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Kieran Read: All Blacks missing 'absolute belief' that Springboks possess


Beyond anything else, NZR and All Blacks fans will be hoping Dave Rennie can wrestle the Webb Ellis Cup back off South Africa in 2027 (Photo by Xavier Laine/Getty Images)
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Former All Blacks captain Kieran Read has delivered his assessment on what teams possess the dangerous “absolute belief” that his All Blacks teams of the early 2010s had.

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The 127-Test forward says the trait is defined not by confidence, but by the knowledge that regardless of the circumstance, your team has what it takes to come out on top. There is only one way to acquire that knowledge: winning, consistently.

After lifting the 2011 Rugby World Cup, the All Blacks proceeded to win 41 of 46 games heading into the 2015 tournament, and while there were some resounding victories, there were also plenty of close calls that ultimately went the Kiwis’ way.

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One particular match, against Ireland at Dublin’s Aviva Stadium in the final Test of the 2013 campaign, saw New Zealand facing a 19-0 deficit after just 20 minutes. But as Read recalled this week during an appearance on The Good, The Bad & Rugby Australia & New Zealand show, the team’s belief never wavered.

“That was 2013, and we were trying to go unbeaten that year,” Read said. “It was the last game of the season, so there was a little bit of letting the foot off the throat for us, maybe, at the start of that game, but we’re a team that had built this absolute belief in each other and the ability to come back from whatever situation was thrown at us. 

“So in that moment, we were down and out; it was like, ‘Okay, let’s go back to who we are, which is being All Blacks’, and you got Skipper (Richie McCaw) just telling you to relax and calm down, and we’re in a pretty good space mentally in that game, even though the scoreboard was telling us something different. It was like, ‘Nah, go to our process.’

“We got lucky with a missed kick from (Johnny) Sexton in the game, and then we went the whole field on the last play, in the 84th minute, and scored. 

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“So there’s something about belief, and there’s something about building that over a period of time, and you can’t just switch it on.”

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It was Ryan Crotty who scored that match-winning try, with Aaron Cruden converting when awarded a second attempt from the tee, and the All Blacks finished the 2013 season with a perfect record. Read went on to apply that idea of “absolute belief” to this weekend’s slate of Super Rugby Pacific semi-finals.

“It’s hard if you’re the Blues trying to switch it on in the changing shed; you can say it, but it’s not deep down in there, right? There are certain teams, I think the Chiefs and Crusaders certainly will have that. If they have to go to Wellington and win, they’ll have that in them. Most definitely, the Crusaders will have that in them; they’ve got two-thirds of that team that have been there, done that, and they know they can do it, and so that has a huge bearing on your mental capacity to keep going under a little bit of adversity or fatigue or scoreboard pressure, or whatever it is.”

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While Read’s All Blacks developed the belief over a period of sustained success, that’s something the current national squad haven’t achieved to the same degree in recent years.

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With the Kiwis and famous rivals South Africa set to lock horns in a gruelling four-Test series later this year, Read delivered his verdict on where the All Blacks stand in 2026. He didn’t hesitate when asked whether the team have that “abolsute belief”.

“No, they don’t, but it’s because they don’t have the experiences or the evidence of it happening, right? Being put there and coming out the other side.

“The South Africans have it, they definitely have it. They’ve built this experience with games that are hard, and they’ve come through, and they’ve won, and they’ve got an ability to know exactly who they are and exactly how they play.

“So it’s more than just a belief to come out of sticky situations, belief to know how you play the game, and the South Africans know exactly how to play the game. The All Blacks right now probably don’t. There’s opportunities with new staff and things.

“The Hurricanes know exactly who they are. I’d say, the Crusaders and Chiefs are probably similar as well, and they’re the three best teams, because they know and are confident in how they play the game, and everyone knows their role, says ‘let’s go out there and do it’, and it shows on the field.

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43 Comments
J
JW 44 days ago

That’s a funny thing to say about the Springbok, who lost at Eden Park playing a one dimensional game, and reverted back to that game on the end of year tour.


I still think they are in a little bit of limbo to say they have the same confidence as Reads AB team. I general I find myself surprised at how little Read seems to embody that All Black mantra, given what he’s talking about is not just a belief you can do it, but far more so that you have to do it.


Makes his end of career form slump a little more enlightening.

P
PB 43 days ago

Simplistic view mate. Given the difference Jasper Wiese made, upon his return, the question is, given the narrow win at Eden Park, how likely would that win have been had Wiese been available?


