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What Tuesday's exit means for Warren Gatland's legacy in Wales

By PA
Wales boss Warren Gatland reacts during last November's warm-up versus South Africa (Photo by Dan Mullan/Getty Images)

Warren Gatland is the most successful head coach in Wales’ international rugby history. That cannot be doubted, with his record showing four Six Nations titles and three Grand Slams, plus two Rugby World Cup semi-final appearances and a brief occupation of number one spot in the world rankings.

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Such giddy achievements, though, tell only part of the Gatland story. There is a chapter two. After Wales suffered a humiliating home defeat against Georgia in November 2022, it spelt the end of Wayne Pivac’s coaching reign.

Pivac had succeeded his fellow New Zealander Gatland after the 2019 World Cup, a stint that was highlighted by a Six Nations crown in 2021 and historic first victory over the Springboks in South Africa.

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Jake White analyses the URC top structure

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Jake White analyses the URC top structure

But Georgia’s stunning Cardiff triumph meant there could be no way back for Pivac and Gatland soon returned, installed by the Welsh Rugby Union for a second stint that would begin with the 2023 Six Nations.

Could he revive Wales? Could he deliver the sustained success of the first time around? Could he once again inspire Wales to punch way above their weight? Unfortunately, the answer has been an emphatic no, with Wales winning just six out of 26 Test matches that includes an ongoing record run of 14 successive Test defeats.

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His success rate of under 25 per cent was less than half of what he produced between 2008 and 2019 and Wales completed a calendar year in 2024 without a Test win, which was the first time that happened for 87 years.

There are mitigating factors, with a number of front-line players – star names such as Alun Wyn Jones, Justin Tipuric, George North, Dan Biggar and Leigh Halfpenny – retiring from Test rugby since Gatland returned, while Louis Rees-Zammit went to the NFL and influential number eight Taulupe Faletau was a long-term injury absentee.

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Elsewhere, Wales’ four professional regions – Cardiff, Scarlets, Ospreys and Dragons – have often struggled, with none of them qualifying for this season’s blue riband Invested Champions Cup. The WRU have also yet to publish its long-term strategy for the game’s future in Wales against a backdrop of financial struggles, player pathway issues and falling attendances.

At times, Gatland has appeared battered, almost broken and while he must carry the can in terms of results, Welsh rugby’s deep-rooted problems are not all planted at his door.

At 61, it could be that Gatland’s international coaching career is over, although that cannot be debated with any degree of certainty given his pedigree, an ability to produce winning teams and a bottomless rugby knowledge few people can match.

But in terms of Wales, it is the end. Thirteen years across two spells, more than 150 games, several notable victories, some crushing defeats and at times delivering a feel-good factor by the bucketload.

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Current form and results have screamed from the page, though, as this season’s Guinness Six Nations began with a record defeat in the tournament against France and then a 22-15 loss to Italy, which highlighted just how far Wales have fallen.

They now stand at an all-time low of 12th in the world rankings, nearer to countries like Belgium and Brazil on points than heavyweights such as South Africa and Ireland.

Is Gatland’s legacy tarnished? It can be argued both ways but one thing is for sure, Welsh rugby is unlikely to see his like or longevity again.

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J
JW 27 minutes ago
Super Rugby draw heavily favours NZ sides but they can't win in Australia

Yep I’m not sure where he went wrong but his reasoning definitely didn’t click with me. Perhaps he didn’t realise what effect gonig from five to four would have?


Like now/last year, they (Aus) go from having three (two?) doubleup games, so say 50%, to now.. what, 100% of their conference competition being doubleup, home and away games? That’s a big difference in perception, so 4 home games (each local side) and 3 or 4 (half) of the rest. So if you can follow me so far, 2 of those home games could be the Drua and Moana, so it’s just random if you end up getting just two, or even just the one, kiwi team at home (where as the 6 NZ sides have 4 aus teams for their 3 or 4 non local home games?).


I think I might be making sense there. You can see his point though, he thinks it might be more advantageous to have a top team at home, rather than the bottom. But honestly I see no skin in the game between having it safe and a gaurenteed home win, versus banking on beating a good side at home and also being able to win away. I saw no truth offered by the article in that perception though.


