Should Hogg stay or Hogg go?
Stuart Hogg is used to making big decisions.
Boom a high ball back from whence it came, or set off on a strutting, shimmying counterattack?
Stay in the backfield or explode into the line?
Thunder through a gap, run a swooping arc past his man, stab a deft grubber-kick behind the defence or snap the wrists and release the player outside him?
On the rugby field, his is a life lived at searing pace.
The Scotland full-back plays with joyous and instinctive flair fortified by hours of practice on the training paddock.
It is brilliance underpinned by graft and is a wonder to watch.
Hogg is the youngest Scot to win 50 caps.
He has twice been named Six Nations Player of the Championship and has two Lions tours under his belt, even if he was callow on the first and injury brutally curtailed the second.
His career is peppered with dazzling flourishes of skill and guts, from the outrageous, slaloming decimation of England Saxons aged just 19, to the roaring performance that propelled Scotland to within a Kieran Read slap-down of a first win over the mighty All Blacks.
Yes, Hogg is used to making big decisions and making them correctly.
There’s a whopper of a choice looming towards him now.
The most significant he will ever have made in a rugby context.
Hogg’s Glasgow Warriors contract is expiring and his will be among the most coveted signatures in Europe.
Should he stay at Scotstoun, where his workload is carefully managed and his welfare sacrosanct?
Or is it best to move on, flit to England or France where the rugby will be more frequent and more brutal, but he can realise the vast extent of his earning potential?
Frankly, Hogg holds all the cards here. Warriors want him to stay and have opened early discussions to that effect. Several clubs in England and France are already eyeing him very closely.
If Scottish Rugby are to keep him, they would almost certainly have to fork out an unprecedented wage to do so.
Even then, even though the union has deeper pockets than ever, it cannot and will not get close to the eye-watering sums offered in the Premiership and Top 14.
Hogg has watched his Glasgow and Scotland pal Finn Russell move to Racing 92, where he will pocket in the region of £800,000 each year of his three-season contract.
He has a family to consider and in the savage and perilous throes of modern rugby, careers can die painful and sudden deaths.
Just ask Sam Warburton.
But the financial argument is more nuanced than asking who offers the most cash.
Hogg will play less rugby in Glasgow than in England or France and thus the risk of injury is lower.
For most of his career, he led a largely injury-free existence, but professional rugby fells every player sooner or later. A sickening collision with Conor Murray ended his Lions tour a year ago.
That facial damage, a shoulder problem and subsequent hip injury kept him out for months at a time.
He underwent surgery on a troublesome ankle this week and will miss Scotland’s autumn internationals.
Would he be wiser to stay in Glasgow and accept a lower, but still ample, salary while banking on a longer career?
Hogg has done a lot of growing up since the days of bamboozling the Saxons.
Back then, he could be a bit full of himself.
He was good – very good, widely lionised as the saviour of Scotland’s frequently toothless backline – and he knew it.
There were acts of petulance and symptoms of what we in Scotland would call Daft Laddie Syndrome.
He got big-headed and agitated for a move to Ulster, so Gregor Townsend left him out of Glasgow’s run to their first Pro12 final in 2014.
There was a red card.
There was a dive and there was a Nigel Owens put-down.
That is gone now.
Fatherhood and responsibility has brought maturity.
Hogg has ditched the arrogance but kept his swagger.
He is growing into a fine leader for club and country, the man Glasgow and Scotland turn to when they need dug out of a hole.
He will make this most vital of decisions from a position of strength.
And just as he does on the field, he will back himself unequivocally to call it right.
Comments on RugbyPass
The rugby championship would be even stronger with Fiji in it… I know it doesen’t fit the long term plans of NZ or Aus but you are robbing a whole nation of being able to see their best players play for Fiji…. Every second player in NZ and AUS teams has Fijian surnames… shame on you!!! World rugby won’t step in either as France and England has now also joined in…. I guess where money is involved it will always be the poor countries missing out….
75 Go to commentsNo surprise there. How hard can it be to pick a ball off the ground and chuck it to a mate? 😂
2 Go to commentsSometimes people just like a moan mate!
1 Go to commentsexcellent idea ! rugby needs this 💪
9 Go to comments9 Brumbies! What a joke! The best performing team in Oz! Ditch Skelton for Swain or Neville. Ryan Lonergan ahead of McDermott any day! Best selection bolter is Toole … amazing player
12 Go to commentsI like this, but ultimately rugby already has enough trophies. Trying to make more games “consequential" might prove to be a fools errand, although this is a less bad idea than some others. Minor quibble with the title of the article; it isn’t very meaningful to say the boks are the unofficial world champions when it would be functionally impossible for the Raeburn trophy not to be held by the world champions. There’s a period of a few months every 4 years when there is no “unofficial” world champion, and the Raeburn trophy is held by the actual world champions.
