Expect a Ben Smith swansong on Friday with All Blacks primed to make changes
The bronze play-off poses an interesting question for the two competing sides’ respective coaches.
Do you opt for your strongest team, so as to not to leave the World Cup on a two-match streak of losses, or do you give you under-utilised charges the opportunity to get some game time in a somewhat meaningless match?
Steve Hansen as good as confirmed on Sunday that we shouldn’t expect to see the same team trotted out that waged war against South Africa, Ireland and England throughout the World Cup.
“We haven’t even sat down and talked to the players about who’s playing yet,” Hansen said.
“We’ve always said we’re a team of 31 and we’ve been working hard for each other, so if I was leaning any way as a journalist writing a story, I’d probably lean the way that there’ll be a few extra people, new guys, coming in.”
That being said, don’t expect to see a weak side rolled out by the All Blacks.
It’s been over 60 years since Wales last recorded a win against New Zealand, back in 1953. That marked Wales’ second victory over the Men in Blacks, with their first win coming in 1905.
Wales are due for a win and will want to send Warren Gatland out with a performance to be proud of. The New Zealand selectors will be on their toes.
“We see [the 3rd/4th play-off] as a chance in some ways to redeem ourselves,” said All Blacks assistant coach Ian Foster. “We have a chance to show we’re a better team than what we showed last week.
“For us as a group, that’s really important. So, we’re pleased we have the game. It’s not easy getting knocked out, going home and then spending all summer thinking ‘what if?'”
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Steve Hansen also affirmed that the All Blacks won’t be giving Wales’ any freebies.
“It will be the last week this team is together and we have an opportunity to do it well. I know in talking to the boys that we’ll get a response,” the head coach said.
What, then, should we expect from New Zealand’s Wednesday team announcement?
At the very least, we should see a number of departing players get one last match in the black jersey.
Ben Smith, Ryan Crotty, Sonny Bill Williams, Kieran Read and Matt Todd will all take up contracts elsewhere in 2020. Read and Williams have had plenty of game time at the 2019 World Cup but Smith and Crotty have both spent more time in the stands that on the pitch.
The All Blacks were outclassed and outmatched, but also outsmarted as part of their game plan fed right into England's hands, writes @bensmithrugby #ENGvNZL #RWC2019 #AllBlacks https://t.co/1n0S7gQKQa
— RugbyPass (@RugbyPass) October 28, 2019
Smith, in particular, has been a stalwart for this New Zealand side and deserves an excellent send-off. The Beauden Barrett/Richie Mo’unga combination has shone at times this season but a return to fullback for Smith would be a fair way to say goodbye to one of Otago’s favourite sons.
Elsewhere in the backline, Rieko Ioane will likely be reinstated on the left-wing after losing his place this year to George Bridge. Brad Weber is also due for some minutes, having only featured against minnows Canada and Namibia.
In the loose forwards, it sounds like Ardie Savea will have to take a backseat this week due to a “dodgy knee”. His absence opens the door for Sam Cane to take back his spot on the openside flank after making an impact off the bench against England.
The Scott Barrett blindside experiment didn’t exactly go to plan against Wales, which means Shannon Frizell, the only specialist blindside flanker in the squad, might come in at 6.
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In the tight five, Atu Moli and Liam Coltman have seen precious little game time and deserve another run from the bench. Sam Whitelock has looked sluggish in recent times and is probably in need of a long off-season, which may force Hansen’s hand.
All-in-all, there should be a number of changes for the All Blacks – but none that will make New Zealand any less of a fearsome challenge for Wales.
The fact that Hansen will also be coaching in his final international game should motivate his charges to farewell him with a bounce-back performance after a middling effort against England.
Possible New Zealand team: Ben Smith, Jordie Barrett, Ryan Crotty, Sonny Bill Williams, Rieko Ioane, Beauden Barrett, Aaron Smith, Kieran Read (c), Sam Cane, Shannon Frizell, Scott Barrett, Brodie Retallick, Nepo Laulala, Dane Coles, Joe Moody. Reserves: Liam Coltman, Ofa Tu’ungafasi, Atu Moli, Patrick Tuipulotu, Matt Todd, Brad Weber, Anton Lienert-Brown, George Bridge.
There’s always seemed to be a rocky relationship between Steve Hansen and Wales coach Warren Gatland – is there any truth to it?:
Comments on RugbyPass
We had during the week twilight footy, twilight cricket, tw golf plus there was the athletics club. Then the weekend was rugby 15s plus the net ball, really busy club scene back then but so much has changed and rugby has suffered. And it was all about changing lifestyles.
6 Go to commentsIn the 70s and 80s my club ran 5 Senior sides plus a Vets. Now it is 2 sides with an occasional 3rd team. Players have difficulty getitng to training now, not sure why and the commitment is not there. It seems to me more a problem of people applying themselves and not expecting to turn up and play whenever they want to.
