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'They're going to put 40 points on us, maybe 50': Wales vs All Blacks preview

By Josh Raisey
Alun Wyn Jones tackles Brodie Retallick. (Photo by Billy Stickland/Photosport)

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Wales host the All Blacks this weekend in a clash between this year’s Guinness Six Nations champions and the Rugby Championship winners.

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While Ian Foster’s side will arrive fresh from a 104-14 win over the USA last weekend, it has been less rosy for Wayne Pivac, who has had to contend with a spate of injuries and unavailabilities from his Gallagher Premiership-based players.

This match will also be the 100th cap for the All Blacks’ Beauden Barrett.

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How Wales can defeat the All Blacks in Cardiff | Aotearoa Rugby Pod
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How Wales can defeat the All Blacks in Cardiff | Aotearoa Rugby Pod

When, where and how to watch the match
The match will kick-off at 17:15 (BST) on Saturday October 30th at the Principality Stadium and will be broadcast live on Amazon Prime.

Line-ups
Wales
15 Johnny McNicholl, 14 Owen Lane, 13 Jonathan Davies, 12 Johnny Williams, 11 Josh Adams, 10 Gareth Anscombe, 9 Tomos Williams, 1 Wyn Jones, 2 Ryan Elias, 3 Tomas Francis, 4 Adam Beard, 5 Alun Wyn Jones (c), 6 Ross Moriarty, 7 Taine Basham, 8 Aaron Wainwright
Replacements
16, Kirby Myhill, 17 Rhys Carre, 18 Dillon Lewis, 19 Will Rowlands, 20 Seb Davies, 21 Gareth Davies, 22 Rhys Priestland, 23 Ben Thomas

New Zealand
15 Jordie Barrett, 14 Will Jordan, 13 Anton Lienert-Brown, 12 David Havili, 11 Rieko Ioane, 10 Beauden Barrett, 9 TJ Perenara, 1 Joe Moody, 2 Codie Taylor, 3 Nepo Laulala, 4 Brodie Retallick, 5 Samuel Whitelock (c), 6 Ethan Blackadder, 7 Dalton Papalii, 8 Ardie Savea
Replacements
16 Samisoni Taukei’aho, 17 Karl Tu’inukuafe, 18 Tyrel Lomax, 19 Tupou Vaa’i, 20 Akira Ioane, 21 Brad Weber, 22 Richie Mo’unga, 23 Sevu Reece

Head-to-head
The head-to-head record between these two sides is not one that Wales fans will enjoy looking at, as it is almost 70 years since their last win over the All Blacks, a 13-8 win in Cardiff in December 1953. The All Blacks since then have built a 31 match winning streak, and boast a record of 32 wins and three losses.

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Match odds from bet365
bet365 have the handicap on Wales at +28, with 1/11 odds that the All Blacks win both halves. There are also 1/1 odds that Beauden Barrett scores a try on his 100th Test appearance.

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Prediction

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Former Wales No.8 Andy Powell was a guest on RugbyPass Offload this week, where he gave his view on how he thinks the match will unfold, and he is not brimming with confidence.

“Well we’ve got a lot of injuries and we’re going to give a chance to a lot of youngsters and it’s going to be a tough game, especially against the All Blacks,” the 23-cap Welshman said.

“We haven’t beaten them since 1953, that was the last time we beat them. But I think it’s going to be a tough game. I want Wales to win but I think we have to be realistic and you look at what New Zealand did to America the other day. I think they’re going to put 40 points on us, maybe 50. I hate to say that but Wales can always make it a tough game for New Zealand but I can’t see that happening.”

*Odds accurate as of 29/10/21.

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