Pressure on Leinster to show they aren’t the new Clermont – Andy Goode
They may be facing the formidable reigning champions but Leinster are heavy favourites everywhere you look and the pressure really is on to prove they aren’t the new bridesmaids of European rugby.
For years it was Clermont who were beaten in a plethora of major knockout games domestically and were perennially competing at the business end of the Champions Cup but lost three finals in the space of five years. It isn’t a mantle Leinster want to take on.
However, if Leinster do find La Rochelle too tough a nut to crack yet again, it will be a Clermont-esque third Champions Cup final defeat in five years and for all the talent and Grand Slam winners in their ranks it feels like they need this to prove there isn’t something amiss psychologically.
Nobody else got a sniff in the URC between 2017 and 2021 as Leinster won four straight titles and they still finish top of the table at the end of every regular season, winning nearly every game, but they have lost their last couple of big knockout games in that competition too.
It was something of a surprise to see them rest almost their entire starting XV in the semi-final defeat to rivals Munster last week, and that does provide them with a ready-made excuse, but the first choice side were stunned by the Bulls in Dublin less than a year ago as well.
A lot of bookies have Leinster at 1/3 to win the title, with La Rochelle at 5/2 and stats provider Oval Insights gives the Irishmen a massive 78% chance of victory in their win predictor, just to ramp up the pressure that little bit more.
Clearly, a massive factor in all this is home advantage, something they’ve enjoyed throughout the knockout stages and might just help drag them over the line, although it can work both ways if the Frenchmen make a fast start.
Last week was just Leinster’s second defeat in their last 31 outings at the Aviva Stadium but finals are different and this showpiece occasion is almost always tight, with two thirds of the previous editions being settled by a margin of seven points or fewer.
The favourites tag and expectation of home fans is not something new for these Leinster players to deal with, far from it, but the recent Champions Cup final and URC semi-final defeats make it a fascinating aspect of this game.
Leinster have to dispel the doubts and impose their game on La Rochelle, something they haven’t managed to do in either of their previous meetings, and you can bet your bottom dollar that Ronan O’Gara will be encouraging his side to ensure those doubts creep in more and more with each passing minute.
It helps having some of the most sizeable players in the sport at your disposal but O’Gara is one of the most tactically astute coaches we’ve seen and his plan to slow Leinster down will be key.
The men in blue have been physically dominated by La Rochelle in the past and they have evolved since those days but it is the speed of ball that is absolutely crucial to them getting on top.
The reigning champions have swatted aside English opposition throughout the knockout stages of this competition and their work at the breakdown has become increasingly impressive.
Levani Botia was phenomenal in the quarter-final against Saracens, winning four turnovers on his own, and he often understandably gets the headlines but he’s the ace in the pack surrounded by other players who enable him to do that and are good over ball themselves.
That will be the major battleground, along with the set piece, but the match-up at fly-half will also be as pivotal as ever. Ross Byrne has really stepped up in Johnny Sexton’s absence of late but Antoine Hastoy has been a joy to watch at times in his first season at La Rochelle.
He may not get too many column inches because of the presence of the likes of Romain Ntamack and Matthieu Jalibert across the Channel but his game management, decision-making and kicking game, with flashes of brilliance to go with it, have been outstanding.
Pressure comes in many forms but with home advantage, the favourites tag, the fact they’ve prioritised this quest for a fifth star so much and the nagging doubts of recent defeats in big games, it feels like it is all on Leinster.
Having played in major finals domestically and in Europe, they just cut different. The psychological element obviously plays a much bigger role than it does in other matches and Leo Cullen and Stuart Lancaster’s men have to prove they have what it takes in that department.
This is supposed to be Leinster’s time. The behemoths of La Rochelle stand in their way but it’s almost all stacked in their favour and the pressure is on to prove they aren’t nearlymen and deserve the title of kings of Europe once more.
Comments on RugbyPass
I hope WRU cops a 12 month ban.
1 Go to commentsOuch. Pumped. Even Nohamba is a better flyhalf than Ford.
2 Go to commentsI hope Leinster’s proud of themselves fielding a poor team. They should decide if they’re all in or not.
2 Go to commentsJordie is looking at 16 games maximum if Leinster reach both the URC and champions cup finals. Thats not guaranteed. Some of those home URC fixtures will be cakewalks as well for Leinster and there is not much doing during the 6 nations in Feb and March so he can probably get a decent rest then. He will have to really put in it for maybe 7 or 8 games max. It should be a good move for both.
13 Go to commentsThe game was a quarter final, not a semi final. Barrett will be here for 6 months, he is no one's replacement at 13. That mantle will most likely ultimately go to Jamie Osborne, though Garry Ringrose has at least 4 more years in him. The long term problem position (in the next 3 years) for Leinster is tighthead prop, though there are a couple of prospects at schools level.