6 Go to commentsROG’s contract is until 2027. The conversation about a successor to Galthie after RWC 2027 may be starting now. We can infer that Galthie’s reign stops then. He is throwing the Irish Coaching Job angle in because he is Irish. The next Irish coach MUST be Leo Cullen. As well as being the best coach available, coaching the vast majority of Irish Internationals week in week out, he has shown incredible skill at recruiting the best coaching staff for the job in hand. That was a failing in France. Cullen is a shrewd guy and if there is a need for foreign coaches underneath him he won’t hesitate. Rightly so. Ireland does need to start to bring Irish coaches through. Not just at the professional level but we need to train coaches to man new pathways for developing kids from schools/clubs up through the divisions.
7 Go to commentsNo Islam says it must rule where it stands Thus it is to be deleted from this planet Earth
18 Go to commentsThis team probably does not beat the ABs sadly Not sure if BPA will be available given his signing for Force but has to enter consideration. Very strong possibility of getting schooled by the AB props. Advantage AB. Rodda/Skelton would be a tasty locking combination - would love to see how they get on. Advantage Wallabies. Backrow a risk of getting out hustled and outmuscled by ABs. Will be interesting to see if the Blues feast on the Reds this weekend the way they did the Brumbies we are in big trouble at the breakdown. Great energy, running and defence but goalkicking/general kicking/passing quality in the halves bothers me enormously. SA may have won the World Cup for a lot of the tournament without a recognised goalkicker but Pollard in the final made a difference IMO. Injuries and retirements leave AB stocks a bit lighter but still stronger. 12 and 13 ABs shade it (Barret > Paisami, Ione = Ikitau, arguably) Interesting clash of styles on the wings - Corey Toole running around Caleb Clark and Caleb running over the top of Toole. Reece vs Koro probably the reverse. Pretty even IMO. 15s Kelleway = Love See advantage to ABs man for man, but we are not obviously getting slaughtered anywhere which makes a nice change. Think talent wise we are pretty even and if our cohesion and teamwork is better than the ABs then its just about doable.
11 Go to commentsCompletely agree. More friday night games would be a hit. RFU to make sure every club has a floodlit pitch. Club opens again Saturday to welcome touch / tag. Minis and youths on Sunday
6 Go to comments1.97m and 105Kg? Proportionately, probably skinnier than me at 1.82 and 82kilos. He won’t survive against the big guys at that weight.
55 Go to commentsThe value he brought to the crusaders as an assistant was equal to what he got out of being there. He reflected not only on the team culture but also the credit he attributed to the rugby community. Such experience shouldn’t be overlooked.
7 Go to commentsGood luck Aussie
11 Go to commentssmith at 9 / mounga 10 / laumape 12 / fainganuku 14
54 Go to commentsBar the injuries, it’s pretty much their top team …
2 Go to commentsDon’t disagree with much of this but it appears you forgot Rodda and Beale, who started at the Force on the weekend.
11 Go to commentsExcept for the injured Zach Gallagher this would be Saders best forward pack for the season. Blackadder needs to stay at 7, for all of Christies tackling he is not dominant and offers very little else. McNicholfullback is maybe a good option, Fihaki not really upto it, there was a reason Burke played there last year. Maybe Havilli to 2nd five McLeod to wing. Need a strong winger on 1 side to compliment Reece
1 Go to commentsTo me TJ is clearly the best 9 in the competition right now but he's also a proven player off the bench, there's few playmaking players who can come off the bench as calm and settled as he is, Beauden can, TJ can and I doubt any of the scrumhalves in contention can, if they want to experiment with new 9s I want him on the bench ready to step in if they crumble under the pressure. The Boks put their best front row on the bench, I'd like to see us take a similar approach, the Hurricanes have been doing similar things with players like Kirifi.
54 Go to commentsROG has better chance to win a WC if he starts training and make himself eligible as a player. He won’t make the Ireland squad but I reckon he may get close with Namibia (needs to improve his Afrikaans) or Portugal. Both sides had 1000:1 odds to win the RWC in 2023 which is an improvement on ROG’s odds of winning a RWC as a coach. Unlike Top 14 teams, national teams can’t go shopping and buy the best players - you work with the available talent pool and turn them into world beaters.
7 Go to commentsthat backline nope that backline is terrible why would you have sevu Reece when he’s not even top 5 wingers in the comp why have Blackadder when there’s better players no Scott barret isn’t an automatic the guy is more of a liability than anything why have him there when you have samipeni who’s far far better
54 Go to commentsAh, good to find you Nick. Agree with everything about Cale. So much to like about his game
55 Go to commentsNot too bad. Questions at 6, lock and HB for me. The ABs will be a lot stronger once Jordan and Roigard return. Also, work needs to be made to secure Frizzell back for next season and maybe also Mo’unga; they’re just wasting time playing in japan
54 Go to commentsOn the title, i wonder for many of those people it is a case something like a belief in working smarter, not harder?
1 Go to commentsForget Sotutu. One of those whose top level is Super Rugby. Id take a punt on Wallace Sititi Finau ahead of Glass body Blackadder.
54 Go to comments