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What gives Wallabies ‘confidence’ before Brisbane clash with Springboks

By Finn Morton
Head coach Joe Schmidt during a Wallabies training session at Ballymore Stadium on June 25, 2024 in Brisbane, Australia. (Photo by Chris Hyde/Getty Images)

The odds appear to be stacked against the Wallabies before this weekend’s Rugby Championship clash with the Springboks but there’s no point telling them that as they carry some “confidence” going into the Test.

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South Africa are the two-time defending men’s Rugby World Cup champions while Australia have their third head coach in as many years. The visitors will go into Saturday afternoon’s clash at favourites but there’s no merit in writing Australia off completely.

The Wallabies have made Brisbane’s Suncorp Stadium a fortress over the last decade or so. South Africa haven’t beaten Australia at the River City venue since 2013, with the hosts winning the last four on the bounce – including a 30-17 scoreline three years ago.

But that’s in the past. This weekend, there will be about 50,000 supporters watching at Suncorp as many of the Springboks’ dual World Cup champions take on a Wallabies team full of players from a golden generation of talent.

It’s that home crowd advantage that may give the Wallabies a bit of an edge in that regard against the four-time world champions, but it’s no secret the players will need to be at their very best if they’re to continue their history of dominance in Brisbane.

“I think one of the things that gives us confidence is that we’re not guided by the belief that’s external but it’s fantastic to have the support, even around the city,” head coach Joe Schmidt told reporters on Thursday.

“Walking back from a function yesterday, people in the street saying, ‘Good luck, good luck on Saturday.’

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“I haven’t spent a huge amount of time in the rugby community here but there seems to be a real support going into the weekend which is, it’s sort of swings both ways for us. There’s an expectation that we have to try to live up to but there’s a support that we want to keep earning.

“With regard to that, I think we’ve got to make sure that we match up at set-piece because whatever you do against South Africa, you’ve got to be able to match up at set-piece because that’s where the whole thing starts.

“They really stressed Ireland going side to side. The width of their attack, and I think with Sacha (Feinberg-Mngomezulu) being preferred over Handre (Pollard), he’s going to bring some tempo. Whether it’s Cobus (Reinach) or Grant Williams, they’ve got incredibly quick nines.

Head-to-Head

Last 5 Meetings

Wins
1
Draws
0
Wins
4
Average Points scored
13
29
First try wins
80%
Home team wins
40%

“Even around those fringes and then the edges, a lot of what they bring we’re going to have to be ready to match up for.

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“Then on our side, we just have to make sure that we’re really accurate. A quarter of the tries that they’ve scored over the last year have been from turnover and if you give them that oxygen and allow them to breathe on the edges of through in behind you… it is quite intimidating if you consider their personal but at the same time, it’s never just individuals who can win you a game.

“We’ve got to collectively build a Wallabies team, squad and belief, and hopefully there can be a little bit of a look at that on Saturday.”

For the first time since the Wallabies’ historic clash with the British & Irish Lions in 2013, Rugby Australia has confirmed that this weekend’s Test against the Boks has sold out. In itself, it’s an achievement to celebrate in the early stages of the Joe Schmidt era.

The Wallabies have a history of success in Queensland’s capital including the previously mentioned Tests against the Boks and some famous Bledisloe Cup clashes with arch-rivals the All Blacks in years gone by.

There isn’t a team in international rugby who has consistently found it easy to beat the Wallabies at Suncorp Stadium as Schmidt experienced during a decorated coaching career with an Ireland side that transformed into one of the world’s best.

“I toured here coaching Ireland in 2018 and we won two out of three but the one out of three that we didn’t was here at Suncorp,” Schmidt explained.

“I’m not sure whether there’s any mystic in the ground… being a bit of a pragmatist, I think when the whistle goes, I don’t think I’ll be asking Cobus Reinach if he’s interested in any history.

“They’re all about creating their future and every time a player goes out, they’re trying to create the immediate future. They’re not worried about what happens in the second half, they have to get what’s right, right in front of them.

“I’m not sure if that’ll affect the players but it’s a nice bit of history to have on your side and the nicest thing about it is the support and I’d love to see a lot of that support in gold pretty vocal in getting behind the team.

“While it might not change the bounce of the ball, it can affect the strength and belief and the motivation and the willingness to fight for the inches that matter.”