Perhaps it’s a flaw in the system to have the doubleup games made up like that? Especially with the third conference, the Pacific, Drua and Moana, automatically playing each other twice? I’m sure they always have, so how did they balance the rest of their doubleup games? Perhaps a proper fixture model was pointless this year with 11 teams, but the new committee might be advised to find a proper way of creating the season rather than the hand picking of games, and who plays who, which doubleups would be most interesting etc, that we all know it is now.

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JW 1 hour ago
New generation incoming: 'Mark Tele'a has assessed the lay of the land'

That’s one of things I’m going to be disappointed not to see, how good his longevity would be. Take away even the type of winger he is compared to those others, it was the age factor, would coming into pro rugby, as in full time contact and strength work, injury relatable activities, some 3 or 4 years later than most, extend that typical life span of a winger through to the next World Cup?


I can’t believe he’s getting twice as much money. I think that is probably an error or an exaggeration comparing his last contract to this new one. He would surely have received a big bump up from NZR as well in a new contract. Or is the climate that volatile for everyone? I’d imagine he’d be able to get 500k+ from NZR, theres no way you need more than that to setup any amount of family, so that’s a copout for real reasons like the management and treatment.


Two years out is next year Liam (🤣), so between now and then, basically over the course of the year, I think you’d need to wane out both Reece (there’s no way someone would go that far to favour Sevu Reece) and Tele’a out and have potential RWC players starting. Who would they be.. worth looking at this year (because they may come next or the year after)?


Clarke and Leicester are you’re locks for the left wing.


Big Jim, even though they’d be looking at him and Jordie being the main #23 options for the side, could indeed get gametime on the right wing this year before being moved into 12.


Caleb is the obvious one of course. I could have him in through the French tour, more likely just in the RC squad, but definitely in by Nov if you’re ensuring your not rushing him in when he’s uncomfortable. He does appear to be that guy however, he’ll .. you know.. from the get go. But he’s gone better on the left this year.


Nareki is your main starter replacement. He’s experienced, and got the skills and team work that Tele’a and Reece don’t. I can’t see any reason why he can’t shift to the right and be their versatile player instead of Jordan. His skills are just going to last and be more relevant than Reece’s.


Next up are different footballers, like James Lowe, that need smart open minds to be appreciated. Leroy Carter has been immense coming into the professional environment of Super Rugby, from sevens, having had a few season at NPC level where I never really took note. He has a very good alround game and looks to be a top class professional and top bloke, I’d definitely feel safe with him on one with and threats in the other two spots. Also Kryen Taumoefolau looks more a League winger to me, which would need a much different plan than for Tele’a or Reece, and probably more time than the rest of this season and some NPC might give.


Then you’ve got guys I’m not so sure I’d want to see this year like, wait for it.. Fihaki (keep waiting), Stevenson, Love, Etene Nanai-Seturo, Zarn Sullivan as their replacements (some good fullback prospects in that group though). Might Jordan need to be used more at 14 if they jettison them both early like Liam suggests they will? I haven’t forgotten you if you’re still waiting, my next Dagg, the next Corey Jane for me is Jacob Ratamaitavuki-Kneepkens. Played superbly last season for a good 7-8 weeks the Landers, and solid in the skills department for the rest. Would love to be able to see if stats indeed show he has a low error rate, he could show he has the class to play both positions tactically (at a minimum) and really add to the teams counter attack threat.


Emoni Narawa is not really someone I’m that sure about anymore, after having a season at center and looking good mainly. It just feels to me like he’s not going to perfect his craft enough as a wing to AB class despite having the ability to. Certainly more productive than someone like Fihaki, in all three facets, running, kicking, and on defence. Even more than Reece if I’m honest (who appears to have already hit that barrier referenced in this article, not much he can do about it), not that that would be hard for two of them.


Looking further though, Springer I have wraps on and he should already be starting over the other two at SR level, but I don’t think Razor should do a Farrell and select him before he’s first taken his place in the Crusaders team. Further down the line it’s not worth naming prospects for at this point, next to zero chance they come through this season.


The loss of Mark in particular puts the AB’s in a bit of a pickle if you ask me.

6 Go to comments
T
Trace George 2 hours ago
Vern Cotter reflects on his side's recent turnaround in form

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Trace George 2 hours ago
Can Rugby Australia afford to go ‘all in’ on the Queensland Reds?

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Gloucester-tormentor Finn Russell returns for Bath

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