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An MIT economist has ranked the 58 best club sides on the planet

By Online Editors
World Club

Rugby analysis website ‘Rugby Vision‘ have released their list of the 58 best club sides in the world according to statistics.

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The rankings include teams from Super Rugby, the Aviva Premiership, the Pro14 and even one from the Russian Premiership.

According to Rugby Vision “The rankings only include games (so far) from the 2017-18 season (details buried at the bottom of the table). The rankings account for opposition strength, but a team can gain rating points by beating a weak team by more than expected (with diminishing returns).”

The rankings, which act not unlike a quasi-club version of World Rugby international World Rankings have been calculated since the start of the 2017/2018 season, and have been made possible by the inclusion of the Cheetahs and the Kings in the Pro14.

New Zealand Super Rugby franchises dominate the top the ranking, following by a number of Pro14 sides, while the Aviva Premiership first entry is not until Exeter and Saracens in seventh and eighth place respectively.

The Top 14 don’t feature in the ranking 14th place, with La Rochelle leading the French sides.

Constructed by a MIT economist, Rugby Vision (RV) is a suite of statistical models that predicts outcomes for major rugby competitions. According to the website “For each game, RV calculates the expected score margin and the probability of each team winning. RV also calculates the probability of each team obtaining various milestones in a tournament.”

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The rankings have come out of those calculations.

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Flankly 18 hours ago
The AI advantage: How the next two Rugby World Cups will be won

If rugby wants to remain interesting in the AI era then it will need to work on changing the rules. AI will reduce the tactical advantage of smart game plans, will neutralize primary attacking weapons, and will move rugby from a being a game of inches to a game of millimetres. It will be about sheer athleticism and technique,about avoiding mistakes, and about referees. Many fans will find that boring. The answer is to add creative degrees of freedom to the game. The 50-22 is an example. But we can have fun inventing others, like the right to add more players for X minutes per game, or the equivalent of the 2-point conversion in American football, the ability to call a 12-player scrum, etc. Not saying these are great ideas, but making the point that the more of these alternatives you allow, the less AI will be able to lock down high-probability strategies. This is not because AI does not have the compute power, but because it has more choices and has less data, or less-specific data. That will take time and debate, but big, positive and immediate impact could be in the area of ref/TMO assistance. The technology is easily good enough today to detect forward passes, not-straight lineouts, offside at breakdown/scrum/lineout, obstruction, early/late tackles, and a lot of other things. WR should be ultra aggressive in doing this, as it will really help in an area in which the game is really struggling. In the long run there needs to be substantial creativity applied to the rules. Without that AI (along with all of the pro innovations) will turn rugby into a bash fest.

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