Why this weekend is the best chance Argentina will have at beating the All Blacks
It’s been 34 years since the All Blacks first faced off against the Pumas in Buenos Aires on October 26, 1985.
The All Black emerged victorious 33-20 on that day, and in 28 tests since then, the Argentines are still yet to taste victory against the Kiwis.
This weekend, though, presents arguably the best opportunity Mario Ledesma’s side has at attaining a maiden win over the reigning back-to-back world champions.
A truncated Rugby Championship kicks off this weekend with a highly-anticipated clash between the Springboks and Wallabies in Johannesburg, and following that is the 29th instalment of the growing rivalry between Argentina and New Zealand.
On the face of it, many would favour Steve Hansen’s side to come away from this weekend’s bout with at least four competition points in hand, as they have done every time they’ve encountered the South Americans, and rightly so.
There is little to suggest that the All Blacks will struggle against Argentina, with ‘foundation day’ camps being held throughout the Super Rugby campaign to keep last year’s squad members in shape and up to date with Hansen’s plans.
Furthermore, the All Blacks’ most recent showings in 2018 yielded yet another successful season, even with tight defeats at the hands of South Africa and Ireland – two sides many would normally regard as superior teams to that of Los Pumas.
Add to that another year of Super Rugby where four of New Zealand’s five franchises clinched play-off berths, and the Crusaders emerged as champions for the third time straight, and there is rather compelling evidence to indicate the All Blacks are well equipped to leave Estadio Velez Sarsfeld with another victory under their belt.
This year, however, is different.
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Murmurings continue to grow louder about the slow yet steady rise of Argentinian rugby, with a trickle of successes from the national side against the Springboks and Wallabies since their World Cup semi-final appearance in 2015 helping to enhance their credibility.
But it has been the Jaguares who have really established Argentina as a genuine threat to top tier rugby nations.
Since being admitted into Super Rugby in 2016, the Buenos Aires club have risen steadily up the end-of-season rankings, with the 13th place finish in their inaugural season turning into a 10th place finish, which turned into quarter-final exit last year, and they will go into the 2020 season as the reigning runners-up to the all-conquering Crusaders.
The evolution of the Jaguares is indicative of how their all-Argentine squad has improved and adapted to the rigours of southern hemisphere rugby over the years, and previously underrated players have developed into bona fide stars of the competition.
Pablo Matera, Emiliano Boffelli, Tomas Lavanini, Joaquin Diaz Bonilla, Matias Orlando, Matias Moroni and Guido Petti are all players who played integral roles in the Jagures’ breakthrough year in 2019, as they defeated three of the five Kiwi franchises and topped the South African conference, laying the foundations for a big tilt at the title next year.
That’s something that could not have been said before this year, but it is something that rings true, especially when taking into consideration the squad Hansen has taken with him to South America for Saturday’s clash.
Just three Crusaders – Sevu Reece, Braydon Ennor and George Bridge – have been included in the travelling 30-man squad, making them and Highlanders trio Liam Coltman, Aaron Smith and Josh Ioane the only players within the All Blacks ranks to have defeated the Argentinians this year.
That alone should strike confidence into the Pumas as they prepare for what will be the sternest test they face ahead of this year’s World Cup, as should the inclusions of offshore-based players Nicolas Sanchez, Facundo Isa, Santiago Cordero, Ramiro Herrera and Juan Figallo.
Through that quintet, along with the impressive Jaguares players who make up the bulk of the national team squad, Argentina have a formidable look about them, perhaps the most formidable they’ve looked since joining SANZAAR at the beginning of the decade.
Their squad strength and extensive player development has been reflected in the ever-improving results they have attained year after year, culminating in a Super Rugby final appearance, and with the All Blacks undermanned without eight star Crusaders players, do not be surprised to see the Pumas pounce in a few days’ time.
In other news:
Comments on RugbyPass
It’s not up to Wales to support Georgian Rugby. That’s up to International Rugby and Georgia. I sympathise with Georgia’s decent attempt to create this fixture. But for Wales the proposed match up is just a potential stick to beat them with and a potential big psychological blow that young Welsh team doesn’t need. (I’m Irish BTW.)
2 Go to commentsCale certainly looks great in space, but as you say, he has struggled in contact. At 23 years old, turning 24 this year, he should be close to full physical maturity and yet there exists a considerable gap in the power and physicality required for international rugby. Weight doesn’t automatically equate to power and physicality either. Can he go from a player who’s being physically dominated in Super rugby to physically dominating in international rugby in 1 or 2 years? That’s a big ask but he may end up being a late bloomer.
