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Six major issues on Wayne Pivac's Wales to-do list
Wayne Pivac has been round the block. A former policeman on the beat in Auckland, the 57-year-old has been in plenty of high-pressure situations on civvy street, but nothing will quite prepare him for 74,000 expectant Wales fans and the cliched ‘three million selectors’ breathing down his neck, especially after the most successful period of their history.
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The affable Kiwi will need a titanium-plated hide in the coming months as he has inherited a highly-skilled, battle-hardened squad that is respected throughout world rugby. It’s not all rosy in the Welsh garden, however.
Beneath the international game, Welsh rugby is running to stand still. As millions are ploughed into the global game as it looks to grow its traditional fanbase, Pivac’s inbox will be overflowing. RugbyPass are the charitable sort, so we gave him a helping hand…
Kick the tyres on the current eligibility regulations
Firstly, for all the heavy-lifting Pivac is likely to do on the training pitch, he is going to need to forge a durable working relationship with his paymasters. That means WRU chief executive Martyn Phillips and chairman Gareth Davies.
You would assuage that informal discussions have already taken place about what is expected in his four-year tenure leading up to France 2023, but now is the time to start implementing a realistic wish-list. Like most unions, many will cast their eyes enviously towards South Africa.
(Continue reading below…)
When Rassie Erasmus was parachuted in to take over from Allister Coetzee, with the Springboks in a state of disrepair, he insisted one of the key pieces of red tape eradicated was the 30-cap rule that had been implemented in 2017 to arrest the player drain from South Africa.
Without doing that, Cheslin Kolbe, Faf de Klerk and Vincent Koch would have been ineligible and it’s not too fanciful to say they wouldn’t have been celebrating a World Cup triumph. Clearly, Wales’ cause celebre is Rhys Webb, who at 30 is not ready for the international scrapheap.
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How a player can come through the age-grade system and, crucially, make over 150 appearances for his region yet is ineligible to play for Wales when Pivac will be casting his eyes over Kiwis Johnny McNicholl and Willis Halaholo is nonsensical.
With a modest playing base, Wales need to be as flexible as possible and play smart. There are suggestions that Wales could move to fully contracting 38 players. Yet whatever transpires, the Welsh selection strategy needs constant re-evaluation.
ALTERNATIVE AWARDS ?
Wales bowed out of the World Cup with their reputation in tact, so it's time to hand out some tongue-in-cheek awards
– care of @OwainJTJones #rwc2019https://t.co/Jd1FE0pd8s
— RugbyPass (@RugbyPass) November 3, 2019
Renewed push on improving mediocre domestic results
If reports are to be believed, Welsh rugby could soon be heralding a cash windfall into the union and regional coffers as never before. Father Christmas, otherwise known as CVC, are said to be inflating the Six Nations kitty to the tune of £300million while the PRO14 is angling for a £120m injection of cash. This will be meted out to hungry clubs, regions and provinces.
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It doesn’t take Warren Buffett to figure out that this sort of lucre will be invested in back into the game. In their recently published accounts, the WRU posted a highly-creditable annual turnover of £90.5m, of which £33m was invested back into the regions, including their regional subsidiary, the Dragons.
Bolstered by CVC cash, those involved in Welsh rugby would hope to see a better return than recent years when only two sides – Cardiff Blues (2009) and the Scarlets (2018) – have reached the knockout stages in Europe. When sides talk about having ‘skin in the game’, it feels as though Welsh sides are no longer a part of the conversation at domestic rugby’s top table, with Wales’ Irish and Scottish counterparts outperforming them.
Last season, Ulster, Munster, Leinster, Glasgow and Edinburgh all reached the knockout stages in Europe. This is simply not good enough. There has to be a renewed focus from the PRB (Professional Rugby Board) on improving fortunes domestically, which will in turn improve dwindling crowds. The hosting of the PRO14 final in Cardiff is long overdue and should help endear league that has been unloved by the Welsh public for too long.
Make Wales’ game more creative
Welsh rugby can often sound like a spoilt teenager, such is its demands and expectations for instant gratification. As much as Gatland’s side eked out trophy after trophy in their most successful period in the professional era, a familiar brush with which to beat the coaching team was a lack of creativity.
