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Dual eligible France-NZ lock given '20 to 40 per cent chance' of playing again

Patrick Tuifua and Mathis Castro-Ferreira celebrates after scoring the team's fourth try during the Under 20 Six Nations international rugby union match between Scotland and France at Hive Stadium in Edinburgh, Scotland on February 9, 2024. (Photo by ANDY BUCHANAN/AFP via Getty Images)
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Former France U20s and ex-Hawke’s Bay lock Patrick Tuifua was given “20 to 40 per cent” chance of ever playing rugby again after a mismanaged knee injury derailed his career at Toulon.

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The dual eligible lock turned heads when he played for France U20s in 2024 which prompted a recruitment war between New Zealand and France. The New Caledonian continued his rugby in Hawke’s Bay in the NPC, where he was schooled, in order to continue on the Super Rugby Pacific pathway. When he missed out on the Hurricanes full squad in 2025, Toulon came with a deal that priced the NZ club out of contention.

On return to France with the Top 14 giants Tuifua suffered a serious right knee injury in October 2025 against Clermont. After a 10-month layoff, he finally made his return for the final ten minutes of Saturday’s match against La Rochelle.

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In an interview with Var-Martin, the 22-year-old revealed he was given a 20-40 per cent chance of playing again, prompting him to consider retirement.

“My knee started to really bother me, until it gave way. I had to have surgery in Lyon,” he told Var-Martin. 

“At that point, the doctor told me I had between a 20 and 40% chance of coming back. But I decided to give it my all over these ten months to recover and try to return.

Tuifua revealed that it was the same injury he suffered in New Zealand during NPC and believed coming back too soon caused the relapse.

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Actually, it’s the same injury I’ve been carrying since New Zealand. I did my rehabilitation, but I came back too soon. I should have taken more time,” he said. 

“In the end, it wasn’t healed enough. But now, it’s much better. The surgery went well.”

The Hurricanes tabled a counter three-year offer to try and keep Tuifua but the Toulon package proved irresistible.

They were happy to see the prospect take the “life-changing” contract in the Top 14.

“We offered him a three-year deal to stay, but it’s probably a slightly different package to what Toulon can offer,” Hurricanes head coach Laidlaw said.

“He is French. He’s played for the French under-20s and his family speaks French. His parents see that as the route they want their son to take, and we support that.

“We’d love for him to stay and we offered him a contract to stay and keep developing him. He’s a young player with a high ceiling but he’s got a long way to go before he’s fully Super Rugby ready.

“We’re disappointed to see him go but we’re supportive. It could be life-changing with the type of contracts you can earn in France, and he sees that route as his pathway … we wish all the best.”

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cnw 57 minutes ago
Rugby's Greatest Rivalry - The stats showcase South Africa's lethal adaptability

I think the issue is much more simple than this. As you know I did not buy into the narrative that Razor was an incompetant coach. I saw real development in terms of clinical structured play. For me the players were struggling with the regimentation needed to play Black Crusader rugby and it imploded in Wellington. London however was an unfortunate confluence of injuries to our key play makers - Roigard and BB - and another brain explosion by Taylor. The failure also to develop a 6-2 bench compounded an energy deficit in the second half. DR threw out the Black Crusader regimentation in favour of his Chiefs, Glasgow and Steelers formula. It has sparked an attacking prowess we have not seen for years - but it has come at the expense of the type of structured % play that Razor was building and brought with it a high error rate. When faced with a well oiled machine like the Boks, who have been fine tuning their systems for several years, the inevitable lack of coherency is exposed. And if we reflect on the losses to Boks on this tour, we can pinpoint “moments” in the game where the Boks systems overwhelmed the ABs. So, one of the key issues with the GVF analysis is that it underestimates the signficance of context of the games and thus overestimates the real difference between the coaches and the players.

Ps to put some stats around this, I have analysed the performance efficiency of the Boks and the ABs for all the NC and GR games. This is based on an aggregate of pass / carry and tackle per point. The AB average is 4.7 and never got higher than 5.8 while the Boks averaged at 6.7 and maxed out at 8.2 in Baltimore. This supports a strong inference that the Boks systems are just inherently more efficient at this time while the ABs are still coming to grips with their new systems. It is not coincidental that the Boks lost with their lowest performance ratio for the tour at 6.4.



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