24 Go to commentsIf rugby wants to remain interesting in the AI era then it will need to work on changing the rules. AI will reduce the tactical advantage of smart game plans, will neutralize primary attacking weapons, and will move rugby from a being a game of inches to a game of millimetres. It will be about sheer athleticism and technique,about avoiding mistakes, and about referees. Many fans will find that boring. The answer is to add creative degrees of freedom to the game. The 50-22 is an example. But we can have fun inventing others, like the right to add more players for X minutes per game, or the equivalent of the 2-point conversion in American football, the ability to call a 12-player scrum, etc. Not saying these are great ideas, but making the point that the more of these alternatives you allow, the less AI will be able to lock down high-probability strategies. This is not because AI does not have the compute power, but because it has more choices and has less data, or less-specific data. That will take time and debate, but big, positive and immediate impact could be in the area of ref/TMO assistance. The technology is easily good enough today to detect forward passes, not-straight lineouts, offside at breakdown/scrum/lineout, obstruction, early/late tackles, and a lot of other things. WR should be ultra aggressive in doing this, as it will really help in an area in which the game is really struggling. In the long run there needs to be substantial creativity applied to the rules. Without that AI (along with all of the pro innovations) will turn rugby into a bash fest.
24 Go to commentsSouth Africa rarely play Ireland and France on these tours. Mostly, England, Scotland and Wales. I wonder why
1 Go to commentsIt was a let’s-see-what-you're-made-of type of a game. The Bulls do look good when the opposition allows them to, but Munster shut them down, and they could not find a way through. Jake should be very worried about their chances in the competition.
2 Go to commentsHats off to Fabian for a very impressive journey to date. Is it as ‘uniquely unlikely’ as Rugby Pass suggests, given Anton Segner’s journey at the Blues?
1 Go to commentsSad that this was not confirmed. When administrators talk about expanding the game they evidently don’t include pathways to the top tier of rugby for teams outside of the old boys club. Rugby deserves better, and certainly Georgia does.
2 Go to commentsLions might take him on if they move on Van Rooyen but I doubt he will want to go back, might consider it a step backwards for himself. Sharks would take him on but if Plumtree goes on to win the challenge cup they will keep him on. Also sharks showing some promising signs recently. Stormers and Bulls are stable and Springboks are already filled up. Quality coach though, interesting to see where he ends up
1 Go to commentsAnd the person responsible for creating a culture of accountability is?
3 Go to commentsMore useless words from Ben Smith -Please get another team to write about. SA really dont need your input, it suck anyway.
264 Go to commentsThis disgraceful episode must result in management and coach team sackings. A new manager with worse results than previous and the coaching staff need to coached. Awful massacre led by donkeys.
1 Go to commentsInteresting article with one glaring mistake. This sentence: “And between the top four nations right now, Ireland, France, South Africa, and New Zealand…” should read: And between the top four nations right now, South Africa, Ireland, New Zealand and France…”. Get it right wistful thinkers, its not that hard.
24 Go to commentsHow did Penny get the gig anyway?
3 Go to commentsNice write up Nick and I would have agreed a week ago. However as you would know Cale & co got absolutely monstered by the Blues back row of Sotutu, Ioane and Papaliti and not all of these 3 are guaranteed a start in the Black jumper. He may need to put some kgs before stepping up, Spring tour? After the week end Joe will be a bit more restless. Will need to pick a mobile tough pack for Wales and hope England does the right thing and bashes the ABs. I like your last paragraph but I would bring Swinton, Hannigan into the 6 role and Bobby V to 8
24 Go to commentsThe Crusaders can still get in to the Play Off’s. The imminent return of outstanding captain Scott Barrett and his All Black team mate Codie Taylor will be a big boost.There are others like Tamaiti Williams too. Two home games coming up. Fellow Crusader fans get there and support these guys. I will be.
2 Go to commentsCant get more Wellington than Proctor.
2 Go to commentsWhy not let the media decide. Like how they choose the head coach. Like most of us we entrust the rugby system to choose. A rugby team includes the coaches. It's collective.
14 Go to commentsHi NIck, I have been very impressed with him and he seems a smart player who can see opportunities which Bobby V _(who must be an international 6_) doesn’t see or have the speed to take advantage of. If he continues to improve and puts on 5kgs then he could be a great 8. He is a bit taller than Keiran Reid at 1.93m and 111 kgs, so his skill set fits his body size and who knows where it will lead. I hope the spate of Achilles tendon issues have been dealt with by the S&C people. It’s been a very long time since Mark Loane and Kefu stood out at 8. The question is will we be able to hold onto him, if he does make it he will be pretty hot property. I disagree with the idea of letting them go to the Northern Hemisphere and then bring them back.
24 Go to commentsBilly Fulton 🤣🤣🤣🤣 garrrmon not even close
14 Go to commentsDoes the AI take into account refs? hahaha Seriously why not have two on field refs to avoid bias?
24 Go to comments