Ringfencing, the Premiership and the law of unintended consequence
With relegation again shelved, the Gallagher Premiership will next season expand to 14 clubs.
For followers of the Ealing Trailfinders this is big news, while the whole of Cornwall will heave a wistful sigh and wish its long-awaited stadium development project was a little further advanced.
There may well also be one or two relieved looks found on the M5 corridor between Worcester and Bath.
But for the vast majority of those brought up on an English team sport diet consisting of football, rugby union and cricket this lack of jeopardy in the season’s closing stages feels distinctly odd.
A COVID-19 ravaged 2020/21 season was one thing – after all relegation must be determined by on-field results rather than which club gained (or lost) most due to abandoned matches.
But this season feels very different, not least because of the thought that it prefaces a hidden agenda which has long existed somewhere in the corridors of power whereby the holders of the Premiership’s shares exclude everyone else from joining their elite club.
The debate about the relative merits of promotion and relegation and a ring-fenced Premiership has gone on for many years.
Proponents of pulling up the drawbridge point to Super Rugby, the NFL and countless other long-established and commercially successful sporting enterprises around the world.
One of these, former Saracens and Harlequins director Mark Evans, speaks persuasively and often of the investment benefits brought by removing the threat of the trapdoor.
According to this line of thinking, knee-jerk sackings and short-termism would most likely become things of the past while the no-pressure environment created means clubs concentrate on the development of young players rather than being hell-bent on survival.
It couldn't happen, could it? ?? ????????
"It would be an intriguing and timely plot twist given he was recently left out of Eddie Jones’ England squad."https://t.co/BW3VHVBfCT— RugbyPass (@RugbyPass) October 25, 2021
Take one look at the eye-watering losses incurred by the top 13 clubs, proponents state, then put your hand on your heart and tell us that the current system works. The truth of the matter is that professional rugby in England only survives because of the benevolence of the club owners.
And however much one or two of the Championship clubs believe they are ready – or nearly ready – for a slice of the action, in truth a glance at their crowds and infrastructure immediately reveals none would do anything other than add to the colossal debt burden.
But while these pro-ringfencing arguments all have some validity, the last two rounds of Premiership action have set a few alarm bells ringing.
During his time at the helm of Wasps, Dai Young was often heard to say that the English Premiership was statistically the tightest league in the world with an extremely high incidence of games decided by one score or less.
The idea of resting seven players for a round six game – even at the height of an injury crisis – was surely unthinkable in previous seasons, but that happened on Sunday as Young’s former club were on the wrong end of a 50-point defeat at Saracens.
The self-styled Men-in-Black put 71 on Bath a week earlier, while Leicester and Northampton have collectively put 114 points past Worcester during the last two rounds of action.
Would this have happened if relegation was still a threat? While good sides have always beaten weaker opponents, the threat of relegation meant scrapping for a try bonus point or limiting the scale of the defeat was always previously of some significance.
Qualification for the Heineken Cup will maintain the competitive tension a fair way into the Spring for two-thirds of Premiership clubs, but what of the remaining four or five?
A look at the recent history of the United Rugby Championship – where travel is admittedly a bigger issue – suggests plenty of end-of-season fixtures with little riding on them are routinely without a few resting stars.
When more games have nothing at stake, clubs will understandably focus on performing in front of their own spectators in order to keep turnstiles revolving and corporate boxes full. This will lead to fewer away wins and more one-sided games. As the Premiership seeks to grow crowds and cut losses is this a vision of the future with which it is comfortable?
“The name Vunipola comes up repeatedly at Bordeaux Bègles where Billy matches the profile sought to succeed Louis Picamoles."
???https://t.co/44qbR4MtnV— RugbyPass (@RugbyPass) October 25, 2021
County cricket moved to two divisions a generation back in order to rid itself of meaningless, drifting games which lacked intensity and as a result produced too few battle-hardened test cricketers. Two COVID-19 seasons played in conferences have recently reminded everyone why that decision was made.
For the last 20 years only England and France have seriously threatened the Southern Hemisphere big three’s grip on the World Cup – and both have leagues with relegation where players have become used to dealing with the biting tension of must-win encounters late in the season.
Only six weeks into the season, Premiership Rugby’s PR machine has felt the need to spring into action to defend itself (and its clubs) from the suggestion that no relegation has made life too comfortable for those who are under performing.
For anyone to suggest the lack of relegation is making any difference to Worcester Warriors is an insult to the players and coaches – these are tough times for everyone at the club but they will come through them together … look at the players they were missing tonight
— Paul Morgan (@PaulMorganMedia) October 22, 2021
It’s pretty obvious from the first 25 minutes that the team spirit and togetherness at Bath is very strong pic.twitter.com/Razhh8VRT3
— Paul Morgan (@PaulMorganMedia) October 23, 2021
It may be that 2022/23 sees a return to one-up, one-down in which case the status quo will be restored.
If this isn’t the case English rugby followers may well – in time – become part of a much more commercially robust sport, but it will also be one that operates in a very different landscape.
Comments on RugbyPass
The shoulder is a “joint” with multiple bones. You don’t “fracture” a shoulder, you fracture any one or more of the bones that make up a shoulder.
