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England aren't facing a second string France, it's third or fourth - Andy Goode

Sam Underhill and Joe Marchant /PA

Everyone is expecting a comfortable England win in the Autumn Nations Cup final but they have everything to lose, while France have everything to gain.

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That makes it a massive banana skin but this England team is playing with machine-like efficiency and I can’t see the game plan or the result differing much from the past few weeks.

George Ford said as much this week in terms of the much-criticised kicking game, commenting that having possession in a lot of areas of the field is like holding onto “a ticking time bomb” so we can expect plenty of kicking from hand once more.

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The future of George Kruis:

France have got more than one eye on the World Cup in three years’ time, whereas England have got one eye on the World Cup a year ago and still have the defeat to South Africa in the final in the back of their minds.

France Nations Cup
(Photo by ANNE-CHRISTINE POUJOULAT/AFP via Getty Images)

I’d go as far as to say this isn’t even France’s second string team. They’re down to the third or fourth choice in a lot of positions and that isn’t great for the competition but it puts a different pressure on England.

Alivereti Raka is the only player in this France side that you could even conceivably make a case for getting into England’s team and even that is a stretch. He isn’t one of France’s first choice wingers at the moment but he does have the capacity to do the spectacular.

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The battle between the LNR and FFR means the French players have only been allowed to play in three of the six internationals this autumn and even the likes of Baptiste Serin and Teddy Thomas, who wouldn’t get in the first time, are missing after playing last week.

It’s great that we have international rugby to watch and especially that 2,000 people can be in attendance at Twickenham but, if we’re being honest, it’s hard to attach any importance at all to this tournament.

It’s been drawn up at the last minute to fill a gap in the schedule and for financial reasons and, while most teams have used it as a development tool and an opportunity to blood new players, Eddie Jones has picked his strongest team in every game.

People will say that he’s given chances to the likes of Jack Willis, Ollie Lawrence and Max Malins but he’s only done so because of injuries and those players were the next cabs off the rank.

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England Autumn Nations Cup
Jack Willis /PA

The lack of expectation on France could make them a dangerous animal in a way but you can clearly see they’re a team looking towards their home World Cup in 2023 and this game is all about development for them rather than the result.

They’ve got a phenomenal talent pool and are finally starting to make the most of that, having won the last two World U20 Championships, but this is a hell of a step up for a team with an average age under 24.

While France are missing an entire squad, Manu Tuilagi is the only England absentee who would be nailed on to get in the starting XV. The likes of Jack Nowell and Courtney Lawes would be in with a shout but it’s pretty much England’s strongest side.

Shaun Edwards will have a few things up his sleeve in terms of trying to stop England’s power game and the coaches will be looking to get Raka into the game as much as possible so England will have to be wary of where they’re kicking.

In reality, though, I can’t make a case for France having the edge in any facet of the game and you can see in the way they’re handling their business at the moment that it is all about winning and creating momentum for England.

There are a few players who can create something out of nothing for the French but I just can’t see them putting England under enough concerted pressure and I think it could be a 25-point win for the home side.

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Utiku Old Boy 1 hour ago
It'll take a brave individual to coach these All Blacks

This is an over-dramatization of the AB HC role IMO. I agree something has been “off” since before the 2019 RWC - even the last Lion’s series and it has not all been down to “improvements” by other teams (although that is definitely a reality). I think Rassie (again) shows how a strong coach manages both the locker room and the public perceptions by earning public and team trust through his strength of character, team innovations and improvement, decisiveness, fairness and owning mistakes. A strong NZ coach should have nothing to fear coming in to this environment. Much as I had hopes for Razor after Hanson II and Foster, I think Kirk’s decision is the right one as it was obvious to many of us, the “trajectory” was not there. Same mistakes, confusion under pressure, lack of progress and worst, capitulation. The key is not who will take on the role, but who is selected for the role. I think the leading candidates are JJ, Rennie, Mitchell and somewhere a role for Schmidt and/or Wayne Smith. Razor’s biggest “failure” was his hesitancy, persisting with failing selections, being positive at the cost of being real and the aura he gave off of not knowing where the “fixes” were. The job came too soon for him but he can learn from it and grow. Hopefully, the new guy is bold and strong and has a good team around him because the other big failure of Razor’s tenure was his coaching team was also not ready for the big leagues.

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Hellhound 2 hours ago
It'll take a brave individual to coach these All Blacks

This reminds of the Wallabies and the road down for them. This firing was harsh, rash and not thought through. Just like NZRU jumped the gun with Foster, even announcing his replacement before the biggest tournament in rugby, the World Cup. There is a lot of speculation as to why he was fired or let go, none substantiated facts. For those who go through life with open eyes and follow the logical path, it will be clear from where the rot comes from. The NZRU board itself. The Union itself. Players and coaches change, but results don't. From the man in charge down is rotten. The AB's is still 2nd in the rankings list, still manage to beat the best teams. Maybe not as flashy as in the past, but definitely trending upwards. All of that momentum is now lost…AGAIN. Same mistakes from the board. The NZRU is busy making the AB's a joke now. The fans follow like blind bats and gobble up all the excuses for a decade now. The media report what the board wants people to know, not the facts. They are not very transparent. After Super Rugby, the Wallabies crashed and became almost none existent, a shadow of its former self, running through coaches and players. The same is starting to happen to the AB's. NZRU destroy everything they touch. When will the public address the real problem at hand? When the AB's are as bad as Wales and the Wallabies? Just when the AB's start to trend upwards, they shoot themselves in the foot once again. Firing a coach, before the biggest series NZ have had in many many years, the biggest rivalry. Before the Nation's Cup and the WC. 3 of arguably the biggest competitions in world rugby right now for 2026 and 2027. Fans can drop all expectations for winning any of the 3 competitions. New coach, new strategies, new everything. It takes time to settle a group of players. Even if the same crop of players gets used(which aren't good enough), it won't amount to sudden magical success. Winning percentages isn't everything, but filling the trophy cabinet is. Sack the board, not the coaches. The players and fans also need to realise that.

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