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Michael Cheika now favourite to take on Wales job

Michael Cheika, the Leicester Tigers head coach looks on prior to the Gallagher Premiership Rugby match between Leicester Tigers and Exeter Chiefs at Mattioli Woods Welford Road Stadium on January 04, 2025 in Leicester, England. (Photo by David Rogers/Getty Images)

Michael Cheika has emerged as the clear favourite to become the next Wales coach when his contract with Leicester Tigers runs out at the end of the season.

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The Welsh Rugby Union are looking for a new boss after ending Warren Gatland’s two-year reign earlier this month, following a 14th successive defeat against Italy.

Caretaker boss Matt Sherratt, who oversaw a 16th defeat on the spin against Ireland at the weekend, has ruled himself out of taking the job on a permanent basis and will return to his post at Cardiff.

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Cheika on Argentina and World Cup

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Cheika on Argentina and World Cup

Cheika, 57, who was World Rugby Coach of the Year in 2015, has a proven track record in international rugby, spending five years in charge of the Wallabies and then taking Argentina to a World Cup semi-final in 2023.

He announced last month that he will be leaving the Tigers, who are fourth in the Premiership and hunting a play-off place, when his one-year deal with the Welford Road outfit runs out at the end of June.

Cheika took advantage of the Tigers’ Premiership Cup exit to return to Australia and was spotted having lunch with Rugby Australia boss Phil Waugh at a Sydney restaurant, sparking speculation that he could return to his old job.

But it has since been played down, with former London Irish boss Les Kiss, now in charge of Queensland Reds, seen as the clear favourite when Joe Schmidt stands down at the end of the Rugby Championship in October.

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Cheika was immediately installed as the 3-1 favourite by Welsh bookies when it was announced that Gatland was leaving, with Simon Easterby and Franco Smith, two of his rivals, at 5-1.

Smith has since said that he wants to coach internationally again but has a £500,000 compensation clause in his Glasgow Warriors contract, which runs until the end of next season.

And the whispers coming out of Australia over the weekend suggest that Cheika is keen on taking on the task of rebuilding Wales.

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Comments

21 Comments
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PS 22 days ago

Isn't one of the main reasons he’s leaving Leicester because it’s too far away from Australia and from family?


I don’t think the connections from Cardiff airport are that much quicker.

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Teddy 23 days ago

Could be very smart business but surely they’d only have him to the end of the 2027 world cup? He gets bored easily.


Locking down a younger coach for 4-5 years is maybe better for them.

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Ed the Duck 23 days ago

No chance! If Wales continue to play the way they did against Ireland and start to add more layers to their game, Matt Sherratt will be the man. No doubt whatsoever. Proving he can turn the ship that quickly, get them performing and also no costs involved. It’s the most clear and obvious path for the WRU, so clear and obvious, even they couldn’t miss it…!

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Mitch 23 days ago

Cheika taking the Wales job would mean Franco Smith remains an option for the Wallabies after the Rugby Championship as long as Rugby Australia come to the realisation that New Zealand isn’t the only country that can produce overseas coaches worthy of coaching the Wallabies.

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Mike 23 days ago

I don’t get it. It is reported (so might not be true) that Gatland 2.0 had difficulties connecting with what is now a very young Welsh squad. He’s 61. Cheika is 57, so how would that be any different?


I think both of them would be much better candidates for “DoR” type roles with a brief to rebuild the pathways in Welsh rugby, than to be a head coach again.

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Bull Shark 23 days ago

He’d be an excellent option for England with just two years out to the World Cup.


England’s loss, Wales’ gain I guess.

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Ed the Duck 23 days ago

EJ 2.0…

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CR 24 days ago

international coaches are now like Hollywood actors. People in charge seem to believe that only known “actors” can be a good coach. Surely there must be a local coach worth his salt. This whole grab a celebrity coach from overseas is a bit ridiculous. Look I get it if you can access someone amazing like say Japan did with Jamie Joseph, but surely one must look internally first.

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OJohn 24 days ago

Don't do it Wales, don't do it.

He is well suited to the ‘emotional’ Argentinians or Italians but no one else. He might be good for a couple of games on the hype but it’s downhill from there.

Stop selling your country out and find a Welsh coach.

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Ed the Duck 23 days ago

Looks like they possibly have found their coach, albeit English rather than welsh, based on Saturday’s match. Every man and their dog expected them to be demolished, but they were unrecognisable from Gatlands team. They clearly wanted him out.

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Cantab 24 days ago

I personally enjoy Cheika's histrionics whenever his charges do not perform as well as he would like. He at least displays a passion for what he does and is entertaining. Most teams do better with homegrown coaches however and I agree that a Welshman should coach Wales.

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fl 24 days ago

I think the evidence is that Cheika is one of the best coaches in the world for giving a short term bounce, but not a guy who can reliably build long term success.


I actually think it wouldn’t be the worst idea to bring him on for the remainder of the RWC cycle, given (1) there’s only 2 and a half years until the tournament, so that might be within the Cheika-bounce period; (2) the RWC draw could be disastrous for Wales if they don’t beat Japan in the summer (as losing would probably mean they drop to the 3rd band), so they really really need a short term bounce; and (3) their long term targets (ROG?, Easterby?, Shaun Edwards?) might be unwilling to leave their current contracts mid-way through a RWC cycle in order to join a team that seems a bit like a sinking ship.

