Where your team could end up after this weekend's crunch Tests
England dropped out of the top three in the World Rugby rankings this week for the first time in two years.
And it could get a hell of a lot worse for Eddie Jones’ side if they lose again this weekend. Elsewhere it could be a historic weekend for Georgia, while others including Wales and South Africa have a chance to make a big leap.
RugbyPass looks at all the permutations and combinations from this weekend’s matches.
SOUTH AFRICA (7) v ENGLAND (4)
A heavy defeat in Bloemfontein could England plummet to sixth – yikes! On the plus side a win coupled with an Ireland victory over Australia in Melbourne would restore England to third.
Victory for South Africa will see Rassie Erasmus’ team pass England and Scotland, while a high-margin win could see them jump ahead of Wales and Australia too into third.
AUSTRALIA (3) v IRELAND (2)
A 12-match unbeaten run for Ireland was abruptly halted by the Wallabies in Brisbane last weekend. If Michael Cheika’s team can follow up that 18-9 success with another win they would wrap up the three-Test series with a game to spare, with the added bonus of moving up to second in the rankings. Alternatively a big Irish win could generate as much as one and three-quarters of a point, which would cement their second place spot, but they’d still a million miles away from the runaway All Blacks in first.
ARGENTINA (10) v WALES (5)
Wales’ first win in Argentina for 14 years, after their last-gasp win over the Springboks in Washington, it’s been successful summer for Warren Gatland’s men. In fact they could even move up to third in the rankings, but would need a beefy 15 point win over Los Pumas and looking for a helping hand elsewhere, with wins for South Africa and Ireland also.
USA (15) v SCOTLAND (6)
A comfortable win for Scotland is expected with their band of brothers, but it’s not going to lift Gregor Townsend’s men as they won’t gt any ratings points because of a gap of more than 14 rating points between the sides. If the USA pull off the shock of 2018 they would move to 14th, while an extremely unlikely victory of more than 15 points (a few Scottish players would pick up P45’s should that occur!) would bump the USA up to 13th if Italy don’t prevail against Japan.
NEW ZEALAND (1) v FRANCE (8)
New Zealand are streaking away at the top of the rankings, the good news for the rest of the teams attempting catch-up is that the All Blacks cannot extend their lead at the top with a win over Jacques Brunel’s side, because there is nearly 15 points and seven places between the sides. Les Blues can elevate themselves to sixth, all they have to do is win by more than 15 points – easy! Well maybe not, considering the 52-11 thumping Steve Hansen’s men doled out in Auckland last weekend.
FIJI (9) v GEORGIA (12)
Georgia can move into the top 10 for the first time in their history if they win against Fiji, in fact they can even go up to ninth if Argentina ship a heavy defeat to Wales. Fiji’s 24-22 win over Samoa last weekend bumped them up to 9th, they can’t go any higher with the gap to 8th-placed France too large.
TONGA (13) v SAMOA (16)
Tonga will stay 13th if they avoid defeat. A comfortable win for Samoa along with an Italy defeat could see them move up to 13th, however they’re not on form and Fuimaono Titimaea Tafua has made nine changes from the side which narrowly lost to Fiji last week.
JAPAN (11) v ITALY (14)
Japan beat Italy 34-17 last week and Conor’s O’Shea’s team would haul themselves back up to 12th with a comfortable win in Kobe.
Comments on RugbyPass
“upon leaving said establishment I tripped over a stool knocking some bottles into the air and as I fell I accidently dislodged a police officer’s teaser who was passing by on an unrelated matter there by landing on said taser which caused it to discharge 50,000 watts into me. Out of shock I shouted Ireland are going to win the world cup. Upon waking up I apologised for the distress caused by my Ireland comment. The matter is closed. If you wish to pursue this matter may I remind you what I told Wayne Barnes when he sent me off. I AM A BIG ASS MAN”. Or was it “I AM A BIG ASS, MAN” or was it “I AM A BIG ASSMAN”?
1 Go to commentsThe only championship the Boks hold are: Great value for the incompetence of referees during the RWC Moaning endlessly and champions of spewing utterly ignorant 💩 at all times. Displaying the dangers of a third world education End of.
26 Go to commentsSouth Africa and Rassie do a phenomenal job of treating the 4 years in between World Cups as nothing more than a training exercise to build squad depth. The Six Nations money that keeps Irish rugby afloat is unfortunately too important to allow the same approach, and basic population size means we'll never get close to matching the depth of South Africa, England and France. That being said, Irish rugby is in a relatively good place and slowly improving inch by inch. If the other three provinces can pull the finger out and actually develop some players it'd be even better.
