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The All Blacks need a Jerome Kaino contingency plan
The first injury crisis has hit the upcoming Lions vs All Blacks series – although calling it a crisis is probably a bit of a stretch, writes Jamie Wall.
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77-test All Blacks blindside Jerome Kaino is set to go under the knife for a knee injury suffered against the Hurricanes a couple of weeks ago, putting him out for at least the next six weeks. The worst case scenario could see him missing at least the first test on the 24th of June.
Everyone kind of expected Kaino to cash up and go to Japan full-time after the 2015 Rugby World Cup, so it’s been a nice little bonus having him stick around for at least this series. The All Blacks have employed some trademark forward thinking in regards to the number 6 jersey, though, putting Liam Squire and Elliott Dixon into the test arena last season. If either of them fell over, there’s also Liam Messam and Steven Luatua with test experience. Failing that there’s Jordan Taufua or the guy who embodies the term ‘great Super Rugby Player’, Brad Shields.
So, like I said, as far as crises go, it’s hardly up there in the ‘Cuban Missile’ category.
It does, however, open up the intriguing possibility of shelving the traditional All Blacks approach of having a bigger, tight-forward type blindside in favour of two fetching ball runners. Namely, Sam Cane and Ardie Savea, operating as left and right rather than open and blindside.
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The case for taking this South African approach to the sides of the scrum would be purely aesthetic, given the wealth of talent the selectors can choose from. Basically, it’s the best chance we’ve got of seeing as much Ardie Savea as we possibly can.
The only New Zealand player since Tana Umaga with his own personal chant has been on fire for the Hurricanes this season. Chances are the majority of conversations that include the name ‘Savea’ these days will be about him, not Julian. However, Cane’s methodical consistency and (if you squint sideways when he’s wearing tape) resemblance to Richie McCaw has seen him top of the All Blacks depth chart at openside.
So why not let them both loose against the Lions, if just for the first test? Ardie’s ability with ball in hand would light up the clearly signposted Lions game plan of rush defence and stodgy kicking by exploiting the gaps around the ruck. Meanwhile, Cane can get back to work injuring as many Irishmen as he possibly can. It wouldn’t be a Lions tour to New Zealand without a bit of that.
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As it stands, Kaino will likely have plenty of time to make it back for the first test, but that doesn’t render the above argument a completely moot point. Back in 2005, the third, meaningless test saw the All Blacks bring in Luke McAlister for Dan Carter at first five. The sometimes maligned McAlister played possibly his best game in a black jersey, while outside him a young Conrad Smith got his first start in a major test.
The All Blacks ended up breezing home 38-19 in that test, bringing the curtain down on a 3-0 whitewash and setting Smith up for a long and illustrious test career (McAlister not so much). Will the third test of the 2017 series end up being another chance for the All Blacks to try out a few new faces and combinations?
Unless Suzie the waitress comes out of retirement… probably.
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Comments on RugbyPass
I like this, but ultimately rugby already has enough trophies. Trying to make more games “consequential" might prove to be a fools errand, although this is a less bad idea than some others. Minor quibble with the title of the article; it isn’t very meaningful to say the boks are the unofficial world champions when it would be functionally impossible for the Raeburn trophy not to be held by the world champions. There’s a period of a few months every 4 years when there is no “unofficial” world champion, and the Raeburn trophy is held by the actual world champions.
8 Go to commentsIts a great idea but one that I dont think will have a lot of traction. It will depend on the prestige that they each hold but if you can do that it would be great. When Japan beat the Boks (my team) I was absolutely devestated but I wont deny the great game they played that day. We were outclassed and it was one of the best games of rugby I have seen. Using an idea like this you might just give the the underdog teams more of an opportunity to beat the big teams and I can absolutely see it being a brilliant display of rugby. They beat us because they planned for that game. It was a great moment for Japan. This way we can remove the 4 year wait and give teams something to aim for outside of World Cup years.
8 Go to commentsHi, Dave here. Happy to answer questions 🥰
8 Go to commentsDon’t think that headline is accurate. It’s great to see Aus doing better but I’m not sure they’ve shown much threat to the top of the table. They shouldn’t be inflating wins against the lousy Highlanders and Crusaders either.
3 Go to commentsSuch a shame Roigard and Aumua picked up long term injuries, probably the two form players in the comp. Also, pretty sure Clarke Dermody isn’t their coach. Got it half right though.
