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Shock omissions forecast in odds on British and Irish Lions XV that punters are backing

Maro Itoje (Photo by Hannah Peters/Getty Images)

England players look set to dominate Warren Gatland’s British and Irish Lions selection, at least according to the betting odds of one bookmaker and their punters.

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Nine England players are favourites in their positions to be selected for the tour, giving a glimpse of what punters project to be Gatland’s starting Test fifteen. Bookmakers Boyle Sports opened the betting and punters are clearly going for tried and tested selections.

Second to England’s nine players, with three starting spots, is Ireland; with Conor Murray, Tadhg Furlong and James Ryan making the Test XV. Wales manage just two selections, Jonathan Davies and Josh Adams, while Scotland got just one selection – Stuart Hogg at fullback.

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Dan Carter talks after his first match on NZ soil in five years.

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Dan Carter talks after his first match on NZ soil in five years.

The team is littered with lots of controversial predicted omissions. For example, there also might not be room for Racing 92’s Finn Russell on tour, with the Scot fourth choice at 10 in a team likely only to bring three out halves.

Punters are also going for the relatively out of form Conor Murray as favourite at scrumhalf, ahead of Gareth Davies and Ben Youngs, while in-form Ireland nine John Cooney is named in fourth position.

Robbie Henshaw would also miss the tour, being just fifth favourite among the centres, a position where Gatland is likely to pick four at the very most.

Form Guinness Six Nations flanker Jamie Ritchie is only the 9th choice back row according to the odds, likely placing him outside a place on the plane, with injured Leinster back row Dan Leavy picked ahead of him in 8th. Ritchie made Lions guru Ian McGeehan’s starting Test fifteen at six, as it happens.

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Courtney Lawes, who can play both second and ‘third row’, would also miss the plane per the betting, as would Scotland’s Jonny Gray, an unlucky absentee from the 2017 tour. They are picked at 6th and 5th respectively.

Again, there’s no place for Scot Rory Sutherland, arguably the Six Nations form prop. The loosehead is the ninth choice prop, and fifth choice loosehead. His partner in crime, tighthead Zander Fagerson, is placed at 10th overall.

At hooker there’s no room on tour for Ken Owens, who placed 4th, despite being selected by Gatland for Wales on over 70 occasions.

At fullback Leigh Halfpenny, the British and Irish Lions stalwart at 15, also looks highly likely to be omitted as a 10/1 long shot in 18th place in the list of wings and fullbacks. There’s (hopefully) a significant amount of rugby to be played between then and now, all is of course still to play for.

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Lions XV favourites: Stuart Hogg (Scotland); Jonny May (England), Jonathan Davies (Wales), Manu Tuilagi (England), Josh Adams (Wales); Owen Farrell (England), Conor Murray (Ireland); Mako Vunipola (England), Jamie George (England), Tadhg Furlong (Ireland), Maro Itoje (England), James Ryan (Ireland), Sam Underhill (England), Tom Curry (England), Billy Vunipola (England).

Ian McGeechan Lions XV: Stuart Hogg, Anthony Watson, Manu Tuilagi, Jonathan Davies, Liam Williams, Owen Farrell, Gareth Davies, Rory Sutherland, Jamie George, Tadhg Furlong, Maro Itoje, James Ryan, Jamie Ritchie, Tom Curry, Billy Vunipola

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Tom 51 minutes ago
Eben Etzebeth staring at huge ban after another red card

Well… I'd say the modern Boks are not a particularly violent team but it's impossible to getaway with much violence on an international rugby field now. The Boks of yesteryear were at times brutal. Whether or not the reputation is justified, they do have that reputation amongst a lot of rugby fans.

As for point 2.. it's a tricky one, I don't want to slander a nation here. I'm no “Bok hater”, but I've gotta say some Bok fans are the most obnoxious fans I've personally encountered. Notably this didn't seem to be a problem until the Boks became the best in the world. I agree that fans from other nations can be awful too, every nation has it's fair share of d-heads but going on any rugby forum or YouTube comments is quite tedious these days owing to the legions of partisan Bok fans who jump onto every thread regardless of if it's about the Boks to tell everyone how much better the Boks are than everyone else. A Saffa once told me that SA is a troubled country and because of that the Boks are a symbol of SA victory against all odds so that's why the fans are so passionate. At least you recognise that there is an issue with some Bok fans, that's more than many are willing to concede. Whatever the reason, it's just boring is all I can tell you and I can say coming from a place of absolute honesty I encounter far, far more arrogance and obnoxious behaviour from Bok fans than any other fanbase - the kiwis were nothing like this when they were on top. So look much love to SA, I bear no hatred of ill will, I just want to have conversations about rugby without being told constantly that the Boks are the best team in the world and all coaches except Rassie are useless etc



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