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Six Nations Preview: France vs Wales

France's Camille Lopez

France vs Wales at Stade de France

(Saturday, March 18, 10:45pm HKT)

There’s plenty to play for in Paris this weekend

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What we can expect

Nip-tuck rugby with plenty of bang and boom up front.

France

France started to enjoy themselves last week against Italy in Rome, and coach Guy Noves looked more relaxed than he has for some time as he announced the team for this weekend’s festivities in Paris. And that newfound smile on French rugby faces could be a problem for Wales – unless they can wipe it off pretty smartish. Sebastien Vahaamahina returns to the starting line-up in place of Julien Le Devedec after missing last week’s Roman holiday with a back injury, while Camille Chat and Damien Chouly return to the bench.

Matchday 23: 15 Brice Dulin, 14 Noa Nakaitaci, 13 Remi Lamerat, 12 Gael Fickou, 11 Virimi Vakatawa, 10 Camille Lopez, 9 Baptiste Serin; 1 Cyril Baille, 2 Guilhem Guirado (c), 3 Rabah Slimani, 4 Sebastien Vahaamahina, 5 Yoann Maestri, 6 Fabien Sanconnie, 7 Kevin Gourdon, 8 Louis Picamoles. Replacements: 16 Camille Chat, 17 Uini Atonio, 18 Eddy Ben Arous, 19 Julien Le Devedec, 20 Damien Chouly, 21 Antoine Dupont, 22 Francois Trinh-Duc, 23 Yoann Huget

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Wales

No change, no surprise from Rob Howley after the mighty bosh worked for Wales against Ireland under the Principality roof in what is likely to be the final Friday night Six Nations match for some time. That win was built on ferocious intensity and high-impact defence. Wales will need more of the same this weekend if they are going to come away with the win they need to have a chance of moving up to fourth in World Rugby’s rankings just in time for the World Cup draw in Japan in May.

Matchday 23: 15 Leigh Halfpenny, 14 George North, 13 Jonathan Davies, 12 Scott Williams, 11 Liam Williams, 10 Dan Biggar, 9 Rhys Webb; 1 Rob Evans, 2 Ken Owens, 3 Tomas Francis, 4 Jake Ball, 5 Alun Wyn Jones (c), 6 Sam Warburton, 7 Justin Tipuric, 8 Ross Moriarty. Replacements: 16 Scott Baldwin, 17 Nicky Smith, 18 Samson Lee, 19 Luke Charteris, 20 Taulupe Faletau, 21 Gareth Davies, 22 Sam Davies, 23 Jamie Roberts

All eyes on: Camille Lopez

France have lacked a recognised world class kicker throughout the tournament – but Lopez demonstrated he’s no mug from the kicking tee against Italy last time out. How he performs against the usually reliable combination of Leigh Halfpenny and Dan Biggar could be crucial to French hopes.

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Key battle: The back rows

Have you seen them? Ow. And Ow. And Ow.

Prediction

It’ll be close and much will depend on Lopez, but France by 6.

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SK 1 hour ago
The times are changing, and some Six Nations teams may be left behind

If you are building the same amount of rucks but kicking more is that a bad thing? Kicks are more constestable than ever, fans want to see a contest, is that a bad thing? kicks create broken field situations where counter attacks from be launched from or from which turnover ball can be exploited, attacks are more direct and swift rather than multiphase in nature, is that a bad thing? What is clear now is that a hybrid approach is needed to win matches. You can still build phases but you need to play in the right areas so you have to kick well. You also have to be prepared to play from turnover ball and transition quickly from the kick contest to attack or set your defence quickly if the aerial contest is lost. Rugby seems healthy to me. The rules at ruck time means the team in possession is favoured and its more possible than ever to play a multiphase game. At the same time kicking, set piece, kick chase and receipt seems to be more important than ever. Teams can win in so many ways with so many strategies. If anything rugby resembles footballs 4-4-2 era. Now football is all about 1 striker formations with gegenpress and transition play vs possession heavy teams, fewer shots, less direct play and crossing. Its boring and it plods along with moves starting from deep, passing goalkeepers and centre backs and less wing play. If we keep tinkering with the laws rugby will become a game with more defined styles and less variety, less ways to win effectively and less varied body types and skill sets.

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