Against South Africa, the biggest criticism was that an injury-ravaged Wales ‘should have moved the ball wide’. The reality is Wales didn’t have the wherewithal or personnel to suddenly start throwing it around like the Harlem Globetrotters in a World Cup semi-final, yet there is a semblance of truth in a rather limited game plan.
Gatland consistently reverted to type after flirting with playing expansive rugby at various stages during his tenure. The return to fitness of Taulupe Faletau (soon) and Gareth Anscombe (not so soon) will help bring variety to the game, but one of the big reasons Pivac has been employed is the brilliant offloading game he conjured up with Stephen Jones in 2017 and 2018, leading the Scarlets to a PRO14 final win and an all too rare Welsh appearance in the Champions Cup semi-final.
While expressing themselves playing the ‘Welsh way’, as WRU’s incoming chairman Davies so eloquently put it, is important, so is keeping the Welsh defensive line intact. It wasn’t as its snarling best in the World Cup, shipping 19 tries, but over 12 years, Shaun Edwards is heavily in credit and Byron Hayward, a handy boxer in his time, will have to keep his guard up by maintaining Wales famed defensive sets.
Jacques Nienaber is a national hero in South Africa for building a 7ft South African wall and Hayward will have his work cut out trying to match Edwards’ intensity.
Warren Gatland’s Wales reign finished with back-to-back World Cup defeats but he still leaves his role as coach with a superb record. #RWC2019 https://t.co/XrwYffWmLi
— RugbyPass (@RugbyPass) November 2, 2019
Managing the veterans
Some erstwhile wits have suggested that Wales start from scratch when it comes to planning for France 2023 and jettison the ageing spine of the current Wales team. The reality is somewhat different.
Even if creaking body parts deprive Wales of Ken Owens, Jonathan Davies and Hadleigh Parkes by France 2023, and put the participation of Justin Tipuric, Leigh Halfpenny and Webb in doubt, they shouldn’t be taken out of commission until ready.
The Welsh crowd are notoriously fickle and if Wales start getting thumped convincingly after putting out inexperienced sides, well-meaning patience will be drowned out by a cacophony of boos from fans expecting a continuation of the Gatland blueprint.
Unfair? Of course, but it’s a results-based business. Some of the aforementioned players will be eyeing a Lions hurrah in 2021 and, as South Africa have proved, two years is more than enough time to mould a World Cup-winning side.
Pivac’s skill will be deciding when to let those bulwarks go, as Gatland did with the likes of Martyn Williams, Adam Jones, Jamie Roberts and Mike Phillips, often months before the World Cup.
Tokyo against New Zealand signalled the end for Warren Gatland's twelve-year stint in charge of Wales and he has left with one big wish for their future https://t.co/4OIJMBCMx2
— RugbyPass (@RugbyPass) November 1, 2019
Succession planning for Alun-Wyn Jones
Whisper it, but there will come a day when Wales have to cope without the indefatigable Jones. With 143 caps for Wales and the Lions, he is set to pass Richie McCaw next year as the world’s most capped player and his swansong, form and injury permitting, is likely to be a fourth Lions tour in 2021 at the age of 35.
There is no doubt that even though the Mumbles-born leviathan has captained Wales 32 times, of which 29 of them have been in his thirties, his influence arguably exceeds that of Sam Warburton, who captained his country on 49 occasions. When he isn’t on the pitch there is a pronounced leadership vacuum as was evident against Ireland in the pre-World Cup warm-ups and Uruguay when he was rested during the World Cup.
Contenders for the captaincy arm-band can be counted on one hand. Pivac’s captain at the Scarlets, Owens, will be 33 in January, while Tipuric and Josh Navidi could fit the bill and took the reins this year, but it’s a man who missed the World Cup through injury who could prove the most viable option.
Cory Hill is vaunted for his leadership and he was such a valued member of the World Cup squad that Gatland took one less prop and added a back row just to accommodate the second row into his plans. At 27, he has the right age-profile to take Wales forward to France. Finding the right leader to carry Wales over the channel is 2023 is not to be underestimated.
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Warren Gatland has been announced head coach of the Waikato Chiefs. #WarrenGatland #Chiefs #SuperRugby
Bringing in the new without discarding what made Wales successful
With any new coaching set-up, inevitably there is a frisson of excitement about any new players brought into the Welsh set-up. A regional coach since 2014, Pivac will be very aware of the talent at his disposal and you would think he would have been doing his due diligence at every regional academy and senior set-up in recent months.
