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Six Nations Preview: England vs Italy

By James Harrington
Owen Farrell will win his 50th England cap against Italy on Sunday

England vs Italy at Twickenham
(
Sunday, February 26, 11pm HKT)

The trip to Twickenham looks a lot like Mission: Impossible for Italy.

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What we can expect
Tries. Lots and lots of tries. Mostly English ones. Chances of Italy not recording their 75th Six Nations defeat? Zero.

England
Eddie Jones promised to shake up selection for this match against Italy – and he has made four changes. Ben Te’o is in the England starting line-up for the first time, while Danny Care replacing Ben Youngs. Jonny May gets the nod on the wing, while James Haskell replaces Jack Clifford in the back row. Dylan Hartley holds on to the captaincy, but Owen Farrell will lead the side out to mark his 50th England cap. The big surprise is the total absence of Anthony Watson.

Matchday 23: Brown, May, Te’o, Farrell, Daly, Ford, Care; Marler, Hartley, Cole, Launchbury, Lawes, Itoje, Haskell, Hughes Bench: George, Vunipola, Sinckler, Wood, Clifford, Youngs, Slade, Nowell

Italy
The Azzurri are on a hiding to nothing. After leaking 96 points in their opening two matches, they will have to regard an England score of anything less than 60 as a major improvement. Coach Conor O’Shea has made four changes to the starting line-up, with Tommasso Allan in the pivotal fly-half role, and Michele Campagnaro finally getting his chance to shine in midfield.

Matchday 23: Padovani, Bisegni, Campagnaro, McLean, Venditti, Allan, Gori; Lovotti, Ghiraldini, Cittadini, Fuser, Van Schalkwyk, Steyn, Favaro, Parisse (c) Bench: Gega, Rizzo, Ceccarelli, Biagi, Mbanda, Bronzini, Canna, Benvenuti

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All eyes on: Michele Campagnaro
After two weeks’ dutiful bench-warming duty, the Exeter Chiefs’ centre finally gets the start his talents deserve – though O’Shea has handed him something of a poison chalice. No one, not even the die-hardest Azzurri, expects anything other than a big England win at Headquarters.

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Key battle: Te’o and Farrell v Campagnaro and McLean
Italy will be out to test England’s latest new-look midfield partnership – but you’d expect Te’o and Farrell to be able handle anything Campagnaro and McLean could throw at them.

Prediction
Very big numbers. England by a cricket score.

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Flankly 9 hours ago
The AI advantage: How the next two Rugby World Cups will be won

If rugby wants to remain interesting in the AI era then it will need to work on changing the rules. AI will reduce the tactical advantage of smart game plans, will neutralize primary attacking weapons, and will move rugby from a being a game of inches to a game of millimetres. It will be about sheer athleticism and technique,about avoiding mistakes, and about referees. Many fans will find that boring. The answer is to add creative degrees of freedom to the game. The 50-22 is an example. But we can have fun inventing others, like the right to add more players for X minutes per game, or the equivalent of the 2-point conversion in American football, the ability to call a 12-player scrum, etc. Not saying these are great ideas, but making the point that the more of these alternatives you allow, the less AI will be able to lock down high-probability strategies. This is not because AI does not have the compute power, but because it has more choices and has less data, or less-specific data. That will take time and debate, but big, positive and immediate impact could be in the area of ref/TMO assistance. The technology is easily good enough today to detect forward passes, not-straight lineouts, offside at breakdown/scrum/lineout, obstruction, early/late tackles, and a lot of other things. WR should be ultra aggressive in doing this, as it will really help in an area in which the game is really struggling. In the long run there needs to be substantial creativity applied to the rules. Without that AI (along with all of the pro innovations) will turn rugby into a bash fest.

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