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'It's definitely the most inexperienced squad Wales have had for a long time'


Johnny Sexton/ PA
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Ireland and Wales kick off the 2022 Guinness Six Nations this Saturday, as the reigning champions travel to Dublin to take on an Ireland side that are brimming in confidence following a hugely impressive autumn campaign.

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It will be a clash of two fly-half captains, as Ireland’s skipper Jonathan Sexton locks horns with fellow British & Irish Lion Dan Biggar, who will be leading his country for the first time. This is a clash that is greatly anticipated by everyone except referee Jaco Peyper, who will get an earful for 80 minutes.

When, where and how to watch the match
The match will kick-off at 14:15 (UK) on Saturday February 5th at the Aviva Stadium and will be broadcast live on ITV and S4C in the UK, RTÉ in Ireland, Stan Sport in Australia and SuperSport in South Africa.

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Head-to-head
Wales currently lead the head-to-head battle with Ireland since their first contest in 1882, registering 70 wins to Ireland’s 55, with seven draws. But Ireland just shade their opponents over their last ten encounters, winning five with one draw. It is ten years as well since Wales last won a Six Nations match at the Aviva Stadium.

Match odds from bet365
bet365 have the handicap on Ireland at +14, with 1/3 odds that they win both halves. There are also 6/1 odds that Wales come out victorious.

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Prediction

Former Wales captain Sam Warburton downplayed Wales’ chances both against Ireland and in the Championship as a whole on BT Sport’s Rugby Tonight this week, citing the injuries in the Wales camp as an area of concern. Then again, he does not rule out the possibility of another surprise triumph like last year.

“I do think it’s probably, and I mean this with the least disrespect to any of the players picked, it’s probably one of the weaker Six Nations squads I’ve seen for a long time because of the lack of leaders,” the two-time Six Nations winner said.

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“But I’ve seen it coming. I thought after the World Cup there would be a big changing of the guard and there hasn’t been a whole lot. Then I thought after the [British & Irish] Lions tour there would be an even bigger changing of the guard and it’s only really been forced through injury because a lot of the guys who are older, you hit 30 years of age if you can play 20 games a year, that’s great. But a lot of these boys are getting injured for big chunks of the season.

“But in a way I think it forces Wales’ hand so they have to pick some younger guys. They’ve had to put faith in [Louis] Rees-Zammit because the likes of George North are not available. They’ve got to give these boys a go. So I think it’s a little bit of a blessing in disguise. Of course you want all your big hitters out for the Six Nations but with a World Cup looming 18 months away.

“But also the priority is the here and now and Wales have got the best squad they possibly can, but there’s going to come a time where there’s going to be a big generation of players from the Welsh squad who are going to move on, and that’s going to happen in the next 24 months maximum. So guys have to get trialled out now, and that’s what we don’t really know. It’s definitely the most inexperienced squad Wales have had for a long time but only time will tell. But as we stand right now, Wales aren’t a title favourite in most people’s eyes. But one red card, as we saw last year, and everything can change. So it will be really interesting to see what happens there.”

*Odds accurate as of 02/02/22.

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TL 51 minutes ago
Joe Schmidt bows out on a high - but can the Wallabies escape 'the twilight zone'?

All of that seems fair enough, aside from the 10 criticism: Lynagh was injured so not up for selection this year + missed most of SR, Noah went to Japan league 2, maybe an argument for bringing him back in early, but we had Carter. Dono and Meredith (who looks decent enough). Definitely not a straightforward call. Edmed was an experiment that didn’t bear fruit, I’m happy to forgive him that one though, because he did what Cheik and Rennie didn’t do, which was consistently look to develop young 10s in the face of criticism (Rennie’s chopping and changing wasn’t great for Noah, and it was back to the future too often for Cheik, which hurt our development pathways e.g. Mack Mason, Jack Maddocks, and too often gambling on people out of position—more than Joe!). Tane is one specific failed experiment. l just wish we had a more scrupulous punditry when it comes to the recent past (your obvs not in the crosshairs here, it’s the Aussie media). TBH, I worry about the identity piece: feel it should be the salt on the meal, rather than the meal. The Reds are full of Aussie identity but they play the most hairpulling rugby at times and the identity seems to excuse this, while the Brums with less talent and less of an identity in the Australian mould over perform. To be optimistic, maybe it does look a little like the Ireland transition with Les coming in a bit like Farrell, seemingly more of a emotive, man motivator type than the technician Joe. What would have been fantastic and helped everything also was for RA not to burn bridges with Lancaster and be able to get him back and have the Tahs cooking, that is one big piece of the puzzle (the Tahs) that will make our national coach’s job a lot easier.

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