Imperfect new Super Rugby format a step in the right direction
Sense has finally prevailed and Super Rugby will be returning to a round-robin format where seedings for the finals are based on merit and merit alone.
A 12-team competition has officially been given the green light for next season, including the current 10 Trans-Tasman sides from New Zealand and Australia as well as the two new franchises, Moana Pasifika and Fijian Drua.
Each team will square off once, with three additional round-robin matches scheduled before moving into an eight-team finals series, resulting in a 17-game season for the eventual finalists.
How those three additional fixtures will be decided is in many ways still up in the air, with Rugby Australia favouring derby matches and New Zealand Rugby pushing for a more equitable approach.
While that decision could impact the relative draw strengths of each competitor, we’ll at least finally see the end of the non-sensical structures from years gone by which have seen teams hugely boosted by the quality of their pools and Australian and South African teams guaranteed top seedings despite having easier paths to the final.
If the additional derby matches are given the go-ahead, the Australian sides will have a slight advantage over their Kiwi rivals – but not to the same extent as in the past.
There is, however, still one major quirk to the tournament structure: the eight-team finals series.
In a competition involving just 12 teams, three-quarters of the competitors will progress to the knockout stages.
From a meritocratic point of view, there’s little justification for opening the door for so many teams to qualify for the sudden death stages of a competition when they’ve likely performed so poorly throughout.
Assuming a fair distribution of wins and losses based on finishing position (which, admittedly, isn’t always the case), it would come as no surprise to see sides qualify for the finals despite winning fewer than half of their regular-season fixtures.
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While there’s an advantage to playing at home, the advantage is not so stark that it will have a huge impact on the outcomes of most matches. That ultimately means that the game whatever the result between the first and eighth-seeded teams in the final, the match is essentially not worth playing.
Either the top-seeded side is so much better than their opposition that the game is redundant, or the bottom-ranked finalist scores a shock upset and advances into the semis, despite having a poor win-loss record for the season.
Effectively, the reward for the higher-ranked sides only comes in the form of commercial benefits to their organisation thanks to taking the majority of the gate-keepings for having an extra home game or two. The team itself – the players and the coaches – have little on-field advantage to gain from a higher place in the rankings.
Ignoring the meritocratic argument, however, it’s not hard to see why the trans-Tasman partners appear to be opting for an eight-team finals series.
The biggest benefit will be felt by the Australian sides, who were clearly the five bottom teams in this year’s various Super Rugby competitions.
With just four or even six teams progressing to the knockout matches, there would be a very real chance of zero Australian teams making the cut-off. An eight-team series ensures two Australian clubs will be present in at least the first round of the finals series.
That’s a bonus for the clubs themselves but also for the competition as a whole because it means fans from both Australia and NZ will have some skin in the game for as long as possible (and it also increases the chances of the new franchises making an appearance in the finals).
The other benefit of an expanded finals series is it gives the lower-ranked teams something to aspire to, even late in the season.
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If only the top four sides were to make the knockout rounds, a huge number of teams would find themselves mathematically out of the running relatively early in the competition.
With eight teams progressing through, however, the finalists may not be decided until the final weeks of the regular season.
That’s a positive for the teams, a positive for the fans and a positive for the broadcasters.
While a battle between the sides currently ranked seventh and ninth would capture few neutrals’ interests in the latter rounds of a season, that those two teams will be competing for a potential spot in the play-offs would make the contest considerably more enticing for viewers.
Effectively, the decision to run with an eight-team finals series – despite some sides being ‘underserving’ of spots based on their records throughout the competition – guarantees there will be as many eyes on the competition for as long as possible.
It’s a decision made by NZR and RA based on a commercial need, but without hugely compromising the integrity of Super Rugby, as has been the case in the past.
The extended finals series coupled with some uncertainty around how the additional three round-robin fixtures will be decided means we’re not going to see a perfect tournament in 2021, but it’s still a huge step in the right direction.
Comments on RugbyPass
Bold headline considering the Canes and Blues are 1 and 2 and the Brumbies were soundly beaten by the Chiefs and Blues. Biggest surprise is Rebels 4 Crusaders 12 - no one saw that coming. If Aus are improving that’s great 👍
1 Go to commentsAnna, You are right, we need to have patience whilst the others catch up to England and France. Also it is the PWR that has been the game changer for England. the RFU put money into that initially at the expense of the Red Roses. I was sceptical at first but it has paid off in spades.
1 Go to commentsI think Matt Proctor became a 1 test AB in the same fixture. Cameron is quality and has been great this season, can’t believe’s he only 27. Realistically how would he not be selected for ABs squad this year. Only Dmac is ahead of him as a specialist 10. With Jordan out, it will come down to where and when Beauden Barrett slots back in, and where they want to play Ruben Love. Cameron seems an absolute lock in for the wider squad though. Added benefit of TJ-Cameron-Jordie combination at 9, 10, 11 too.
