Where do the Wallabies have the edge? Bledisloe battles to savour
Rivals against rivals, neighbours against neighbours – regardless of the dominance New Zealand has held over Australia in recent years, every Bledisloe Cup match is looked upon with anticipation. It’s been well documented that the Wallabies have not secured the series in over 15 years – there have been wins here and there throughout that period but it takes consistency to wrestle the Bledisloe off the holders – but no doubt every match the Wallabies players go into they know that they have the class and the firepower to come out triumphant.
This year, more so than recent seasons, the Wallabies have a settled squad and are running hot in the form department – their series victory over England is a testament to that. Across their squad, in fact, they have the men to seriously challenge the All Blacks in almost every facet of the game.
Front Row
Once considered a dire weakness of the side, the Wallabies scrum has improved significantly to the point where it’s now one of their greater strengths. That’s not to suggest that the Australian front row is a one trick pony, however, they’ve got some potent ball runners in the form of Taniela Tupou and Sekope Kepu. In fact, in open play their front-row possibly possess more of a threat than what the All Blacks have on offer – though Codie Taylor may have something to say about that.
The biggest concern for All Blacks fans will be the discipline of their props – with both Joe Moody and Owen Franks spending plenty of time away from the game in recent times due to bans. Although there has been the odd blowout in recent years, the match in Sydney looks like it will be a closer affair – so penalties and yellow cards will be exceptionally costly. If New Zealand can’t keep their discipline in check, there are plenty of kickers in the Wallabies who will be able to take advantage.
Advantage: Wallabies
Loose Forwards
The All Blacks have, unquestionably, one of the most balanced backrows in world rugby. Between Liam Squire, Sam Cane and Kieran Read, New Zealand have ball carriers, ball winners and playmakers aplenty. The Wallabies don’t boast quite as much balance in their loose forwards – but there’s one key area where they obviously stand out above other teams around the world.
With both David Pocock and Michael Hooper on the field, the Wallabies have two of the best fetchers available to disrupt All Blacks ball – whenever a team plays the Wallabies one of the biggest challenges is trying to nullify the threat of the ‘Pooper’ combination. Of course, the Wallabies do give up a bit of bulk in the loose forwards due to using the dual openside tactic – not to mention some height in the lineout – but if the All Blacks are starved of any ball then this will be of little concern to the Wallabies.
Advantage: Even
Halfback
Since his return to Super Rugby this year, Will Genia has reminded everyone in the southern hemisphere that he’s lost none of the speed, sleight of hand or tactical awareness that made him one of the best halfbacks in the world before his departure in 2015.
Unsurprisingly, the Wallabies played by far their best rugby in their June series when Genia was on the field, and his absence in the third test coincided with a bad defeat for Australia.
The All Blacks will, unsurprisingly, trot out Aaron Smith in the 9 jersey. Barring a drop off in form at the end of 2016, Smith has been the clear-cut starting halfback for New Zealand since he burst onto the scene in 2012. Like Genia, his quick delivery offers a huge advantage when his team is on the attack – even if the opposition are given only half a second less to set their defence. The bench is where the All Blacks have the biggest advantage, with TJ Perenara a significantly more useful impact player than Nick Phipps.
Advantage: All Blacks
Midfield
Although question marks may exist regarding the newly formed partnership between Kurtley Beale and Reece Hodge, there is just as little certainty over the All Blacks midfield combination.
Beale is an experienced campaigner now, with over 70 caps under his belt for the Wallabies after first being selected nine years ago. His attacking prowess is menacing but the maturity and sensibility he’s added to his arsenal as a seasoned hand will be invaluable with the relative newcomer Hodge outside him.
Hodge himself is no slouch either and although he’s more a sure bet than a Hail Mary kind of player, his ability to straighten play shouldn’t be underestimated. The Beale-Hodge combination was slick in the Wallabies’ hit-out against the Super Rugby selection last week but how they stand up against the more seasoned professionals in the All Blacks ranks will be a true litmus test.
The Wallabies’ opposition, Ryan Crotty and Jack Goodhue, are both experienced Super Rugby campaigners but still lack some testing in the international arena – Goodhue in particular. Regardless, the two have forged an impressive combination at the Crusaders over the better part of two years and will hope that this will translate to the international stage. Both players have reliable passes and tend to focus more on getting the ball to the dangerous outside backs at their disposal instead of looking to do it all themselves.
Advantage: Even
Outside Backs
Speaking of dangerous outside backs, the wingers that both teams have on show all have the ability to break the game open and we will no doubt see some tries scored in the wider channels. The All Blacks have opted for a pair of out-and-out wingers in Rieko Ioane and Waisake Naholo who have collectively scored 26 tries in 35 appearances in the black jersey.