In this episode of Walk the Talk, Jim Hamilton chats with double World Cup winner Damian de Allende about all things Springbok rugby, including RWC2023 and the upcoming Ireland series. Watch now for free on RugbyPass TV

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A
Anendra Singh 26 minutes ago
Scott Robertson has mounting problems to fix for misfiring All Blacks

Okay, fair points in here. Agree Razor isn't transparent. How quickly the climate changes from one regime to another. I'm sorry but when I refer to "human values" I'm alluding to Razor prancing around like a peacock at the 2023 RWC, knowing he had had the job but going there to smirk while Fozz went about his business. What need was there of that when Razor had already got the nod?


Besides, that's why caring employers don't put their employees through that spin-dry cycle following redundancy, although Fozz would have relished the opportunity to ride the waves to redemption. He had come within a whisker. I'm guessing Fozz's contract wouldn't have allowed him to terminate employment, glory of RWC aside. Now, I'm not saying fora second that Fozz was a fine head coach because he had erred like Razor is with selections across the board.


The captaincy debacle is just that, so agree with that. More significantly for me, Barrett has the unenviable record of collecting two red cards in test rugger — the most anyone has. His 2nd test against the Boks was questionable, considering the lock hadn't carried the ball until after the 60th minute. In both Boks affairs, he was hardly visible as a leader.


DMac is a Hobson's choice. You can have a "unique" kicking game but if the others are not on the same page, is it worth anything? Player, selection, and/or head coaching issue? For me it's all 3. I've not religiously watched Super Rugby Pacific matches but I did see how the Fijian Drua had homed in on DMac at The Tron. He was rattled and even started complaining to the ref. That's where we part ways with "aggression". All pooches are ferocious behind their owner's fenced property. DMac enjoys that when he has the comfort of protection from the engine room. The pooch is only tested when it wanders outside the confines of the yard on to the street to face other mongrels. Boks were going to be the litmus test, although no home fan saw the Pumas coming. At best, a bench-minutes player.


Leon MacDonald. Well, besides debating the merits of his prowess as "attacking guru", it doesn't override one simple fact — Razor chose his stable of support coaches. Its starts and ends there. If MacD didn't slot into the equation, Razor is accountable.


Why appoint a specialist when you're not going to listen to him, especially if you have an engine-room background? Having fired him, Razor looks even more clueless now than ever with his backline, never mind attacking. Which raises the pertinent question? Which of his other favoured coaches have assumed the mantle of backline/attacking coach? (Hansen/Ellison?) If so, why is Razor not dangling them over burning coals?


"His [MacD's] way might be great for some team, maybe in another country, and with the right people." Intriguing because he has led his team in his own country's premier competition to victory against a number of franchise players who are in the ABs squad that had failed to make the cut after a rash of losses and Razor's "home". You see, it's such anomalies that make the prudent question the process. All it does is make Razor look just like another member of the old boys' network. Appreciate the engagement.

108 Go to comments
J
JWH 1 hour ago
Wallabies' opportunity comes from smaller All Black forwards and unbalanced back row

Ethan Blackadder is a 7, not an 8. No point in comparing the wrong positions. 111kg and 190cm at 7 is atrociously large.


Cane + Savea are smaller, but Savea is certainly stronger than most in that back row, maybe Valetini is big enough. I don't think Cane is likely to start this next game with Ethan Blackadder back, so it will likely be Sititi, Savea, Blackadder.


Set piece retention + disruption, tackle completion %, and ruck speed, are the stats I would pick to define a cohesive forward pack.


NZ have averaged 84.3% from lineout and 100% from own scrum feed in their last three games against top 4 opponents. Their opponents averaged 87.7% from the lineout and 79.7% from own scrum feed.


In comparison, Ireland averaged 85.3% from lineout and 74.3% from own scrum feed. Their opponents averaged 87.7% from the lineout and 100% from the scrum.


France also averaged 90.7% from lineout (very impressive) and 74.3% from own scrum feed (very bad). Their opponents averaged 95.7% from lineout (very bad) and 83.7% from scrum.


As we can see, at set piece NZ have been very good at disrupting opposition scrums while retaining own feed. However, lineout retention and disruption is bang average with Ireland and France, with the French pulling ahead. So NZ is right there in terms of cohesiveness in lineouts, and is better than both in terms of scrums. I have also only used stats from tests within the top 4.


France have averaged 85.7% tackle completion and 77.3% of rucks 6 seconds or less.


Ireland have averaged 86.3% tackle completion and 82.3% of rucks 6 seconds or less.


NZ have averaged 87% tackle completion and 80.7% or rucks 6 seconds or less.


So NZ have a higher tackle completion %, similar lineout, better scrum, and similar ruck speed.


Overall, NZ seem to have a better pack cohesiveness than France and Ireland, maybe barely, but small margins are what win big games.

14 Go to comments
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