1 Go to commentsFarcical, to what end would someone want to pay to keep this thing going.
1 Go to commentsHavili, our best 12 by a mile, will be in the squad, if he stays fit. JB is the most overrated AB in the last 50 years.
61 Go to commentsWe had during the week twilight footy, twilight cricket, tw golf plus there was the athletics club. Then the weekend was rugby 15s plus the net ball, really busy club scene back then but so much has changed and rugby has suffered. And it was all about changing lifestyles.
6 Go to commentsIn the 70s and 80s my club ran 5 Senior sides plus a Vets. Now it is 2 sides with an occasional 3rd team. Players have difficulty getting to training now, not sure why and the commitment is not there. It seems to me more a problem of people applying themselves and not expecting to turn up and play whenever they want to.
6 Go to commentsROG’s contract is until 2027. The conversation about a successor to Galthie after RWC 2027 may be starting now. We can infer that Galthie’s reign stops then. He is throwing the Irish Coaching Job angle in because he is Irish. The next Irish coach MUST be Leo Cullen. As well as being the best coach available, coaching the vast majority of Irish Internationals week in week out, he has shown incredible skill at recruiting the best coaching staff for the job in hand. That was a failing in France. Cullen is a shrewd guy and if there is a need for foreign coaches underneath him he won’t hesitate. Rightly so. Ireland does need to start to bring Irish coaches through. Not just at the professional level but we need to train coaches to man new pathways for developing kids from schools/clubs up through the divisions.
8 Go to commentsNo Islam says it must rule where it stands Thus it is to be deleted from this planet Earth
18 Go to commentsThis team probably does not beat the ABs sadly Not sure if BPA will be available given his signing for Force but has to enter consideration. Very strong possibility of getting schooled by the AB props. Advantage AB. Rodda/Skelton would be a tasty locking combination - would love to see how they get on. Advantage Wallabies. Backrow a risk of getting out hustled and outmuscled by ABs. Will be interesting to see if the Blues feast on the Reds this weekend the way they did the Brumbies we are in big trouble at the breakdown. Great energy, running and defence but goalkicking/general kicking/passing quality in the halves bothers me enormously. SA may have won the World Cup for a lot of the tournament without a recognised goalkicker but Pollard in the final made a difference IMO. Injuries and retirements leave AB stocks a bit lighter but still stronger. 12 and 13 ABs shade it (Barret > Paisami, Ione = Ikitau, arguably) Interesting clash of styles on the wings - Corey Toole running around Caleb Clark and Caleb running over the top of Toole. Reece vs Koro probably the reverse. Pretty even IMO. 15s Kelleway = Love See advantage to ABs man for man, but we are not obviously getting slaughtered anywhere which makes a nice change. Think talent wise we are pretty even and if our cohesion and teamwork is better than the ABs then its just about doable.
11 Go to commentsCompletely agree. More friday night games would be a hit. RFU to make sure every club has a floodlit pitch. Club opens again Saturday to welcome touch / tag. Minis and youths on Sunday
6 Go to comments1.97m and 105Kg? Proportionately, probably skinnier than me at 1.82 and 82kilos. He won’t survive against the big guys at that weight.
55 Go to commentsThe value he brought to the crusaders as an assistant was equal to what he got out of being there. He reflected not only on the team culture but also the credit he attributed to the rugby community. Such experience shouldn’t be overlooked.
8 Go to commentsGood luck Aussie
11 Go to commentssmith at 9 / mounga 10 / laumape 12 / fainganuku 14
61 Go to commentsBar the injuries, it’s pretty much their top team …
2 Go to commentsDon’t disagree with much of this but it appears you forgot Rodda and Beale, who started at the Force on the weekend.
11 Go to commentsExcept for the injured Zach Gallagher this would be Saders best forward pack for the season. Blackadder needs to stay at 7, for all of Christies tackling he is not dominant and offers very little else. McNicholfullback is maybe a good option, Fihaki not really upto it, there was a reason Burke played there last year. Maybe Havilli to 2nd five McLeod to wing. Need a strong winger on 1 side to compliment Reece
1 Go to commentsTo me TJ is clearly the best 9 in the competition right now but he's also a proven player off the bench, there's few playmaking players who can come off the bench as calm and settled as he is, Beauden can, TJ can and I doubt any of the scrumhalves in contention can, if they want to experiment with new 9s I want him on the bench ready to step in if they crumble under the pressure. The Boks put their best front row on the bench, I'd like to see us take a similar approach, the Hurricanes have been doing similar things with players like Kirifi.
61 Go to commentsROG has better chance to win a WC if he starts training and make himself eligible as a player. He won’t make the Ireland squad but I reckon he may get close with Namibia (needs to improve his Afrikaans) or Portugal. Both sides had 1000:1 odds to win the RWC in 2023 which is an improvement on ROG’s odds of winning a RWC as a coach. Unlike Top 14 teams, national teams can’t go shopping and buy the best players - you work with the available talent pool and turn them into world beaters.
8 Go to comments