3 Go to commentsOh the Aussie media, they never learn. At least Andrew Kellaway is like “Woah, yeah it’s great, but settle down there guys” having endured years of the Aussie media, fans, and often their players getting ahead of themselves only to fall flat on their faces. Have the “We'll win the Bledisloe for sure this year!” headlines started yet? It’s simple to see what’s going on. The Aussie teams are settled, they didn't lose any of their major players overseas. The Crusaders and Chiefs lost key experienced All Blacks, and Razor in the Crusaders case, and clearly neither are anywhere near as strong as last year (The Canes and Blues would probably be 3rd & 4th if they were). The Highlanders are annually average, even more so post-Aaron Smith and a big squad clean out. The two teams at the top? The two nz sides with largely the same settled roster as last year, except Ardie Savea for the Canes. They’ve both got far better coaches now too. If the Aussies are going to win the title, this is the year the kiwi sides will be weakest, so they better take their chance.
3 Go to commentsThe World Cup has to be the gold standard, line in the sand. 113 teams compete for what is the opportunity to make the pool stages, and then the knockout games for the trophy. The concept is sound. This must have been the rationale when the World Cup was created, surely? But I’m all for Looking forward and finding new ways for the SH to dominate the NH into the future. The autumn series needs a change up. Let’s start by having the NH teams come south every odd year for the Autumn/Spring series games?
8 Go to commentsWhat’ll happen when the AI models of the future go back in time and try to destroy the AI models of the past standing in their way of certain victory?
41 Go to commentsThanks, Nick. We (Seanny Maloney, Brett and I) just discussed Charlie as a potential Wallaby No 8, and wondered if he has truly realised how big he is in contact (and whether he can add 5 kg w/o slowing down). Your scouting report confirms our suspicions he has the materiel. No one knows if he has the mentality (as Johann van Graan said this week about CJ, Duane and Alfie B) to carry 10-15 times a game.
57 Go to commentsHe would be a great player for the Stormers, Dobbo should approach the guy.
3 Go to commentsGood article. A few years back when he was playing for the Cheetahs, he was a quiet standout for exactly the seasons stated here. I occasionally get to see his games in the UK, and he has become a more complete player and in many ways like an Irish player. His work ethic is so suitable to the Leinster game. I wonder if Rassie would have him listed somewhere.
3 Go to commentsResults probably skewed by the fact that a few clubs have foreign fly halves in their 30s, but most teams have young English scrum halves. Results also likely to be skewed by the fact that many teams rely on centres and fullbacks to provide depth at 10, whereas they will need to stock a large number of specialist backup 9s.
1 Go to commentsI really get the sense that when all is said and done, the path of least resistance will end up being a merger of Wasps & Worcester that essentially kills the Worcester Warriors brand and sees Wasps permanently playing at Sixways. I’m not saying that’s what should happen or what I want to happen. I just think it’s the easiest rout to take and therefore, will be what happens. Wasps will definitely return to play first, and I suppose it all depends on if they can find support at Sixways. If people turn up and support Wasps in that community, at that ground, I bet they drop the Sevenoaks plan and just remain at Sixways. Under the radar but not totally unrelated, it looks as though London Irish are going to be brought back from the dead by a German consortium and look set to return, likely to the remade Championship. It’s set to have 12 clubs next season with 14 in 2025/26, what do you want to bet those extra 2 are Wasps and London Irish?
3 Go to commentsThe shoulder is a “joint” with multiple bones. You don’t “fracture” a shoulder, you fracture any one or more of the bones that make up a shoulder.
2 Go to commentsOh dear, bones too suspect to continue?
2 Go to commentsBold headline considering the Canes and Blues are 1 and 2 and the Brumbies were soundly beaten by the Chiefs and Blues. Biggest surprise is Rebels 4 Crusaders 12 - no one saw that coming. If Aus are improving that’s great 👍
3 Go to commentsAnna, You are right, we need to have patience whilst the others catch up to England and France. Also it is the PWR that has been the game changer for England. the RFU put money into that initially at the expense of the Red Roses. I was sceptical at first but it has paid off in spades.
1 Go to commentsI think Matt Proctor became a 1 test AB in the same fixture. Cameron is quality and has been great this season, can’t believe’s he only 27. Realistically how would he not be selected for ABs squad this year. Only Dmac is ahead of him as a specialist 10. With Jordan out, it will come down to where and when Beauden Barrett slots back in, and where they want to play Ruben Love. Cameron seems an absolute lock in for the wider squad though. Added benefit of TJ-Cameron-Jordie combination at 9, 10, 11 too.
1 Go to commentsFarcical, to what end would someone want to pay to keep this thing going.
1 Go to commentsHavili, our best 12 by a mile, will be in the squad, if he stays fit. JB is the most overrated AB in the last 50 years.
61 Go to comments