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MW 24 days ago

sda

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Rob 24 days ago

Read the two numbers on successive defeats and answer me honestly, is there quality control on this website?

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Bull Shark 23 days ago

Nobody reads the articles. We’re just here for the comments.

B
Bull Shark 24 days ago

Good move?

M
Mitch 23 days ago

Bizarre move on his part. He wants to leave Leicester to be closer to home in Sydney, yet Wales is a long way from Sydney.

Cheika's a 2-3 year coach but Wales’ problems will take 4-5 years to fix.

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JW 1 hour ago
Five reasons why Super Rugby Pacific is enjoying it's best season in forever

The Mickey Mouse playoff system that made the entire regular season redundant

The playoff system has never been redundant Ben, it was merely important to fewer teams, just those vying for top seed. After that it was simply about qualifying.


The format is arguably worse now. I can see the Canes slumping to a point were the return of key components, like their starting midfield, is now going to happen too late for them due to the reduced playoff spots. So we don’t get the perfect jeopardy like what we got with the Crusaders last year, were deservedly (despite showing they easily had a top 4 team when fit) they missed out because they were even more pathetic than that early team deserved. A couple more bonus points with some better leadership, on and off field, would have given the Crusaders a deserving. As reported last year have we not seen a more perfect finals run in.


Objectively easier finals qualification is better suited to shorter competitions, and we know SR is the “sprint” version amongst it’s rugby equivalents. The Top 14 is probably the worst competition in this respect, with it’s length with a double round robin should have a football styled champion. The Premiership, with it’s smaller base but also double round robin, was pretty much perfectly suited to it’s smaller 4 team playoff. Super Rugby, with it’s much shorter season (smaller amount of games, and most importantly over a much shorter period, would be able suited to a 6 team play off series if it had a comparative round robin. It doesn’t. Playing a bunch of random extra games, within your own division, requires you to expand the qualification reach. Super Rugby was another perfectly balanced competition.


If you want to look subjectively, sure, there are a lot of cool facets of tighter qualification, they just aren’t sensible applicable to SR so you have to be a realist.


I’m pretty sure you yourself have authored articles showing you need to be in the top four come finals time to win Super Rugby.

Competition parity this year just seems to be part luck, but we’ll take it.

The closer parity is simply more about circumstance, I agree. The Lions tour has just as much to do with the consistency and early standards in Australian players performances, and random factors balancing the NZ sides. The predictable improvement of the “Pacific Powers” another key factor, but with the case of extra support like NZR help raise their profile, as in the “Ardie” factor, possibly able to happen a year sooner than it has.


Still, as I have highlighted on previous articles, I wouldn’t be surprised if these results were nearly as predictable as they were last year, and that it was just the fixture ‘creation’ by new management that has artificially created a bit more hype and unrealistic perception on the competitions ‘parity’, in these early stages.

Super Rugby Pacific has done the right thing and got rid of most TMO interventions that have plagued the game over the last few years and impacted one World Cup final.

I wouldn’t have minded if they just put their own spin on WR’s structure. While you don’t go on to describe what the two situations are that remain, one that I think could still have been of value keeping is for the ability for the TMO to rule live.


The fact that several of the WC’s TMO officials were overly zealous in their ability to over rule the onfield decision does not mean there wouldn’t have been value in a good southern hemisphere run contingent from simply adding value and support to the game ref. Take the case last weekend as the perfect example. While I don’t believe it would have been of any real benefit for the Highlanders to have had advantage at the death (the same sequence would have still played out), looking in isolation one can clearly tell that was a live situation where the ref said he was obstructed from making a call, and if the current rules would have allowed, the TMO, like us on TV, could easily have told him to play advantage for the infringement. In another situation that type of officiating could have made all the difference to the quality and accuracy of the outcome. Views of the comp would be a lot different if it was clearly as case that the Highlanders were robbed of a deserved victory.


All told, the game is obviously much better off for what changes have been made with officiating, though this is not really isolated to SR. SR is just the only comp to have start with these.

If you want back in, put your hands up for some real competition, don’t ask for handouts. No conference systems.

We are currently in a conference system Ben, I’m afraid you’re beating the wrong drum there and you own subjective (and flawed) opinions are coming through quite clearly. As spitballed on the article a few days ago, it’s hard to see a true league table where it is either a full round robin or double round robin happen, there is still going to be some amount of divisional derby matchs going on to fill out the season.


Conferences are also the only way forward, so get on board. I would love for SARU to be able to add a couple of regional sides in Super Rugby, using the countries burgeoning playerbase. It might be far easier, and more advantageous, for SA to add to SR than say try to enlarge the URC, or go it on their own with a professional scene. They could leave their clubs to themselves and take control of running a highveld team out of Cheetahs country, and a lowveld team wherever they would like a new attempt at a ‘Kings’ team. I can’t see the clubs ever rejoining SR.


Not surprised the article is well off the mark Ben.


One thing they could do to further improve the ‘jeopardy’ though is to have a separate world club table where each seasons finalists are awarding ranking points going towards selecting who takes part in the biennial (right?) world champs the Champions Cup is hosting in the future. I’d normally expect the government to simply send whoever the most recent finalists are but I reckon creating a way to have those instead be judged by contribution since the last edition (however frequent this idea might turn out) could be a winner this new management will work out and capitalize on. It would also help add to that jeopardy if say ranking points were only allocated to the top 6 of an 8 team finals format.

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