30 Go to commentsSo much for all that hype surrounding the ‘revival’ of Aussie rugby. The Blues were without the likes of regular starters Perofeta, Sullivan, Christie etc… This was a capitulation of the highest order by Australia’s finest. Joe Schmidt definitely has his work cut out for him.
2 Go to commentsYes they can ignore Sotutu. Like Akira Ioane plays OK at Super level but gets lost in tests. Too many chances too many failures.
2 Go to commentsA wallaby front-row of Bell, Blake and Tupou…now that would be hefty
1 Go to comments“But with an exceptional pass accuracy rating “ Which apart from Roigard is not a feature of any of the other 9s in NZ. Kind of basic for a Black 9 dont.you. think? Yet we keep seeing FC and TJ being rated ahead of him? Weird if it’s seen as vital to get our backline beating in your face defences.
1 Go to commentsThanks BeeMc! Looks like many teams need extra time to settle from the quadrennial northern migration. I think generally the quality of the Rugby has held up. Fiji has been fantastic and fun to watch
13 Go to commentsLets compare apples with apples. Lyon sent weak team the week before, but nobody raised an eyebrow. Give the South African teams a few years to build their depth, then you will be moaning that the teams are too strong.
41 Go to commentsDid footballs agents also perform the scout role at some time? I’m surprised more high profile players haven’t taken up the occupation, great way to remain in the game and use all that experience without really requiring a lot of specific expertise?
1 Go to commentsSuper rugby is struggling but that has little to do with sabbaticals. 1. Too many teams from Aust and NZ - should be 3 and 4 respectively, add in 2 from Japan, 1 possibly 2 from Argentina. 2. Inconsistent and poor refereeing, admittedly not restricted to Super rugby. Only one team was reffed at the breakdown in Reds v H’Landers match. Scrum penalty awarded in Canes v Drua when No 8 had the ball in the open with little defence nearby - ideal opportunity to play advantage. Coming back to Reds match - same scrum situation but ref played advantage - Landers made 10 yards and were penalised at the breakdown when the ref should have returned to scrum penalty. 3. Marketing is weak and losing ground to AFL and NRL. Playing 2 days compared with 4. 4. Scheduling is unattractive to family attendance. Have any franchises heard of Sundays 2pm?
13 Go to commentsAbsolutely..all they need is a chance in yhe playoffs and I bet all the other teams will be nervous…THEY KNOW HOW TO WIN IM THE PLAYOFFS..
2 Go to commentsI really hope he comes back and helps out with some coaching.
1 Go to commentsI think we are all just hoping that the Olympic 7s doesn’t suffer the same sad fate as the last RWC with the officials ruining the spectacle.
1 Go to commentsPersonally, I’ve lost the will to even be bothered about the RFU, the structure, the participants. It’s all a sham. I now simply enjoy getting a group of friends together to go and watch a few games a year in different locations (including Europe, the championship, etc). I feel extremely sorry for the real fans of these clubs who are constantly ignored by the RFU and other administrators. I feel especially sorry for the fans of clubs in the Championship who have had considerable central funding stripped away and are then expected to just take whatever the RFU put to them. Its all a sham, especially if the failed clubs are allowed to return.
10 Go to commentsI’m guessing Carl Hayman would have preferred to have stayed in NZ with benefit of hindsight. Up north there is the expectation to play twice as many games with far less ‘player management’ protocols that Paul is now criticising. Less playing through concussions means longer, healthier, careers. Carter used as the eg here by Paul, his sabbatical allowed him to play until age 37. OK its not an exact science but there is far more expectations on players who sign for Top 14 or Engl Prem clubs to get value for the huge salaries. NZR get alot wrong but keeping their best players in NZ rugby is not one of them. SA clubs are virtually devoid of their top players now, no thanks. They cant threaten the big teams in the Champions Cup, the squads have little depth. Cant see Canes/Chiefs struggling. Super has been great this year, fantastic high skill matches. Drua a fantastic addition and Jaguares will add another quality team eventually. Aus teams performing strongly and no doubt will benefit with the incentive of a Lions tour and a home RWC. Let Jordie enjoy his time with Leinster, it will allow the opportunity for another player to emerge at Canes in his absence.
13 Go to commentsLove that man, his way to despise angry little men is so funny ! 😂
6 Go to comments“South African franchises would be powerhouses if we had all our overseas based players back in situ. We would have the same unbeatable aura the Toulouses, Leinsters or Saracens of this world have had over the last decade or so.” Proof that Jake white does not understand the economics of the game in SA. Players earning abroad are not going to simply come back and represent the bulls. But they might if they have a springbok contract.
27 Go to comments