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One Prem boss has a go at predicting 'incredible' 2022 Six Nations

By PA
(Photo by Mike Hewitt/Getty Images)

Exeter boss Rob Baxter has predicted an incredible Guinness Six Nations Championship this season following northern hemisphere countries’ autumn success. The Autumn Nations Series was dominated by outstanding performances from England, Ireland and France, while injury-hit Wales and Gregor Townsend’s Scotland both defeated Australia.

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England rounded off an unbeaten campaign by edging past world champions South Africa and avenging their 2019 World Cup final defeat. But France stole all headlines later on Saturday through a stunning 40-25 victory over New Zealand.

The All Blacks’ loss in Paris followed a third defeat in five meetings against Ireland seven days previously, with Ireland following that success up by crushing Argentina 53-7. Current title odds for the Six Nations, which kicks off in early February, have little to choose between current favourites France (6/4), with England at 5/2 and Ireland 7/2.

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Exeter trio Henry Slade, Jonny Hill and Sam Simmonds were all involved in the Springboks encounter as England completed an impressive autumn series after comfortably toppling Australia and Tonga. “It is a big statement point to make, particularly after what happened in the World Cup,” Exeter rugby director Baxter said.

“It has been a great series for the northern hemisphere. It has really kind of levelled the playing field and it should hopefully give guys a lot of confidence going forward. England have got a tour of Australia next summer and there is a lot of positive stuff to look forward to.

“It certainly looks like the Six Nations is going to be an absolutely incredible tournament. How anyone is going to split Ireland, France and England after the autumn is incredible. Scotland also look like an improving picture, and Wales – I don’t care what anyone says, Wales against England is never going to be an easy fixture, no matter what form goes into that game. The fixtures are going to come thick and fast and they are going to be incredible.”

Exeter and England hooker Luke Cowan-Dickie, meanwhile, is continuing his recovery from an ankle ligament injury suffered last month that sidelined him from the entire autumn Test schedule. Initial hopes were for him to be available by the time Exeter launch their Heineken Champions Cup campaign against Montpellier on December 11. “He is still on track,” Baxter added. “It might be a little bit early for him this week, but he is close to being back in full training, so that (Europe) is still a possibility.”

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Flankly 2 hours ago
The AI advantage: How the next two Rugby World Cups will be won

If rugby wants to remain interesting in the AI era then it will need to work on changing the rules. AI will reduce the tactical advantage of smart game plans, will neutralize primary attacking weapons, and will move rugby from a being a game of inches to a game of millimetres. It will be about sheer athleticism and technique,about avoiding mistakes, and about referees. Many fans will find that boring. The answer is to add creative degrees of freedom to the game. The 50-22 is an example. But we can have fun inventing others, like the right to add more players for X minutes per game, or the equivalent of the 2-point conversion in American football, the ability to call a 12-player scrum, etc. Not saying these are great ideas, but making the point that the more of these alternatives you allow, the less AI will be able to lock down high-probability strategies. This is not because AI does not have the compute power, but because it has more choices and has less data, or less-specific data. That will take time and debate, but big, positive and immediate impact could be in the area of ref/TMO assistance. The technology is easily good enough today to detect forward passes, not-straight lineouts, offside at breakdown/scrum/lineout, obstruction, early/late tackles, and a lot of other things. WR should be ultra aggressive in doing this, as it will really help in an area in which the game is really struggling. In the long run there needs to be substantial creativity applied to the rules. Without that AI (along with all of the pro innovations) will turn rugby into a bash fest.

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