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Ford and Tuilagi switches show Eddie's hand ahead of All Blacks

By Alex Shaw
George Ford and Manu Tuilagi celebrate during England's win over Tonga in Sapporo. (Photo by David Rogers/Getty Images)

As England and Eddie Jones prepare for the challenge of New Zealand in Yokohama this Saturday, they have made just one change to the starting XV that comfortably dismantled Australia in the quarter-finals.

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George Ford has resumed his role as England’s starting fly-half, with Owen Farrell and Manu Tuilagi shuffled further out in the backline and Henry Slade moving to the bench. It’s just one small change but it has big repercussions on the way that England are likely to play and their approach to countering the considerable threat of the All Blacks.

The return to the Ford-Farrell-Tuilagi midfield axis is one which leans to a more offensive-oriented game plan, rather than approach against Australia which was to counter the threat of Samu Kerevi on the inside, put up an unbreachable wall of line-speed and allow the Wallabies to punch themselves out. It was a tactic which worked to perfection for Jones and England.

The All Blacks, though, are a very different beast and even if England’s defence is energetic, fast, physical and makes the right decisions, New Zealand will manufacture enough chances to cross the whitewash and hurt England. Jones’ charges will have to meet fire with fire and make their own attacking statement against the reigning world champions.

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On the reintroduction of Ford to the starting XV, Jones avoided talking too much about the attacking impact the playmaker would have, though.

“Every game we have a look at the conditions, the opposition, what we think we need to do, what we need to take away from the opposition, and this is the best fit for us. Horses for courses. We just feel it’s the right combination this week.

“Work-rate is going to be important. Whenever you play against New Zealand your work off the ball is going to be massively important. They like to move the ball around, they are very good on transition and George’s work-rate off the ball has been absolutely exceptional.”

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Watch: The Barrett brothers face the press ahead of the Rugby World Cup semi-final

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Despite Jones’ reluctance to talk about the attacking versatility that Ford will bring England, it’s hard to ignore as a factor in his promotion to the starting XV and the knock-on effects that will have on the rest of the English back line.

Tuilagi’s move to 13, unarguably his most effective attacking position, plays into that goal. Whilst the perception and focus around Tuilagi seems to revolve around his ability to run through and over defenders, his best asset may be his stop-start acceleration and speed to beat defenders on the outside, often whilst also throwing a trademark fend in the process. At outside centre, he gets the space to showcase this more regularly than he does at inside centre.

Yes, his physical presence outside of first receiver is lost, though England have become much more comfortable using players like Kyle Sinckler, Billy Vunipola and the Kamikaze Twins, Tom Curry and Sam Underhill, in this role. It is a selection which prioritises attacking in the wider channels, rather than keeping a game tighter.

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England have previously shown a comfort switching Farrell and Tuilagi in this line-up, too, which will put an emphasis on New Zealand tracking when and where Tuilagi will appear in the back line. That will help England in their attempt to create space and numerical advantages for the back three of Jonny May, Anthony Watson and Elliot Daly to exploit.

It’s not something that New Zealand will be unprepared for, however, with Steve Hansen having highlighted the possibility of it when he announced his own team earlier in the day.

“Eddie might make some changes. He’s pretty shrewd. We have seen plenty of the George Ford and Farrell combo and also the Farrell-Tuilagi combo. You prepare for both scenarios and try to deal with it as best you can.”

It is not something, though, that the All Blacks got a look at first-hand in 2018 when they played at Twickenham, when Jones went with a midfield of Farrell, Ben Te’o and Henry Slade. In fact, only Sinckler, May, Daly, Underhill, Maro Itoje and Ben Youngs from the starting XV that day join Farrell in starting again against the All Blacks, with a number of relatively new faces for New Zealand to have to contend with.

Where New Zealand have bulked up in their back row, England have continued with a more mobile unit involving Curry and Underhill. Where New Zealand have leant heavily on formidable scrummaging front rows, England have been building their game around the more influential in the loose props they have at their disposal. In a way, both teams have spent the last cycle moving away from some of their traditional strengths and bolstering the other areas of their games.

The All Blacks may be favourites, but this has all the hallmarks of a titanic tussle and a clash for the ages in Yokohama on Saturday.

Watch: Steve Hansen speaks to the press ahead of New Zealand’s semi-final with England

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Flankly 3 hours ago
The AI advantage: How the next two Rugby World Cups will be won

If rugby wants to remain interesting in the AI era then it will need to work on changing the rules. AI will reduce the tactical advantage of smart game plans, will neutralize primary attacking weapons, and will move rugby from a being a game of inches to a game of millimetres. It will be about sheer athleticism and technique,about avoiding mistakes, and about referees. Many fans will find that boring. The answer is to add creative degrees of freedom to the game. The 50-22 is an example. But we can have fun inventing others, like the right to add more players for X minutes per game, or the equivalent of the 2-point conversion in American football, the ability to call a 12-player scrum, etc. Not saying these are great ideas, but making the point that the more of these alternatives you allow, the less AI will be able to lock down high-probability strategies. This is not because AI does not have the compute power, but because it has more choices and has less data, or less-specific data. That will take time and debate, but big, positive and immediate impact could be in the area of ref/TMO assistance. The technology is easily good enough today to detect forward passes, not-straight lineouts, offside at breakdown/scrum/lineout, obstruction, early/late tackles, and a lot of other things. WR should be ultra aggressive in doing this, as it will really help in an area in which the game is really struggling. In the long run there needs to be substantial creativity applied to the rules. Without that AI (along with all of the pro innovations) will turn rugby into a bash fest.

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