The All Blacks cannot lose this week
The Covid-positives outweigh the negatives, where the All Blacks are concerned.
No, it’s not great news that the Crusaders trio of David Havili, Jack Goodhue and Will Jordan will miss Saturday’s first test match against Ireland.
All would have been in my starting side and all are a loss.
On the whole, though, this is a good week for our national side.
People are on the fence about the All Blacks. Some are even over the other side and hoping Ireland will win this three-test series and pressure New Zealand Rugby to make a drastic, last-minute decision and punt Ian Foster as head coach.
But adversity galvanises folk. It tugs at the public’s heart strings and puts them back onside with the players.
The All Blacks cannot lose this week. If they win, it’s a famous victory to rank alongside the 1986 ‘Baby Blacks’ team that beat France.
If they lose, particularly in courageous fashion, no-one will condemn them for it.
I think it’s a huge plus for everyone that Foster’s involvement is limited to Zoom calls this week. Just as I feel it’s an advantage to have Sam Whitelock largely running the forward pack.
The addition of Joe Schmidt to the coaching group is an incredible stroke of luck. He’d have been a welcome addition to the staff at any time, but especially so when the opponent is Ireland.
I’d go as far as to say the team that runs onto Eden Park will be as well-prepared as any in our history.
We all agree the All Blacks have lacked obvious clarity under Foster. That if there was a plan, it’s been difficult to discern.
I think Schmidt, provided incumbent assistant Brad Mooar gets out of the way and Foster isn’t chucking his oar in too much, has the ability to focus the group and give them the tools to win.
The only potential issue now is personnel.
I’d have gone Jordie Barrett, Jordan, Goodhue, Havili, Rieko Ioane, Beauden Barrett, Aaron Smith, Ardie Savea, Dalton Papalii, Tupou Vaa’i, Whitelock, Brodie Retallick, Nepo Laulala, Dane Coles and George Bower to start this week.
Jordan’s out, so Sevu Reece goes there. Reece is a right wing, if playing, never a left.
Reluctantly, Ioane has to be a centre now, alongside Quinn Tupaea in midfield. Leicester Fainga’anuku wears No.11.
We hope everyone now stays fit and well and can put whatever distractions this week’s caused behind them.
Players are funny, though. A lot of the time they don’t actually know or care who they’re marking, just as they can be indifferent to who’s coaching.
They’re selfish, territorial people by nature and tend to have an intense focus on themselves.
I can imagine the team’s media this week – both pre and post match – and all the pathetic questions about disruptions and adversity and pulling together.
It’s all crap.
People, be they coaches or players, get sick or injured or dropped all the time and the show goes seamlessly on.
Players have their job to do, and all the pressure and anxiety that goes with it, and genuinely aren’t that bothered by much else.
I reckon they’ll find this week liberating and the crowd very much behind them on Saturday. They’ll enjoy being reliant on themselves and a bit more free of Foster.
Far from being a problem, this could be the making of this team.
They’ve lacked an identity and personality under Foster. There’s no clear leader and no obvious knowledge of how to combat the opposition.
Well, the boys themselves are more in charge this week, alongside a real detail man in Schmidt.
I reckon it could be a very effective mix.
Comments on RugbyPass
Havili, our best 12 by a mile, will be in the squad, if he stays fit. JB is the most overrated AB in the last 50 years.
61 Go to commentsWe had during the week twilight footy, twilight cricket, tw golf plus there was the athletics club. Then the weekend was rugby 15s plus the net ball, really busy club scene back then but so much has changed and rugby has suffered. And it was all about changing lifestyles.
6 Go to commentsIn the 70s and 80s my club ran 5 Senior sides plus a Vets. Now it is 2 sides with an occasional 3rd team. Players have difficulty getting to training now, not sure why and the commitment is not there. It seems to me more a problem of people applying themselves and not expecting to turn up and play whenever they want to.
6 Go to commentsROG’s contract is until 2027. The conversation about a successor to Galthie after RWC 2027 may be starting now. We can infer that Galthie’s reign stops then. He is throwing the Irish Coaching Job angle in because he is Irish. The next Irish coach MUST be Leo Cullen. As well as being the best coach available, coaching the vast majority of Irish Internationals week in week out, he has shown incredible skill at recruiting the best coaching staff for the job in hand. That was a failing in France. Cullen is a shrewd guy and if there is a need for foreign coaches underneath him he won’t hesitate. Rightly so. Ireland does need to start to bring Irish coaches through. Not just at the professional level but we need to train coaches to man new pathways for developing kids from schools/clubs up through the divisions.
