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The Autumn Internationals Preview: Argentina

By Calum Henderson
(P

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Argentina Schedule
vs Wales – Sunday November 13, 1:30am HKT
vs Scotland – Sunday November 20, 1:00am HKT
vs England – Saturday November 26, 10:30pm HKT

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Argentina sent a warning sign to their Northern Hemisphere opponents last weekend with a resounding win over Japan in Tokyo. After a disappointing Rugby Championship, could Los Pumas be poised to do some damage to Wales, Scotland and England in the coming weeks?

What to look out for
Some signs of improvement. The Pumas have now spent five seasons in the Rugby Championship and this year the majority of the squad played Super Rugby with the Jaguares. In theory that experience should have made them a stronger side, but – win over the Springboks in Salta aside – it didn’t really show in the Rugby Championship. Their 54-20 rout of Japan last week was more like it.

Strengths
Argentina have a tremendous spine and are at their most dangerous from open play. When the game loses its structure and they get an opportunity to toss the ball around a bit they can score from anywhere on the park.

Weaknesses
Weirdly, given the prevailing stereotypes about the Pumas pack, their scrummaging too often let them down in the Rugby Championship. The wily Northern Hemisphere front-rowers will look to exploit this to their advantage.

Coaching situation
Daniel Hourcade’s job is not in any danger but he needs a strong showing in the Autumn Internationals for his 2016 to be considered a success. Since he took the reins in 2013 Argentina have yet to register wins over Wales, Scotland or England.

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Player to watch
23-year-old loose forward Facundo Isa was one of standout performers of the Jaguares’ debut Super Rugby campaign, he should cause a few headaches for his Northern Hemisphere opponents.

Best chance of an upset
England’s injury problems are a concern and they may already have one eye on their clash with Australia the following weekend when they meet Argentina at Twickenham on November 26. If they’re not careful Argentina could spoil the party.

Prediction
A win, a loss and a draw, but it’s a lottery which one comes against whom.

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Flankly 17 hours ago
The AI advantage: How the next two Rugby World Cups will be won

If rugby wants to remain interesting in the AI era then it will need to work on changing the rules. AI will reduce the tactical advantage of smart game plans, will neutralize primary attacking weapons, and will move rugby from a being a game of inches to a game of millimetres. It will be about sheer athleticism and technique,about avoiding mistakes, and about referees. Many fans will find that boring. The answer is to add creative degrees of freedom to the game. The 50-22 is an example. But we can have fun inventing others, like the right to add more players for X minutes per game, or the equivalent of the 2-point conversion in American football, the ability to call a 12-player scrum, etc. Not saying these are great ideas, but making the point that the more of these alternatives you allow, the less AI will be able to lock down high-probability strategies. This is not because AI does not have the compute power, but because it has more choices and has less data, or less-specific data. That will take time and debate, but big, positive and immediate impact could be in the area of ref/TMO assistance. The technology is easily good enough today to detect forward passes, not-straight lineouts, offside at breakdown/scrum/lineout, obstruction, early/late tackles, and a lot of other things. WR should be ultra aggressive in doing this, as it will really help in an area in which the game is really struggling. In the long run there needs to be substantial creativity applied to the rules. Without that AI (along with all of the pro innovations) will turn rugby into a bash fest.

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