2 Go to commentsOh dear, bones too suspect to continue?
2 Go to commentsBold headline considering the Canes and Blues are 1 and 2 and the Brumbies were soundly beaten by the Chiefs and Blues. Biggest surprise is Rebels 4 Crusaders 12 - no one saw that coming. If Aus are improving that’s great 👍
1 Go to commentsAnna, You are right, we need to have patience whilst the others catch up to England and France. Also it is the PWR that has been the game changer for England. the RFU put money into that initially at the expense of the Red Roses. I was sceptical at first but it has paid off in spades.
1 Go to commentsI think Matt Proctor became a 1 test AB in the same fixture. Cameron is quality and has been great this season, can’t believe’s he only 27. Realistically how would he not be selected for ABs squad this year. Only Dmac is ahead of him as a specialist 10. With Jordan out, it will come down to where and when Beauden Barrett slots back in, and where they want to play Ruben Love. Cameron seems an absolute lock in for the wider squad though. Added benefit of TJ-Cameron-Jordie combination at 9, 10, 11 too.
1 Go to commentsFarcical, to what end would someone want to pay to keep this thing going.
1 Go to commentsHavili, our best 12 by a mile, will be in the squad, if he stays fit. JB is the most overrated AB in the last 50 years.
61 Go to commentsWe had during the week twilight footy, twilight cricket, tw golf plus there was the athletics club. Then the weekend was rugby 15s plus the net ball, really busy club scene back then but so much has changed and rugby has suffered. And it was all about changing lifestyles.
6 Go to commentsIn the 70s and 80s my club ran 5 Senior sides plus a Vets. Now it is 2 sides with an occasional 3rd team. Players have difficulty getting to training now, not sure why and the commitment is not there. It seems to me more a problem of people applying themselves and not expecting to turn up and play whenever they want to.
6 Go to commentsROG’s contract is until 2027. The conversation about a successor to Galthie after RWC 2027 may be starting now. We can infer that Galthie’s reign stops then. He is throwing the Irish Coaching Job angle in because he is Irish. The next Irish coach MUST be Leo Cullen. As well as being the best coach available, coaching the vast majority of Irish Internationals week in week out, he has shown incredible skill at recruiting the best coaching staff for the job in hand. That was a failing in France. Cullen is a shrewd guy and if there is a need for foreign coaches underneath him he won’t hesitate. Rightly so. Ireland does need to start to bring Irish coaches through. Not just at the professional level but we need to train coaches to man new pathways for developing kids from schools/clubs up through the divisions.
8 Go to commentsNo Islam says it must rule where it stands Thus it is to be deleted from this planet Earth
18 Go to commentsThis team probably does not beat the ABs sadly Not sure if BPA will be available given his signing for Force but has to enter consideration. Very strong possibility of getting schooled by the AB props. Advantage AB. Rodda/Skelton would be a tasty locking combination - would love to see how they get on. Advantage Wallabies. Backrow a risk of getting out hustled and outmuscled by ABs. Will be interesting to see if the Blues feast on the Reds this weekend the way they did the Brumbies we are in big trouble at the breakdown. Great energy, running and defence but goalkicking/general kicking/passing quality in the halves bothers me enormously. SA may have won the World Cup for a lot of the tournament without a recognised goalkicker but Pollard in the final made a difference IMO. Injuries and retirements leave AB stocks a bit lighter but still stronger. 12 and 13 ABs shade it (Barret > Paisami, Ione = Ikitau, arguably) Interesting clash of styles on the wings - Corey Toole running around Caleb Clark and Caleb running over the top of Toole. Reece vs Koro probably the reverse. Pretty even IMO. 15s Kelleway = Love See advantage to ABs man for man, but we are not obviously getting slaughtered anywhere which makes a nice change. Think talent wise we are pretty even and if our cohesion and teamwork is better than the ABs then its just about doable.
11 Go to commentsCompletely agree. More friday night games would be a hit. RFU to make sure every club has a floodlit pitch. Club opens again Saturday to welcome touch / tag. Minis and youths on Sunday
6 Go to comments1.97m and 105Kg? Proportionately, probably skinnier than me at 1.82 and 82kilos. He won’t survive against the big guys at that weight.
56 Go to commentsThe value he brought to the crusaders as an assistant was equal to what he got out of being there. He reflected not only on the team culture but also the credit he attributed to the rugby community. Such experience shouldn’t be overlooked.
8 Go to commentsGood luck Aussie
11 Go to commentssmith at 9 / mounga 10 / laumape 12 / fainganuku 14
61 Go to commentsBar the injuries, it’s pretty much their top team …
2 Go to commentsDon’t disagree with much of this but it appears you forgot Rodda and Beale, who started at the Force on the weekend.
11 Go to commentsExcept for the injured Zach Gallagher this would be Saders best forward pack for the season. Blackadder needs to stay at 7, for all of Christies tackling he is not dominant and offers very little else. McNicholfullback is maybe a good option, Fihaki not really upto it, there was a reason Burke played there last year. Maybe Havilli to 2nd five McLeod to wing. Need a strong winger on 1 side to compliment Reece
1 Go to comments