Woe Is Wales: The Case For A Coaching Clean-Out
The Springboks’ bleak performance art is the only thing stopping Wales from being the most depressing tier one rugby nation at the moment, writes Lee Calvert.
As Sam Davies’ drop goal sailed between the posts to seal his side’s narrow win over Japan on Saturday, interim Wales coach Rob Howley stood unmoved in his glass coaching box, poured into a supermarket suit, headset wrapped around his bemused phizog. He looked for all the world like a first day sales rep struggling to think of anything enticing to say about the tat he was peddling. Which was not actually that far away from reality.
In the opposite box Japanese coach Jamie Joseph, still looking like one of the hardest men on the planet, appeared disappointed but largely satisfied after his side’s narrow loss. Why wouldn’t he? His side is still not exactly a rugby power, are currently in transition and on this tour are shorn of many of their usual starters. Yet they once again ran a tier one nation close, as they have done at every opportunity in the last 12 months.
Over at Twickenham, Japan’s old coach Eddie Jones was overseeing his (also transitioning) England team as they dismantled Fiji. Remember, last time Fiji turned up they put the full frighteners on Stuart Lancaster’s England during the World Cup. Here, fourteen months on, their return visit saw the islanders biblically tonked.
In Edinburgh, Vern Cotter’s face glowered out of his giant head dome as his team looked enterprising and pacey in their win over Argentina. Big Vern doesn’t really do human emotions, but he must have been at least a bit happy. Finally, Joe Schmidt and his new assistants saw his team compete both tactically and physically with the All Blacks for the second time in three weeks.
What jumps out of these vignettes is that Wales aside, these teams have seen or are about to see some changes in their coaching setup.
To its credit, rugby is a game where coaching changes are not of the knee-jerk football variety; coaches are given sufficient resources to make a difference and it is recognised that the most important resource is time. Moreover, rugby is also mature enough to recognise that simply changing a coach is often not the answer.
But pig-headed obsession with continuity can lead to some stupid decisions. Like having a baby to save a miserable marriage, the Welsh Rugby Union recently renewed the contracts of each of their coaching staff up to 2019, despite the fact that Wales have been standing still or going backwards for three years with their gameplan.
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When the slightest hint of some improvement came along in the summer, the elders at the WRU decided to allow Warren Gatland to have an extra-marital affair with the Lions, leaving Howley, Rob MacBryde and Shaun Edwards holding the team, a sticking plaster baby that won’t succumb to a routine and regularly shits itself in public.
For nearly a decade Wales have done the same thing with the same coaches, but the problem for them is for the latter part of this decade everyone else in other teams has started doing other things. The most damning indictment of Wales now is that, unlike any other major team, it is basically impossible to answer the question, “what is this team good at?” Difficult isn’t it?
With the exception of South Africa, who seem to have transformed into some depressing modern art installation entitled ‘Pointless Befuddlement’, every other team this weekend had something they specifically do well. England have their forwards, Japan have pace and hands, Scotland have their pacey rucking game back, Australia have creativity, Ireland their omnivorous defence and classy halfbacks, and New Zealand are New Zealand.
Most worrying for Wales fans is that it is clear that Rob Howley cannot answer that question either and looks to have no idea what to do about it.
Wales needs a total overhaul of their coaching staff, but the trouble is it will cost the WRU nearly £2 million in compensation to achieve this due to their own stupidity in locking them in in such long contracts despite all evidence demonstrating it was a very bad idea.
Instead Wales fans can look forward to a whole season of not being good at anything while Howley looks bewildered, Edwards looks like smoke is about to start billowing from his ears and nobody knows what MacBryde looks like as he never lifts his phizog from staring at the laptop screen.
Eventually Warren Gatland will come back. But even then there is not a lot of evidence to suggest this will make things any better.
Comments on RugbyPass
It’s not up to Wales to support Georgian Rugby. That’s up to International Rugby and Georgia. I sympathise with Georgia’s decent attempt to create this fixture. But for Wales the proposed match up is just a potential stick to beat them with and a potential big psychological blow that young Welsh team doesn’t need. (I’m Irish BTW.)
2 Go to commentsCale certainly looks great in space, but as you say, he has struggled in contact. At 23 years old, turning 24 this year, he should be close to full physical maturity and yet there exists a considerable gap in the power and physicality required for international rugby. Weight doesn’t automatically equate to power and physicality either. Can he go from a player who’s being physically dominated in Super rugby to physically dominating in international rugby in 1 or 2 years? That’s a big ask but he may end up being a late bloomer.
