoffs – not dissimilar to last year when they won four out of their last five matches.

Ultimately, Dan McKellar and his Brumbies will want to earn a quarter-final berth at the bare minimum this year. On paper, they have a squad that is very capable of topping the Australian conference – whether or not they can deliver on this promise, however, is anyone’s guess.

Watch: Brumbies skipper Christian Lealiifano speaks to media ahead of Super Rugby season opener

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Mzilikazi 1 hours ago
How Leinster neutralised 'long-in-the-tooth' La Rochelle

Had hoped you might write an article on this game, Nick. It’s a good one. Things have not gone as smoothly for ROG since beating Leinster last year at the Aviva in the CC final. LAR had the Top 14 Final won till Raymond Rhule missed a simple tackle on the excellent Ntamack, and Toulouse reaped the rewards of just staying in the fight till the death. Then the disruption of the RWC this season. LAR have not handled that well, but they were not alone, and we saw Pau heading the Top 14 table at one stage early season. I would think one of the reasons for the poor showing would have to be that the younger players coming through, and the more mature amongst the group outside the top 25/30, are not as strong as would be hoped for. I note that Romain Sazy retired at the end of last season. He had been with LAR since 2010, and was thus one of their foundation players when they were promoted to Top 14. Records show he ended up with 336 games played with LAR. That is some experience, some rock in the team. He has been replaced for the most part by Ultan Dillane. At 30, Dillane is not young, but given the chances, he may be a fair enough replacement for Sazy. But that won’be for more than a few years. I honestly know little of the pathways into the LAR setup from within France. I did read somewhere a couple of years ago that on the way up to Top 14, the club very successfully picked up players from the academies of other French teams who were not offered places by those teams. These guys were often great signings…can’t find the article right now, so can’t name any….but the Tadgh Beirne type players. So all in all, it will be interesting to see where the replacements for all the older players come from. Only Lleyd’s and Rhule from SA currently, both backs. So maybe a few SA forwards ?? By contrast, Leinster have a pretty clear line of good players coming through in the majority of positions. Props maybe a weak spot ? And they are very fleet footed and shrewd in appointing very good coaches. Or maybe it is also true that very good coaches do very well in the Leinster setup. So, Nick, I would fully concurr that “On the evidence of Saturday’s semi-final between the two clubs, the rebuild in the Bay of Biscay is going to take longer than it is on the east coast of Ireland”

11 Go to comments
S
Sam T 7 hours ago
Jake White: Let me clear up some things

I remember towards the end of the original broadcasting deal for Super rugby with Newscorp that there was talk about the competition expanding to improve negotiations for more money - more content, more cash. Professional rugby was still in its infancy then and I held an opposing view that if Super rugby was a truly valuable competition then it should attract more broadcasters to bid for the rights, thereby increasing the value without needing to add more teams and games. Unfortunately since the game turned professional, the tension between club, talent and country has only grown further. I would argue we’re already at a point in time where the present is the future. The only international competitions that matter are 6N, RC and RWC. The inter-hemisphere tours are only developmental for those competitions. The games that increasingly matter more to fans, sponsors and broadcasters are between the clubs. Particularly for European fans, there are multiple competitions to follow your teams fortunes every week. SA is not Europe but competes in a single continental competition, so the travel component will always be an impediment. It was worse in the bloated days of Super rugby when teams traversed between four continents - Africa, America, Asia and Australia. The percentage of players who represent their country is less than 5% of the professional player base, so the sense of sacrifice isn’t as strong a motivation for the rest who are more focused on playing professional rugby and earning as much from their body as they can. Rugby like cricket created the conundrum it’s constantly fighting a losing battle with.

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E
Ed the Duck 14 hours ago
How Leinster neutralised 'long-in-the-tooth' La Rochelle

Hey Nick, your match analysis is decent but the top and tail not so much, a bit more random. For a start there’s a seismic difference in regenerating any club side over a test team. EJ pretty much had to urinate with the appendage he’d been given at test level whereas club success is impacted hugely by the budget. Look no further than Boudjellal’s Toulon project for a perfect example. The set ups at La Rochelle and Leinster are like chalk and cheese and you are correct that Leinster are ahead. Leinster are not just slightly ahead though, they are light years ahead on their plans, with the next gen champions cup team already blooded, seasoned and developing at speed from their time manning the fort in the URC while the cream play CC and tests. They have engineered a strong talent conveyor belt into their system, supported by private money funnelled into a couple of Leinster private schools. The really smart move from Leinster and the IRFU however is maximising the Irish Revenue tax breaks (tax relief on the best 10 years earnings refunded at retirement) to help keep all of their stars in Ireland and happy, while simultaneously funding marquee players consistently. And of course Barrett is the latest example. But in no way is he a “replacement for Henshaw”, he’s only there for one season!!! As for Rob Baxter, the best advice you can give him is to start lobbying Parliament and HMRC for a similar state subsidy, but don’t hold your breath… One thing Cullen has been very smart with is his coaching team. Very quickly he realised his need to supplement his skills, there was talk of him exiting after his first couple of years but he was extremely shrewd bringing in Lancaster and now Nienaber. That has worked superbly and added a layer that really has made a tangible difference. Apart from that you were bang on the money… 😉😂

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