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'If you go through the motions against Australia, you are going to get unpicked'

By Josh Raisey
Eddie Jones (PA)

England got their Autumn Nations Series off to the perfect start on Saturday with a comfortable 69-3 win over Tonga. Meanwhile, Australia had their five match unbeaten streak snapped by Scotland at BT Murrayfield on Sunday with a narrow 15-13 loss. The two sides now face each other first the first time since their 2019 Rugby World Cup quarter-final encounter in which England triumphed 40-16.

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The hosts will be boosted by the return of captain Owen Farrell, who missed the win over Tonga due to a false positive on a Covid test. Eddie Jones now faces the problem of fitting him into his starting XV with Marcus Smith, who produced an eye catching cameo against Tonga.

When, where and how to watch the match
The match will kick-off at 17:30 (GMT) on Saturday November 13th at Twickenham and will be broadcast live on Amazon Prime.

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Wallabies coach Dave Rennie on the ill discipline that cost his side a 13-15 loss to Scotland

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Wallabies coach Dave Rennie on the ill discipline that cost his side a 13-15 loss to Scotland

Head-to-head
England are currently on a seven-match winning streak against the Wallabies, which is the longest either side has enjoyed across their 51 contests. Since taking the reins at Twickenham in 2016, Jones is yet to lose against the country of his birth, guiding England to all seven wins in this streak. Overall, they have both won 25 matches against each other, with one draw.

The hosts could also make history with a win on Saturday, as it would mark the first time in the 112-year history of Anglo-Australian affairs that England lead the head-to-head battle.

Match odds from bet365
bet365  have the handicap on England at -12. There are also 19/4 odds that England win the match with a margin between 6-10 points and 11/2 odds of a margin between 1-5.

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Prediction

Following England’s win, former England scrum-half Matt Dawson urged Jones to start Smith at No.10, stressing that he will be key to overcoming an Australia side who are ranked third in the world.

“Are we going to get a better chance to see what Smith can do than at home against Australia, where you are going to have to unlock them?” the 2003 World Cup winner said.

“If you go through the motions against Australia, you are going to get unpicked. They proved in the Rugby Championship, where they twice beat South Africa, that they are not the team of three or four years ago.

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“Looking at the video of Saturday’s game, the Wallabies are going to have to look at Tuilagi, Henry Slade, Adam Radwan and Jonny May. They have got a lot to think about.

“All of a sudden, if you put Smith in there, they have to pay attention and spend a lot of their week studying what England can do.”

*Odds accurate as of 8/11/21.

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Nickers 3 hours ago
All Blacks sabbaticals ‘damage Super Rugby Pacific when it is fighting for survival’

Sabbaticals have helped keep NZ’s very best talent in the country on long term deals - this fact has been left out of this article. Much like the articles calling to allow overseas players to be selected, yet can only name one player currently not signed to NZR who would be selected for the ABs. And in the entire history of NZ players leaving to play overseas, literally only 4 or 5 have left in their prime as current ABs. (Piatau, Evans, Hayman, Mo’unga,?) Yes Carter got an injury while playing in France 16 years ago, but he also got a tournament ending injury at the 2011 World Cup while taking mid-week practice kicks at goal. Maybe Jordie gets a season-ending injury while playing in Ireland, maybe he gets one next week against the Brumbies. NZR have many shortcomings, but keeping the very best players in the country and/or available for ABs selection is not one of them. Likewise for workload management - players missing 2 games out of 14 is hardly a big deal in the grand scheme of things. Again let’s use some facts - did it stop the Crusaders winning SR so many times consecutively when during any given week they would be missing 2 of their best players? The whole idea of the sabbatical is to reward your best players who are willing to sign very long term deals with some time to do whatever they want. They are not handed out willy-nilly, and at nowhere near the levels that would somehow devalue Super Rugby. In this particular example JB is locked in with NZR for what will probably (hopefully) be the best years of his career, hard to imagine him not sticking around for a couple more after for a Lions tour and one more world cup. He has the potential to become the most capped AB of all time. A much better outcome than him leaving NZ for a minimum of 3 years at the age of 27, unlikely to ever play for the ABs again, which would be the likely alternative.

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M
Mzilikazi 6 hours ago
How Leinster neutralised 'long-in-the-tooth' La Rochelle

Had hoped you might write an article on this game, Nick. It’s a good one. Things have not gone as smoothly for ROG since beating Leinster last year at the Aviva in the CC final. LAR had the Top 14 Final won till Raymond Rhule missed a simple tackle on the excellent Ntamack, and Toulouse reaped the rewards of just staying in the fight till the death. Then the disruption of the RWC this season. LAR have not handled that well, but they were not alone, and we saw Pau heading the Top 14 table at one stage early season. I would think one of the reasons for the poor showing would have to be that the younger players coming through, and the more mature amongst the group outside the top 25/30, are not as strong as would be hoped for. I note that Romain Sazy retired at the end of last season. He had been with LAR since 2010, and was thus one of their foundation players when they were promoted to Top 14. Records show he ended up with 336 games played with LAR. That is some experience, some rock in the team. He has been replaced for the most part by Ultan Dillane. At 30, Dillane is not young, but given the chances, he may be a fair enough replacement for Sazy. But that won’be for more than a few years. I honestly know little of the pathways into the LAR setup from within France. I did read somewhere a couple of years ago that on the way up to Top 14, the club very successfully picked up players from the academies of other French teams who were not offered places by those teams. These guys were often great signings…can’t find the article right now, so can’t name any….but the Tadgh Beirne type players. So all in all, it will be interesting to see where the replacements for all the older players come from. Only Lleyd’s and Rhule from SA currently, both backs. So maybe a few SA forwards ?? By contrast, Leinster have a pretty clear line of good players coming through in the majority of positions. Props maybe a weak spot ? And they are very fleet footed and shrewd in appointing very good coaches. Or maybe it is also true that very good coaches do very well in the Leinster setup. So, Nick, I would fully concurr that “On the evidence of Saturday’s semi-final between the two clubs, the rebuild in the Bay of Biscay is going to take longer than it is on the east coast of Ireland”

11 Go to comments
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