9 Go to commentsIts a great idea but one that I dont think will have a lot of traction. It will depend on the prestige that they each hold but if you can do that it would be great. When Japan beat the Boks (my team) I was absolutely devestated but I wont deny the great game they played that day. We were outclassed and it was one of the best games of rugby I have seen. Using an idea like this you might just give the the underdog teams more of an opportunity to beat the big teams and I can absolutely see it being a brilliant display of rugby. They beat us because they planned for that game. It was a great moment for Japan. This way we can remove the 4 year wait and give teams something to aim for outside of World Cup years.
9 Go to commentsHi, Dave here. Happy to answer questions 🥰
9 Go to commentsDon’t think that headline is accurate. It’s great to see Aus doing better but I’m not sure they’ve shown much threat to the top of the table. They shouldn’t be inflating wins against the lousy Highlanders and Crusaders either.
3 Go to commentsSuch a shame Roigard and Aumua picked up long term injuries, probably the two form players in the comp. Also, pretty sure Clarke Dermody isn’t their coach. Got it half right though.
3 Go to commentsOh the Aussie media, they never learn. At least Andrew Kellaway is like “Woah, yeah it’s great, but settle down there guys” having endured years of the Aussie media, fans, and often their players getting ahead of themselves only to fall flat on their faces. Have the “We'll win the Bledisloe for sure this year!” headlines started yet? It’s simple to see what’s going on. The Aussie teams are settled, they didn't lose any of their major players overseas. The Crusaders and Chiefs lost key experienced All Blacks, and Razor in the Crusaders case, and clearly neither are anywhere near as strong as last year (The Canes and Blues would probably be 3rd & 4th if they were). The Highlanders are annually average, even more so post-Aaron Smith and a big squad clean out. The two teams at the top? The two nz sides with largely the same settled roster as last year, except Ardie Savea for the Canes. They’ve both got far better coaches now too. If the Aussies are going to win the title, this is the year the kiwi sides will be weakest, so they better take their chance.
3 Go to commentsThe World Cup has to be the gold standard, line in the sand. 113 teams compete for what is the opportunity to make the pool stages, and then the knockout games for the trophy. The concept is sound. This must have been the rationale when the World Cup was created, surely? But I’m all for Looking forward and finding new ways for the SH to dominate the NH into the future. The autumn series needs a change up. Let’s start by having the NH teams come south every odd year for the Autumn/Spring series games?
9 Go to commentsWhat’ll happen when the AI models of the future go back in time and try to destroy the AI models of the past standing in their way of certain victory?
41 Go to commentsThanks, Nick. We (Seanny Maloney, Brett and I) just discussed Charlie as a potential Wallaby No 8, and wondered if he has truly realised how big he is in contact (and whether he can add 5 kg w/o slowing down). Your scouting report confirms our suspicions he has the materiel. No one knows if he has the mentality (as Johann van Graan said this week about CJ, Duane and Alfie B) to carry 10-15 times a game.
57 Go to commentsHe would be a great player for the Stormers, Dobbo should approach the guy.
3 Go to commentsGood article. A few years back when he was playing for the Cheetahs, he was a quiet standout for exactly the seasons stated here. I occasionally get to see his games in the UK, and he has become a more complete player and in many ways like an Irish player. His work ethic is so suitable to the Leinster game. I wonder if Rassie would have him listed somewhere.
3 Go to commentsResults probably skewed by the fact that a few clubs have foreign fly halves in their 30s, but most teams have young English scrum halves. Results also likely to be skewed by the fact that many teams rely on centres and fullbacks to provide depth at 10, whereas they will need to stock a large number of specialist backup 9s.
2 Go to commentsI really get the sense that when all is said and done, the path of least resistance will end up being a merger of Wasps & Worcester that essentially kills the Worcester Warriors brand and sees Wasps permanently playing at Sixways. I’m not saying that’s what should happen or what I want to happen. I just think it’s the easiest rout to take and therefore, will be what happens. Wasps will definitely return to play first, and I suppose it all depends on if they can find support at Sixways. If people turn up and support Wasps in that community, at that ground, I bet they drop the Sevenoaks plan and just remain at Sixways. Under the radar but not totally unrelated, it looks as though London Irish are going to be brought back from the dead by a German consortium and look set to return, likely to the remade Championship. It’s set to have 12 clubs next season with 14 in 2025/26, what do you want to bet those extra 2 are Wasps and London Irish?
3 Go to commentsThe shoulder is a “joint” with multiple bones. You don’t “fracture” a shoulder, you fracture any one or more of the bones that make up a shoulder.
2 Go to commentsOh dear, bones too suspect to continue?
2 Go to comments