Evolving what is a very tight unit will have to be done with the deft hands of a Jenga master, so as not to upset squad harmony. Gatland built an enviable squad culture that enabled the side to become world rugby’s ‘mentality monsters’ in the last 18 months, winning 20 out of their last 25 Tests, often in nervy climaxes.
Pivac has a headstart in that Stephen Jones has already spent seven intense weeks with the squad in Japan and Jonathan Humphreys, the widely respected forwards coach, already has strong bonds with captain Jones and Tipuric but this is a new beginning and we will see new faces as early as 2020.
The evolution has started, and that is thanks to Gatland who has progressed the likes of Josh Adams, Aaron Wainwright, Tomos Williams, Dillon Lewis and Owen Watkin over the last 18 months and blooded the likes of Owen Lane and Rhys Carre in the World Cup warm-ups.
With a glut of fresh-faced talent in Wales in the shape of Dewi Lake, Taine Basham and Harri Morgan and ex-pats Tommy Reffell and Ioan Lloyd earning rave reviews in the Premiership, Pivac won’t be spoilt for choice as he plots his French invasion.
Overall, what he will need more than anything else is time, that all too rare commodity in Test coaching. His first outing? A game against the BaaBaas coached by Gatland…
Pob lwc, Wayne.
WATCH: Warren Gatland’s final media conference as Wales coach
Comments on RugbyPass
I always enjoy a good scrum based article. Thanks, Nick. The Hurricanes are looking more and more the team to beat down here in Australasia. They are a very well balanced team. And though there are far fewer scrums in the game these days, destructive power in that area is a serious weapon, especially an attacking scrum within in the red zone. Aumua looked very good as a young first year player, but then seemed to fade. He sure is back now right in the picture for the AB’s. And I would judge that Taukei’aho is in a bit of a slump currently. Watching him at Suncorp a few weeks ago, I thought he was not as dominant in the game as I would have expected. I am going to raise an issue in that scrum at around the 13 min mark. I see a high level of danger there for the TH lifted off the ground. He is trapped between the opposition LH and his own powerful SR. His neck is being put under potentially dangerous pressure. The LH has, in law , no right to use his superior scrummaging skill….getting his head right in on the breastbone of the TH…..to force him up and off the ground. Had the TH popped out of the scrum, head up and free, there is no danger, that is a clear penalty to the dominant scrum. The law is quite clear on this issue: Law 37 Dangerous play and restricted practices in a scrum. C:Intentionally lifting an opponent off their feet or forcing them upwards out of the scrum. Sanction: Penalty. Few ,if any, referees seem to be aware of this law, and/or the dangers of the situation. Matthew Carly, refereeing Clermont v Munster in 2021, penalised the Munster scrum, when LH Wycherly was lifted very high, and in my view very dangerously, by TH Slimani. Lifting was coached in the late ‘60’s/70’s. Both Lions props, Ray McLouglin, and “Mighty Mouse” McLauchlan, were expert and highly successful at this technique. I have seen a photo, which I can’t find online atm, of MM with a NZ TH(not an AB) on his head, MM standing upright as the scrum disintegrates.
3 Go to commentsHey. Stay home and play for Mooloo.
1 Go to commentsTighthead was always going to be our weakness this year with Ryan going home to Ireland and the Cashed Up Blues taking a third All Black prop from us - nobody else in SR does that. Numia is the exciting one. He used to be a lightweight but he's really improved. Do you have stats on the All Black hookers’ lineouts for the game? I seem to remember a few misses.
3 Go to commentsFergus Burke isn't tier 1 player quality…but guess what, he'll be playing amongst them for Saracens…. all going well and Steve Borthwick is still the head coach, England...Scott Robertson’s hint of amending NZRU’s offshore AB eligibility clause, would mean that players like Josh Moorby who show potential might get a call…
4 Go to commentsThe movement of quality players back to SA is remarkable.
2 Go to commentsInteresting article, Nic. Am enjoying seeing the Rebels doing well, partly just to spite those who are working to wipe them off the face of the Australian rugby planet. But it is also good to see a team with somany good players beginning fire. LSL has benefitted so much from his move up to Northampton for the one year. I wonder why he did not stay on for another year. Does he now looks north and see his teammates of last year now doing so well, and have some regrets.
