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Snakes and ladders for All Blacks and Boks in World Rugby Rankings

By Ian Cameron
Samisoni Taukei'aho. (Photo by PHILL MAGAKOE/AFP via Getty Images)

The All Blacks have it all to play for again in World Rugby Rankings as they head into another Rugby Championship weekend.

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Ian Foster’s side will leapfrog South Africa into third place if they avoid defeat against Los Pumas and the Springboks lose to Australia in Adelaide.

However, in defeat New Zealand will likewise drop to fifth for the second time this month, equalling their lowest ever position since the rankings were introduced in October 2003.

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Foster named an unchanged starting line-up with the only change coming on the bench where Stephen Perofeta is poised for his test debut after replacing the injured Beauden Barrett.

The Springboks meanwhile will drop two places if they lose by more than 15 points and the All Blacks also beat Los Pumas.

Jacques Nienaber’s side cannot improve on third with victory as they would still trail France above them by at least 0.60 rating points.

The Boks made two changes to their starting line-up with Faf de Klerk returning at scrum-half and Warrick Gelant named on the wing in place of Jesse Kriel. Nienaber opted for a five-three split on the bench for the first time in 2022, after the tactic backfired last time out.

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The Wallabies will climb above Scotland into sixth place if they avoid defeat against the Boks and Argentina fail to beat the All Blacks. If both Australia and Argentina win then Los Pumas’ winning margin must be less than 15 points for Australia to climb to sixth. However, Dave Rennie’s side could drop to a new low of ninth in defeat.

Argentina cannot fall from their ninth place as they will lose only 0.03 rating points with a defeat by more than 15 points in NZ. Michael Cheika’s side will however jump two places – above Wales and Scotland – if they draw with the men in black.

A win by more than 15 points will lift Argentina to sixth, a position they have not occupied since September 2021. A smaller of margin would be sufficient if the Wallabies lose at home.

In Tier 2 rugby, Colombia will climb one place to 35th if they beat higher-ranked Brazil in the final match of the Sudamérica Rugby 3 Naciones 2022.

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Brazil provisionally climbed one place on the back of beating Paraguay 31-28 on Wednesday and will retain that 27th place with victory.

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Flankly 10 hours ago
The AI advantage: How the next two Rugby World Cups will be won

If rugby wants to remain interesting in the AI era then it will need to work on changing the rules. AI will reduce the tactical advantage of smart game plans, will neutralize primary attacking weapons, and will move rugby from a being a game of inches to a game of millimetres. It will be about sheer athleticism and technique,about avoiding mistakes, and about referees. Many fans will find that boring. The answer is to add creative degrees of freedom to the game. The 50-22 is an example. But we can have fun inventing others, like the right to add more players for X minutes per game, or the equivalent of the 2-point conversion in American football, the ability to call a 12-player scrum, etc. Not saying these are great ideas, but making the point that the more of these alternatives you allow, the less AI will be able to lock down high-probability strategies. This is not because AI does not have the compute power, but because it has more choices and has less data, or less-specific data. That will take time and debate, but big, positive and immediate impact could be in the area of ref/TMO assistance. The technology is easily good enough today to detect forward passes, not-straight lineouts, offside at breakdown/scrum/lineout, obstruction, early/late tackles, and a lot of other things. WR should be ultra aggressive in doing this, as it will really help in an area in which the game is really struggling. In the long run there needs to be substantial creativity applied to the rules. Without that AI (along with all of the pro innovations) will turn rugby into a bash fest.

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