7 Go to commentsNo Islam says it must rule where it stands Thus it is to be deleted from this planet Earth
18 Go to commentsThis team probably does not beat the ABs sadly Not sure if BPA will be available given his signing for Force but has to enter consideration. Very strong possibility of getting schooled by the AB props. Advantage AB. Rodda/Skelton would be a tasty locking combination - would love to see how they get on. Advantage Wallabies. Backrow a risk of getting out hustled and outmuscled by ABs. Will be interesting to see if the Blues feast on the Reds this weekend the way they did the Brumbies we are in big trouble at the breakdown. Great energy, running and defence but goalkicking/general kicking/passing quality in the halves bothers me enormously. SA may have won the World Cup for a lot of the tournament without a recognised goalkicker but Pollard in the final made a difference IMO. Injuries and retirements leave AB stocks a bit lighter but still stronger. 12 and 13 ABs shade it (Barret > Paisami, Ione = Ikitau, arguably) Interesting clash of styles on the wings - Corey Toole running around Caleb Clark and Caleb running over the top of Toole. Reece vs Koro probably the reverse. Pretty even IMO. 15s Kelleway = Love See advantage to ABs man for man, but we are not obviously getting slaughtered anywhere which makes a nice change. Think talent wise we are pretty even and if our cohesion and teamwork is better than the ABs then its just about doable.
11 Go to commentsCompletely agree. More friday night games would be a hit. RFU to make sure every club has a floodlit pitch. Club opens again Saturday to welcome touch / tag. Minis and youths on Sunday
6 Go to comments1.97m and 105Kg? Proportionately, probably skinnier than me at 1.82 and 82kilos. He won’t survive against the big guys at that weight.
55 Go to commentsThe value he brought to the crusaders as an assistant was equal to what he got out of being there. He reflected not only on the team culture but also the credit he attributed to the rugby community. Such experience shouldn’t be overlooked.
7 Go to commentsGood luck Aussie
11 Go to commentssmith at 9 / mounga 10 / laumape 12 / fainganuku 14
61 Go to commentsBar the injuries, it’s pretty much their top team …
2 Go to commentsDon’t disagree with much of this but it appears you forgot Rodda and Beale, who started at the Force on the weekend.
11 Go to commentsExcept for the injured Zach Gallagher this would be Saders best forward pack for the season. Blackadder needs to stay at 7, for all of Christies tackling he is not dominant and offers very little else. McNicholfullback is maybe a good option, Fihaki not really upto it, there was a reason Burke played there last year. Maybe Havilli to 2nd five McLeod to wing. Need a strong winger on 1 side to compliment Reece
1 Go to commentsTo me TJ is clearly the best 9 in the competition right now but he's also a proven player off the bench, there's few playmaking players who can come off the bench as calm and settled as he is, Beauden can, TJ can and I doubt any of the scrumhalves in contention can, if they want to experiment with new 9s I want him on the bench ready to step in if they crumble under the pressure. The Boks put their best front row on the bench, I'd like to see us take a similar approach, the Hurricanes have been doing similar things with players like Kirifi.
61 Go to commentsROG has better chance to win a WC if he starts training and make himself eligible as a player. He won’t make the Ireland squad but I reckon he may get close with Namibia (needs to improve his Afrikaans) or Portugal. Both sides had 1000:1 odds to win the RWC in 2023 which is an improvement on ROG’s odds of winning a RWC as a coach. Unlike Top 14 teams, national teams can’t go shopping and buy the best players - you work with the available talent pool and turn them into world beaters.
7 Go to commentsthat backline nope that backline is terrible why would you have sevu Reece when he’s not even top 5 wingers in the comp why have Blackadder when there’s better players no Scott barret isn’t an automatic the guy is more of a liability than anything why have him there when you have samipeni who’s far far better
61 Go to commentsAh, good to find you Nick. Agree with everything about Cale. So much to like about his game
55 Go to commentsNot too bad. Questions at 6, lock and HB for me. The ABs will be a lot stronger once Jordan and Roigard return. Also, work needs to be made to secure Frizzell back for next season and maybe also Mo’unga; they’re just wasting time playing in japan
61 Go to commentsOn the title, i wonder for many of those people it is a case something like a belief in working smarter, not harder?
1 Go to comments