44 Go to comments“Over 80% of the World Cup squad are over 30” No it isn’t lol
2 Go to commentsTyrel Lomax the best AB prop since Carl Hayman. Absolutely destroyed the Boks in RWC Final and is monstering allcomers in Super this season. Should be a monster battle vs touring Poms, always deliver a power pack.
3 Go to commentsEye gouging seems like such a strong term for what can only be described as a poke in the eye. When I think of eye gouging I think of someone trying to intentionally pop someone’s eyeball out. it’s like calling a high-tackle attempted decapitation.
3 Go to commentsGreat article. No insights to add, just wanted to say that. :)
1 Go to commentsLeinster are going to win the world cup.
13 Go to commentsSuper Rugby desperately needs to lose at least 2, but up to 4 teams. Rebels quietly going bankrupt would have made that a bit easier. Teams like the Rebels and Force serve only to weaken Australian Rugby and Super Rugby more widely. In 13 years in the comp the Rebels are yet to win more games than they lose in a season, have never finished in the top half of the competition, and have come dead last a number of times. The Western Force, barring a brief stint of mediocrity under John Mitchell from 2007-2009 have been even worse. Sadly it’s hard to see a future for Moana Pasifika in Super Rugby. Likewise I think the writing is on the wall for the Highlanders, it’s hard to see how NZ rugby can continue to support 5 SR teams, and population distribution suggests one team in the south island would make the most sense.
44 Go to commentsNice that Connor Evans is happy to stay on here, that JD Schikerling is returning and Steven Kitshoff. Dobbo is careful to bring back just anybody but having a new financial lease of life, it has made the Stormers a more attractive club. On top of being good quality, having the financial backing helps a lot
1 Go to commentsEngland-qualified too, I believe.
1 Go to commentsThis might turn out to be emblematic of a real issue in Irish rugby. Ireland have one of the best -if not the best - senior sides in the world, and one of the best under 20s sides as well, but don’t seem to be giving graduating under20s players many opportunities to break through into URC starting lineups. There is a risk that a lot of the junior talent they are developing will either be wasted, or lost to other nations.
1 Go to commentsYou ask good questions, Nick. The group who have put together the proposal to play out of Tarneit and participate in the growing of the ground’s capacity are not a bunch of white knights who have been dragged in post-crisis; they were around whilst the Rebels accummulated $23m in debt. Why do we come up with ideas that might make the franchise affordable after it’s broke and not when it might have prevented the trainwreck this offseason was? As for Gordon/Kellaway v Lolesio/Wright, they are both good options. I think the former are better rugby players but the goal kicking of Noah may be decisive when Schmiddy makes his choices. I know Harry Jones has the hots for Edmed but I think it’s one of his few poor choices and he and Jorgensen aren’t close to the other pairs. By coincidence, the wife and I went into town over the weekend to watch Brian Cox and Patricia Clarkson in Long Day’s Journey into Night. Beautifully acted but it was 3.5 hours in the chair and very hard work. Like the Rebels, there were only small bursts of joy to go with a lot of bad news and a depressing story line. In the end, I was hoping it would end and I could give my sore butt a break. Again, familiar.
44 Go to commentsGood decision, very good player but not international quality. But so was Jamison Gibson Park …..
4 Go to commentsLoose forwards always look good going forward and winning. It’s the same loose forwards for the Crusaders and the Canes this year as last year. Too much of the shiny new things getting noticed here while older consistent ones getting bagged. It’s early days. Calm the farm.
8 Go to commentsThanks Nick, and on the money. We tend to be apathetic until something REALLY BAD happens, then we aren't! At least this applies to the Reb players and coach, if not the spectators. They seem to be getting very quick ball at times. Have they altered something, or is it just all of the skills coming together at the right time? It seems almost the opposite of the Reds, who started the season with quick ball, but haven't been showing that in the last 3 losing games. Is it attitude (McDermott hasn't looked “right” to me for 3 weeks), or something else?
44 Go to commentsGood summary. As said, Sevu Reece has been electrifying for the Crusaders. Great try and he has been everywhere. Amazing he is now equal with Caleb Ralph , club record of 52 tries for the Crusaders. That record beckons. Good to see Dallas McLeod getting regular starts at last. A big few weeks are ahead.
8 Go to comments