If all are available the Boks simply have too much firepower currently for the AB’s


Going into the Rivals series, if injuries don’t further disrupt, the Boks have massive depth and firepower.


LH: Ox, Boan Venter, Steenekamp, Mchunu

Hooker: Marx, Marnus vd Merwe, J-H Wessels, Grobbelaar

TH: Wilco Louw, Tank du Toit, Carlu Sadie, Porthen

Lock: Eben, Lood, Nortje, JJ vd Mescht, Norton, Mostert, Reuben v Heerden

Flanks: Kolisi, PSDT, Elrigh Louw, Batho Hlekani, Tshituka bros, Paul de Villiers, Cobus Wiese

8th men: Wiese, Hanekom, Roos

SH: Faf, Papier, Williams, Hashim Pead, Khan

FH: Sacha, Libbok, Pollard, Moyo, Yaqeen Ahmed, Siyaya.

Centre: Am, Esterhuizen, de Allende, Kriel, Moodie, van Wyk, Muller

Wings: Kolbe, Arendse, Edwil vd Merwe, Jaco Williams

FB: Willemse, Fassi, Quan Horn, Gilliomee.

H
Hammer Head 44 days ago

Kieran Read has hit the nail on the head.


Case closed.

B
Blackmania 44 days ago

What Read says is partly true. Confidence is extremely important, and over the past few years it has largely evaporated among the All Blacks. The Springboks keep winning, and every victory adds to their confidence. Even so, the margins at the highest level of sport remain very small, and all of this can change quickly.


Believing in yourself is not enough. You also need to develop world-class training methods, game plans, and tactics. I think the All Blacks have made very little progress over the last ten years. They have relied on past achievements, believing they still had a comfortable edge over everyone else. In reality, that edge was much smaller than they thought. In elite sport, if you stand still, you fall behind because everyone else keeps improving.


For me, the real issue is not confidence itself, but the lack of innovation in New Zealand rugby over the past decade. I hope that is beginning to change, and that New Zealand rugby will once again become a leader in innovation. The All Blacks’ success can only come through innovation. A nation of five million people cannot compete with nations of 65 or 70 million people simply by copying what others do. That approach just doesn’t work.

J
JW 44 days ago

When he’s quoted as saying “So in that moment,” I think he’s probably been asked a direct question, and not say ‘picking the most important attribute’ which you seem to be suggesting.

C
ColinK 44 days ago

Totally agree Blackmania. As is always the way we learn more from defeat than victory, our dominant period fed into over confidence as it does for all teams. Rassie is special though and seems to have plans for avoiding it with the Boks. It will be fascinating to see if the things you mention are evident in Dave R’s coaching.

L
LondonAllBlack 45 days ago

Give Rennie five minutes mate! He only just got there.

P
PB 43 days ago

Maybe 5 months

d
d 44 days ago

and he is inheriting a situation arguably worse than Razor did, so yes he needs some slack. So what does NZR do? book him a ridiculously tough schedule right from the start. If they get belted 4-0 in SA, a distinct possibility, their morale might never recover.

S
SB 45 days ago

2013 is a long, long time ago. Hard to gain belief when nearly every single time the team gets under pressure on the scoreboard, they buckle and lose. All 3 losses last year were like that, similar to France and Argentina in 2024. In South Africa in 2024, the team did well but then late on lost. So this belief that Read talks about, is now with the Springboks. Add to the fact that now, the biggest loss in All Blacks history was inflicted on them last year and the mental side of things will also come into play.


Dave Rennie has a tough job on his hands, we will see every soon how he fares.

P
PickOllieMathisOrKeepLosing,Rob. 44 days ago

Springboks got nailed 57-0 and won a world cup 2 years later, so the mental side of things can be taken care of with effective preparation.

John Danaher talks about that in combat sports. If you know you can get yourself out of any tight spots, you are more likely to pull trigger on higher risk and reward plays, and better at recognizing when to use them.

The Boks have that mentality in spades.

j
johnz 45 days ago

The thing I worry about, is that our leadership group (and highest paid players) have developed the habit of losing the big games. And their leading the team.


Wining and losing are both habits.


I wonder if it’s time to inject youth into the leadership team, a few talented players without baggage. Hopefully Rennie will have the courage to do this - I suspect he might shake things up a bit.

B
Bazzallina 45 days ago

Got a good kate one against Scotland with a wet sail and England year before they are not that far off but I agree with Reado

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