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Fiji could jump ahead of France in World Rankings after weekend matches


Sevuloni Mocenacagi of Fiji is tackled during the match between France and Fiji at the HCSB Sevens. (Photo by Aurelien Meunier/Getty Images for HSBC)
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Whilst all eyes will be firmly locked on the two Rugby Championship matches that will take place on Saturday night, earlier in the day the Pacific Nations Cup will provide amply entertainment for any rugby fans.

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Of particular interest will be the match between Japan and Fiji, played in Kamaishi.

Fiji are flying high after an excellent 2018 that saw them knock over France in France for the first time ever. Two weekends ago they also tipped over the Maori All Blacks for the first time in over half a century.

The Flying Fijians could be on the cusp of causing even more pain to the French, as a win this weekend by more than 15 points would see them jump ahead of Les Bleus on the World Ruby rankings into 8th place.

Japan have not quite kicked on as some would have hoped since earning their world-stopping win over South Africa at the last World Cup. Still, just last year the Brave Blossoms managed to tip over Italy and came close a second time too. They also recorded a 35-15 loss to England at Twickenham, which is not a poor result for a Tier 2 team at all.

A win for Japan could also see them rise to their highest every ranking of 9th – but that would be dependant on Argentina also getting trounced by Australia.

Given that Fiji and Japan used to do battle every year, it’s a bit of a surprise that these two sides haven’t faced off since 2016, when Fiji triumphed 38-25. 2011 was the last time that Japan actually managed to topple Fiji – so don’t be surprised if a big win does come Fiji’s way, given that they’ve had considerably better build up too.

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In other PNC matches, Tonga will host Samoa and the USA will host Canada.

The other major outcome of the weekend (though somewhat less likely), could be Wales topping the rankings for the first time. Only three teams have ever been at the plateau, England, South Africa and New Zealand. If South Africa manage to best the All Blacks by more than 15 points then Wales would find themselves with the #1 ranking.

New Zealand’s biggest-ever defeat at home is just 15 points, so the Springboks would have to at least equal that record if they want to help Wales to top spot.

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Phantom 35 minutes ago
Nations Championship: 'The data shows the north has finally caught up with the south'

Fact: the gap between the North and the South has narrowed considerably - that I get. However, determining that only selecting only Home grown players or playing in the home country is is the optimal strategy is a bit of a toss up and highly reliant on the economies of the home union. I do understand that England and to a lesser degree Ireland selects home based only. The top 14 is a massive threat to their domestic product. France would probably not be affected (the money is at home). Fiji, Argentina, Samoa, Italy and you could even argue Scotland have only benefitted from this. Their players either go overseas to learn at higher levels (Fiji, Samoa, Argentina) or players coming into their leagues to strengthen the home product and their National teams (Scotland, Italy, Japan).

South Africa used to limit its selection to the home based players, but the reality of a weak currency vs what players could earn oversees meant that you lost access to your best players at some stage of their careers, with very few exceptions. Kolbe left SA as he was considered too small for International Rugby (yes coaches/selectors view), but ironically in France he forced selectors to notice his endeavors and select him. He is only reaching 50 caps now despite being north of 30 - granted rotation and the odd injury also played a role, but for the most part it is having debuted or becoming a regular so late.



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