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Pressure on Leinster to show they aren’t the new Clermont – Andy Goode

Leinster players look dejected after the Champions Cup final defeat to Saracens in Newcastle (Photo by Dan Mullan/Getty Images)

They may be facing the formidable reigning champions but Leinster are heavy favourites everywhere you look and the pressure really is on to prove they aren’t the new bridesmaids of European rugby.

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For years it was Clermont who were beaten in a plethora of major knockout games domestically and were perennially competing at the business end of the Champions Cup but lost three finals in the space of five years. It isn’t a mantle Leinster want to take on.

However, if Leinster do find La Rochelle too tough a nut to crack yet again, it will be a Clermont-esque third Champions Cup final defeat in five years and for all the talent and Grand Slam winners in their ranks it feels like they need this to prove there isn’t something amiss psychologically.

Nobody else got a sniff in the URC between 2017 and 2021 as Leinster won four straight titles and they still finish top of the table at the end of every regular season, winning nearly every game, but they have lost their last couple of big knockout games in that competition too.

It was something of a surprise to see them rest almost their entire starting XV in the semi-final defeat to rivals Munster last week, and that does provide them with a ready-made excuse, but the first choice side were stunned by the Bulls in Dublin less than a year ago as well.

A lot of bookies have Leinster at 1/3 to win the title, with La Rochelle at 5/2 and stats provider Oval Insights gives the Irishmen a massive 78% chance of victory in their win predictor, just to ramp up the pressure that little bit more.

Leinster Andrew Porter
Andrew Porter of Leinster after his side’s victory in the Heineken Champions Cup Semi-Final match between Leinster and Toulouse at the Aviva Stadium in Dublin. (Photo By Harry Murphy/Sportsfile via Getty Images)
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Clearly, a massive factor in all this is home advantage, something they’ve enjoyed throughout the knockout stages and might just help drag them over the line, although it can work both ways if the Frenchmen make a fast start.

Last week was just Leinster’s second defeat in their last 31 outings at the Aviva Stadium but finals are different and this showpiece occasion is almost always tight, with two thirds of the previous editions being settled by a margin of seven points or fewer.

The favourites tag and expectation of home fans is not something new for these Leinster players to deal with, far from it, but the recent Champions Cup final and URC semi-final defeats make it a fascinating aspect of this game.

Leinster have to dispel the doubts and impose their game on La Rochelle, something they haven’t managed to do in either of their previous meetings, and you can bet your bottom dollar that Ronan O’Gara will be encouraging his side to ensure those doubts creep in more and more with each passing minute.

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O Gara La Rochelle RFU <a href=
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It helps having some of the most sizeable players in the sport at your disposal but O’Gara is one of the most tactically astute coaches we’ve seen and his plan to slow Leinster down will be key.

The men in blue have been physically dominated by La Rochelle in the past and they have evolved since those days but it is the speed of ball that is absolutely crucial to them getting on top.

The reigning champions have swatted aside English opposition throughout the knockout stages of this competition and their work at the breakdown has become increasingly impressive.

Levani Botia was phenomenal in the quarter-final against Saracens, winning four turnovers on his own, and he often understandably gets the headlines but he’s the ace in the pack surrounded by other players who enable him to do that and are good over ball themselves.

Botia Champions Cup
(Photo by David Rogers/Getty Images)

That will be the major battleground, along with the set piece, but the match-up at fly-half will also be as pivotal as ever. Ross Byrne has really stepped up in Johnny Sexton’s absence of late but Antoine Hastoy has been a joy to watch at times in his first season at La Rochelle.

He may not get too many column inches because of the presence of the likes of Romain Ntamack and Matthieu Jalibert across the Channel but his game management, decision-making and kicking game, with flashes of brilliance to go with it, have been outstanding.

Pressure comes in many forms but with home advantage, the favourites tag, the fact they’ve prioritised this quest for a fifth star so much and the nagging doubts of recent defeats in big games, it feels like it is all on Leinster.

Having played in major finals domestically and in Europe, they just cut different. The psychological element obviously plays a much bigger role than it does in other matches and Leo Cullen and Stuart Lancaster’s men have to prove they have what it takes in that department.

This is supposed to be Leinster’s time. The behemoths of La Rochelle stand in their way but it’s almost all stacked in their favour and the pressure is on to prove they aren’t nearlymen and deserve the title of kings of Europe once more.

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Utiku Old Boy 1 hour ago
It'll take a brave individual to coach these All Blacks

This is an over-dramatization of the AB HC role IMO. I agree something has been “off” since before the 2019 RWC - even the last Lion’s series and it has not all been down to “improvements” by other teams (although that is definitely a reality). I think Rassie (again) shows how a strong coach manages both the locker room and the public perceptions by earning public and team trust through his strength of character, team innovations and improvement, decisiveness, fairness and owning mistakes. A strong NZ coach should have nothing to fear coming in to this environment. Much as I had hopes for Razor after Hanson II and Foster, I think Kirk’s decision is the right one as it was obvious to many of us, the “trajectory” was not there. Same mistakes, confusion under pressure, lack of progress and worst, capitulation. The key is not who will take on the role, but who is selected for the role. I think the leading candidates are JJ, Rennie, Mitchell and somewhere a role for Schmidt and/or Wayne Smith. Razor’s biggest “failure” was his hesitancy, persisting with failing selections, being positive at the cost of being real and the aura he gave off of not knowing where the “fixes” were. The job came too soon for him but he can learn from it and grow. Hopefully, the new guy is bold and strong and has a good team around him because the other big failure of Razor’s tenure was his coaching team was also not ready for the big leagues.

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Hellhound 2 hours ago
It'll take a brave individual to coach these All Blacks

This reminds of the Wallabies and the road down for them. This firing was harsh, rash and not thought through. Just like NZRU jumped the gun with Foster, even announcing his replacement before the biggest tournament in rugby, the World Cup. There is a lot of speculation as to why he was fired or let go, none substantiated facts. For those who go through life with open eyes and follow the logical path, it will be clear from where the rot comes from. The NZRU board itself. The Union itself. Players and coaches change, but results don't. From the man in charge down is rotten. The AB's is still 2nd in the rankings list, still manage to beat the best teams. Maybe not as flashy as in the past, but definitely trending upwards. All of that momentum is now lost…AGAIN. Same mistakes from the board. The NZRU is busy making the AB's a joke now. The fans follow like blind bats and gobble up all the excuses for a decade now. The media report what the board wants people to know, not the facts. They are not very transparent. After Super Rugby, the Wallabies crashed and became almost none existent, a shadow of its former self, running through coaches and players. The same is starting to happen to the AB's. NZRU destroy everything they touch. When will the public address the real problem at hand? When the AB's are as bad as Wales and the Wallabies? Just when the AB's start to trend upwards, they shoot themselves in the foot once again. Firing a coach, before the biggest series NZ have had in many many years, the biggest rivalry. Before the Nation's Cup and the WC. 3 of arguably the biggest competitions in world rugby right now for 2026 and 2027. Fans can drop all expectations for winning any of the 3 competitions. New coach, new strategies, new everything. It takes time to settle a group of players. Even if the same crop of players gets used(which aren't good enough), it won't amount to sudden magical success. Winning percentages isn't everything, but filling the trophy cabinet is. Sack the board, not the coaches. The players and fans also need to realise that.

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