26 Go to commentsGood on Clarke for taking on the criticism and addressing his deficiencies, principally his laziness.
2 Go to comments“It is the people’s favourite against the actual favourite. It is the people’s champions against the actual champions. I’m joking, but it’s going to be a fantastic series.” Why did Darcy make that joke knowing it would be used as click bait? Why did RP headline it as a serious comment? Anyway, the tired comment isn’t very astute. SA players may have played more games etc. Darcy over estimated as a pundit.
26 Go to commentsNot sure Frisch will ever make the French team with Depoortère and Costes waiting in the wings to take over from Danty and Fickou.
1 Go to commentsThe Irish are tired and the Boks are old. The test series won't confirm who is best in the world, it will confirm which team needs to pursue the task of rebuilding with the most urgency.
26 Go to commentsGrant, the first time I have seen an article written by you. Maybe I have missed your previous stuff. These days all professional players effectively play a common season so all top players are equally tired, or rested. That is the job of the coaching ticket to build squad depth and juggle resources so players are ‘ fresh’ when the big games come. Possibly Ireland are less inclined to juggle squad compared to Rassie, who is prepared to take the risk to rest players as well as build depth throughout the year so come WC he has a full squad, experienced and rested enough to win 7 games. After all, to win WC you need to get through the tournament and then win the final big 3 games. Ireland should try and build a bit so come final 3 they are ready. So far only played final 1(QF). I am so looking forward to the Irish tour. Hopefully Rassie has enough time to align his guys, as he draws them from across the globe, and not from 2 sides locally( eg Leinster, Munster). No excuses, going to be exciting.
26 Go to commentsIn football, teams get fined and sometimes docked points for deliberately fielding weakened teams yet Leinster can pretty much do as they please with no comebacks. Could it be because Ireland run the URC? Could it be that Ireland run the ERC? Whichever it is, it stinks!!
6 Go to commentsIreland are only the People’s Champions in Irish eyes. The rest of the world do not care for them very much because of attitudes of people like Gordon, Ferris, Best, Jackman…I could go on!!
26 Go to commentsNot sure how Karl Dickson can ever ref a Quins game, he played for the club for 8 years as understudy to Care and is still close friends with half the team
3 Go to commentsAre bookies taking bets on how many times Vunipola's eventual statement will use the term “elders"? My money is on at least 4 times.
4 Go to commentsSo Ireland will be tired, despite having the most rested test squad in the world. They only play tests, champions cup and urc play off games ffs! Case in point; Leinster sent a B squad to SA for their last two games while their first xv rested up and trained at their leisure for the sf vs Saints at the so called ‘neutral venue’ of Croke Park. So tired? Do me a favour… And as for “people’s champions”? Seriously??? Outside of Ireland they are respected for their ability to win 6N. And of course plenty of inconsequential test friendlies without any real pressure. WC ko games when the pressure is white hot? Not so much…
26 Go to commentsSurprising how standing down or benching a player can do wonders for their motivation. Several players this week in that category.
2 Go to commentsHaha lads lads lads, that’s how you have a holiday In Majorca
4 Go to commentshit on Lynagh was defo late and card-worthy. The other 2 are bang on OK. Hurts you at Test level if youre timing is off and the nostrils are flared. Jerry C knew when to lean in on one, Finau just needs to keep his discipline and head straight.
7 Go to commentsSlade was exceptional against Gloucester. Not only was he doing the classic Slade stuff of running amazing lines and timing passes to perfection to put his wingers into space, he was kicking goals, flying off the line smashing people and crashing into rucks like a flanker… his hair even looked on point. 😍
1 Go to commentsThat’s really sad, hope everyone involved is ok. At least he had pants on.
4 Go to commentsTo be fair it was nowhere bear the Leinster first team (for which, btw, Leinster copped nothing like the outrage that Jake White did for sending a rotated team to the UK). But it’s fun to watch the Stormers doing their thing. They are attracting big, diverse crowds of young fans, and deservedly so. Great to see.
1 Go to commentsIt might be legal but he’s sailing pretty close to the wind. Not a lot needs to go wrong for Finau to end up in the bin. Was it late? Not quite, but borderline. High? A couple of CM within the laws, no room for error with that one. Did he wrap the arms? There was a token effort to wrap one arm, the intent was clearly to hit with the shoulder. So yeah, it’s legal, just. But as we all know, a very slight change in the dynamics could easily have him seeing red. Hopefully not when it really matters.
7 Go to comments