The predictability problem with Super Rugby Pacific
How many of you tipsters went six-for-six in week one of Super Rugby Pacific?
And are there any of you now worried about blemishing your perfect record in week two?
As I cast my eye towards the, ironically-named, Super Round at AAMI Park, there aren’t too many clashes causing me sleepless nights.
Particularly given I’ve got Covid again, which makes staying awake harder than falling asleep.
But I digress.
The one tipping dilemma I have this week is wondering who’s worse out of the Rebels and Force.
Home advantage isn’t a factor, given the Rebels have no following and are marked for extinction, while the Force failed to fire a shot against the Hurricanes.
Beyond that game, though, I see clear winners in every other clash in Melbourne this weekend.
Assuming you did go six-for-six last week, how many games did you regard as having been a contest?
The Chiefs’ win over the Crusaders was hard-fought and in the balance for all 80 minutes but and then what?
Moana Pasifika put in a manful effort against the Highlanders and the Waratahs competed with the Reds for a while, but the results never really appeared to be in doubt.
Put simply, the teams that should’ve won in week one did and, as far as I can tell, will continue doing so until the end of the season.
It’d be a shame to have all that rugby and end up where the competition started (and finished a year ago), with the Chiefs playing the Crusaders in Hamilton again.
But that’s where we are. Resigned to having probably already had a preview of this year’s final.
That’s not to say I wasn’t entertained at times, during week one. Or that there definitely won’t be an upset in the 14 weeks of regular-season footy that follow.
It’s just that, to be a real competition, you have to have competitiveness. Otherwise you’re simply playing exhibition games.
When you get past the sabbaticals and the retirements and all the elite All Blacks who are not playing in Super Rugby Pacific for whatever reason, this is my actual problem with the competition.
We have two good teams, a couple of useful ones and the rest.
Regardless of changes of personnel or seasons, the outcomes seem to stay the same.
What’s Super about that?
Unless you have a huge emotional investment in your particular team – or rugby as a whole – what’s your incentive to watch?
I’ll put it to you a different way.
I know few people who had any intention of watching the recent test cricket series between Australia and the West Indies, mostly because of the assumption that it wouldn’t be a contest.
Well, you wouldn’t believe how many closet Caribbean cricket fans emerged after the West Indies won the final test in Brisbane. People were compelled to tune in because of the way the West Indies competed.
India is leading England 3-1 in a test series at the moment. That looks decisive on paper, but it’s been great viewing because the matches themselves have been contests.
I don’t want to see the Chiefs or Crusaders weakened but, for Super Rugby Pacific to endure, things have to be done to strengthen the other teams.
Drafts, transfers, salary caps, whatever. We can’t let teams languish and disincentivize fans from watching.
It really shouldn’t be that hard to cobble together 12 competitive and profitable teams from countries with our playing, coaching and financial resources.
Comments on RugbyPass
Interesting comments about Touch. England’s hosting the Touch World Cup this year and the numbers have exploded since their last World Cup in 2019, something like 70% more teams and 40 nations taking part. And England Touch have made a big thing about how many universities are in their BUCS University Touch Championship as well as Sport England membership. Can only see this growing even more domestically as more people become aware of it
10 Go to comments“Cortez Ratima is light years ahead of anyone on current form, while TJ Perenara has also skyrocketed into contention following the unfortunate injury to the talented Cam Roigard.” At last some sanity. Hitherto so many pundits have been wittering on about Finlay Christie to the point one wondered if they were observing a FC in a parallel universe where the FC they saw wasnt just the mediocre Shayne Philpott project of Fosters hapless AB reign in the real world. Ratima, Perenara and Fakatava are the ONLY logical 9s for Razor now Roigard is crocked.
2 Go to commentsThis game was just as painful as the Hurricanes game. It was real fork-in-the-eye stuff.
2 Go to commentsNow if they could just fire the Crusaders ground PA guy who likes to play his dance music and just loves the sound of his own voice the entire game, even when play is going on. And I thought their brass band thing of a few years ago was bad.
5 Go to commentsUnfortunately when you lose by far the two form players this season in Roigard and Aumua, you're left replacing two game changing Tanks with a couple of pea-shooters. Which is also about the speed of TJs pass.
2 Go to commentsBit rich coming from the guy with zero loyalty to anyone or any team, including happily taking a players place in a league world cup squad because well, SBW wanted to play in it and thus an already named player got told he was no longer going. And airing stuff like this, which may or may not be true, doesn't exactly say you're a stand up guy either SBW. Just looking to keep his name in lights as usual.
38 Go to commentsTamati Tua. …the Taniwha NPC midfielder. Ollie Sapsford, Hawkes Bay NPC midfielder…doing well
2 Go to commentsFiji deserve to be in the rugby championship, fans love seeing the Fijian national team play, the Fijian Drua is a wonderful idea but the players can still be stolen to play for NZ and AUS…
1 Go to commentsThe first concern for this afternoon are wheather forecast…
1 Go to commentsWhy cant I watch Rugby games please?
1 Go to commentsBeautiful shot from Finau, end of story. Gutted for Shaun Stevenson though.
4 Go to commentsThe Chiefs definitely didn’t win ugly. They had the superior scrum, a dominant lineout, and their defence was excellent once the Waratahs scored their two tries (thanks to some lucky refereeing calls mind you). They put pressure on the Waratahs lineout throughout the game, and the mind boggles as to why the referee did not award a yellow card or a penalty try against the Waratahs for repeated scrum infringements on their own try line before Narawa’s first try. And the Chiefs were slick with their passing and running angles on attack. It was a dominant performance all round, even with many questionable refereeing decisions.
1 Go to commentsWasnt late. Ref 2 assistants andTMO all saw it so who are you to say it was?
4 Go to commentsAre the Brumbies playing the Blues twice in a row?
4 Go to commentsBig difference from the Saders. Forwards really muscled up and laid a solid platform. Scooter brought some steel and I liked the loosie combination. Newell has been rather disappointing this season but stepped up big time - happy also to see Franks dot down. He should do that more often! Reihana had a good game and there seems to be more flair and invention with him in the saddle. McNicoll plays well from the back and is reliable plus inventive when he joins the line. Keep it up chaps!
5 Go to comments🤦♂️🤣 who cares who’s the best . All I know is the All Blacks have the star coach but have few star players now …
33 Go to commentsJe suis sûr que Farrell est impatient de jouer avec Lopez et Machenaud et d’être entraîné par Collazo… 🤭
1 Go to commentsAn on field red (aka a full red) in SRP must surely carry a bigger suspension than a red card given by the bunker as that carries a 20 minute team punishment. Had Damon Murphy abdicated his responsibility as a ref and issued both Drua players a yellow, which would have been upgraded to a 20 minute red by the bunker, that would have killed Australia and New Zealand’s push for the 20 minute red to be trialled globally from July this year.
11 Go to commentsEver so often you all post a Danny Care story that isn’t the announcement that he has finally re-signed for one more, victory tour season at Quins and I’m just like, “well you fooled me again!” My absolute favorite player ever, we need to make his final year at the Stoop (and Twickers) official already. I know he supposedly snubbed France but I won’t feel better until he signs.
1 Go to commentslate hit what late hit it wasn’t at all late and can clearly see he was committed before the tackle
4 Go to comments