24 Go to commentsIf rugby wants to remain interesting in the AI era then it will need to work on changing the rules. AI will reduce the tactical advantage of smart game plans, will neutralize primary attacking weapons, and will move rugby from a being a game of inches to a game of millimetres. It will be about sheer athleticism and technique,about avoiding mistakes, and about referees. Many fans will find that boring. The answer is to add creative degrees of freedom to the game. The 50-22 is an example. But we can have fun inventing others, like the right to add more players for X minutes per game, or the equivalent of the 2-point conversion in American football, the ability to call a 12-player scrum, etc. Not saying these are great ideas, but making the point that the more of these alternatives you allow, the less AI will be able to lock down high-probability strategies. This is not because AI does not have the compute power, but because it has more choices and has less data, or less-specific data. That will take time and debate, but big, positive and immediate impact could be in the area of ref/TMO assistance. The technology is easily good enough today to detect forward passes, not-straight lineouts, offside at breakdown/scrum/lineout, obstruction, early/late tackles, and a lot of other things. WR should be ultra aggressive in doing this, as it will really help in an area in which the game is really struggling. In the long run there needs to be substantial creativity applied to the rules. Without that AI (along with all of the pro innovations) will turn rugby into a bash fest.
24 Go to commentsSouth Africa rarely play Ireland and France on these tours. Mostly, England, Scotland and Wales. I wonder why
1 Go to commentsIt was a let’s-see-what-you're-made-of type of a game. The Bulls do look good when the opposition allows them to, but Munster shut them down, and they could not find a way through. Jake should be very worried about their chances in the competition.
2 Go to commentsHats off to Fabian for a very impressive journey to date. Is it as ‘uniquely unlikely’ as Rugby Pass suggests, given Anton Segner’s journey at the Blues?
1 Go to commentsSad that this was not confirmed. When administrators talk about expanding the game they evidently don’t include pathways to the top tier of rugby for teams outside of the old boys club. Rugby deserves better, and certainly Georgia does.
2 Go to commentsLions might take him on if they move on Van Rooyen but I doubt he will want to go back, might consider it a step backwards for himself. Sharks would take him on but if Plumtree goes on to win the challenge cup they will keep him on. Also sharks showing some promising signs recently. Stormers and Bulls are stable and Springboks are already filled up. Quality coach though, interesting to see where he ends up
1 Go to commentsAnd the person responsible for creating a culture of accountability is?
3 Go to commentsMore useless words from Ben Smith -Please get another team to write about. SA really dont need your input, it suck anyway.
264 Go to commentsThis disgraceful episode must result in management and coach team sackings. A new manager with worse results than previous and the coaching staff need to coached. Awful massacre led by donkeys.
1 Go to commentsInteresting article with one glaring mistake. This sentence: “And between the top four nations right now, Ireland, France, South Africa, and New Zealand…” should read: And between the top four nations right now, South Africa, Ireland, New Zealand and France…”. Get it right wistful thinkers, its not that hard.
24 Go to commentsHow did Penny get the gig anyway?
3 Go to commentsNice write up Nick and I would have agreed a week ago. However as you would know Cale & co got absolutely monstered by the Blues back row of Sotutu, Ioane and Papaliti and not all of these 3 are guaranteed a start in the Black jumper. He may need to put some kgs before stepping up, Spring tour? After the week end Joe will be a bit more restless. Will need to pick a mobile tough pack for Wales and hope England does the right thing and bashes the ABs. I like your last paragraph but I would bring Swinton, Hannigan into the 6 role and Bobby V to 8
24 Go to commentsThe Crusaders can still get in to the Play Off’s. The imminent return of outstanding captain Scott Barrett and his All Black team mate Codie Taylor will be a big boost.There are others like Tamaiti Williams too. Two home games coming up. Fellow Crusader fans get there and support these guys. I will be.
2 Go to commentsCant get more Wellington than Proctor.
2 Go to commentsWhy not let the media decide. Like how they choose the head coach. Like most of us we entrust the rugby system to choose. A rugby team includes the coaches. It's collective.
14 Go to commentsHi NIck, I have been very impressed with him and he seems a smart player who can see opportunities which Bobby V _(who must be an international 6_) doesn’t see or have the speed to take advantage of. If he continues to improve and puts on 5kgs then he could be a great 8. He is a bit taller than Keiran Reid at 1.93m and 111 kgs, so his skill set fits his body size and who knows where it will lead. I hope the spate of Achilles tendon issues have been dealt with by the S&C people. It’s been a very long time since Mark Loane and Kefu stood out at 8. The question is will we be able to hold onto him, if he does make it he will be pretty hot property. I disagree with the idea of letting them go to the Northern Hemisphere and then bring them back.
24 Go to commentsBilly Fulton 🤣🤣🤣🤣 garrrmon not even close
14 Go to commentsDoes the AI take into account refs? hahaha Seriously why not have two on field refs to avoid bias?
24 Go to comments