They’ll be facing off against at least one power winger in the form of Marika Koroibete, a man whose pace is complemented by his large frame. On the other wing, Dane Haylett-Petty will showcase his wide skill-set. Curiously, the All Blacks have erred away from the usual fullback-cum-wing that they normally plant on the right side of the field – but the Wallabies have adopted this tactic with great results in recent times.
At fullback, arguably the two best 15s in the world will oppose each other – Ben Smith and Israel Folau.
Advantage: All Blacks
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Comments on RugbyPass
Bar the injuries, it’s pretty much their top team …
2 Go to commentsDon’t disagree with much of this but it appears you forgot Rodda and Beale, who started at the Force on the weekend.
9 Go to commentsExcept for the injured Zach Gallagher this would be Saders best forward pack for the season. Blackadder needs to stay at 7, for all of Christies tackling he is not dominant and offers very little else. McNicholfullback is maybe a good option, Fihaki not really upto it, there was a reason Burke played there last year. Maybe Havilli to 2nd five McLeod to wing. Need a strong winger on 1 side to compliment Reece
1 Go to commentsTo me TJ is clearly the best 9 in the competition right now but he's also a proven player off the bench, there's few playmaking players who can come off the bench as calm and settled as he is, Beauden can, TJ can and I doubt any of the scrumhalves in contention can, if they want to experiment with new 9s I want him on the bench ready to step in if they crumble under the pressure. The Boks put their best front row on the bench, I'd like to see us take a similar approach, the Hurricanes have been doing similar things with players like Kirifi.
35 Go to commentsROG has better chance to win a WC if he starts training and make himself eligible as a player. He won’t make the Ireland squad but I reckon he may get close with Namibia (needs to improve his Afrikaans) or Portugal. Both sides had 1000:1 odds to win the RWC in 2023 which is an improvement on ROG’s odds of winning a RWC as a coach. Unlike Top 14 teams, national teams can’t go shopping and buy the best players - you work with the available talent pool and turn them into world beaters.
2 Go to commentsthat backline nope that backline is terrible why would you have sevu Reece when he’s not even top 5 wingers in the comp why have Blackadder when there’s better players no Scott barret isn’t an automatic the guy is more of a liability than anything why have him there when you have samipeni who’s far far better
35 Go to commentsAh, good to find you Nick. Agree with everything about Cale. So much to like about his game
49 Go to commentsNot too bad. Questions at 6, lock and HB for me. The ABs will be a lot stronger once Jordan and Roigard return. Also, work needs to be made to secure Frizzell back for next season and maybe also Mo’unga; they’re just wasting time playing in japan
35 Go to commentsOn the title, i wonder for many of those people it is a case something like a belief in working smarter, not harder?
1 Go to commentsForget Sotutu. One of those whose top level is Super Rugby. Id take a punt on Wallace Sititi Finau ahead of Glass body Blackadder.
35 Go to commentsI’m a pensioner so I've been around a bit. My opinion of SBW is he is an elite athlete and a great New Zealander and roll model. He has been to the top and knows what he's talking about. To all the negative comments regarding SBW the typical New Zealand way, cut that tall poppy down.
17 Go to commentsI'm not listening to a guy moralise over others when this is the guy who walked out mid season on Canterbury RLFC when he had a contract with them, what a hypocrite. All the Kiwis sticking up for this unprincipled individual because they can't accept justified criticism, he has zero credibility or integrity. Those praising him are a joke.
17 Go to commentsI’d put Finau at 6 instead of Blackadder but that’s the only change I’d make. Can’t wait to see who Razor picks.
35 Go to commentsTamati Williams, Codie Taylor, and Same Cane? Not sure about Hoskins Sotutu at test level. Wasn’t that impressive last season. Need a balance between experience and talent/youth.
35 Go to commentsInteresting insight. Fantastic athlete, and a genuine human being.
17 Go to commentsThey played at night in Suva last weekend and it’s an afternoon game forecast for 19 degrees in Canberra this weekend. Heat change is a non issue.
2 Go to commentsWishing Rosie a speedy recovery
1 Go to commentsObscene that SA haven’t been knocking
1 Go to commentsChances of Blackadder being injured seem too high to give him serious consideration. ABs loosie combination finally looked good with 2 committed to tackling and clearing rucks in the centre and Ardie roaming. Hoskins/Ardie together would force one of them into where they don’t excel and don’t get to use their talent, or require a change in tactics. If we continue to evolve last years systems I would take Papali’i and Finau at 6 and 7 (conceding that Blackadder will be injured) and Ardie at 8.
35 Go to commentsArdie’s preferred position 7? Where do they get these writers from? I've no idea where he's playing in Japan, but the previous two seasons he wore the 7 jersey exactly twice.
18 Go to comments