Who’s afraid of the big, bad Wallaby? The answer this weekend is, not the All Blacks.
Despite the usual cork floats of confidence bobbing about in the sea of indifference that constitutes the vast majority of planet rugby in Australia these days, the third and final Bledisloe test in Brisbane is likely to go the way of the other two this season and end with an All Blacks victory.
You can say what you like about how much this test means to Australian rugby and to the players – none more so, perhaps, than Stephen Moore who has been benched for the more dynamic Tatafu Polota-Nau in a move that seems designed to scream ‘sentimentality does not reside here’ – and of course it means a lot to the sport’s governing body and to the 23 men who get to wear that jumper. Ultimately, though, you have to ask yourself: who in that team is going to get the job done?
There is talent in the side, certainly, but where are the real knockout punches in this team? In years gone by names like Horan and Little, and Lynagh and Gregan and Smith filled kiwi hearts with a real sense of dread. Do any of the current Wallabies engender that response from the New Zealand fans, or from the All Blacks themselves? Respect, yes. Fear? No way.
Partly it’s because Australian Super Rugby teams have been points pinatas for the New Zealand for the best part of a decade, give or take a title or two, but more its because the Australians simply don’t have the volume of rugby behind them. I am not talking about this year, I am talking about a generation that has not had the battle hardening of their closest neighbours.
This weekend, while many a mango is deleted at Suncorp, New Zealand’s national provincial championship enters its playoff phase. It is worth noting this because the Mitre 10 Cup is the difference between the two nations, plainly and simply.
Much has been said about the decline of the the championship in light of the rise of Super Rugby and the disconnection between the provinces and the All Blacks, but it remains the best domestic competition in the world for generating skilful, athletic and dynamic players and testing them in a regular season that demands conditioning, intellect and preparation.
There is not an All Black who has not been through the provincial championship ranks at some stage of his career. It is the proving ground for the future international stars. Australia’s fledgling, struggling NRC does not yet come close. When it does, Australian rugby will be back in business.
It may seem a bridge too far to be comparing a semiprofessional league with an international fixture but if this season, and New Zealand’s continuing dominance of the southern hemisphere proves one thing, it is that the Mitre !0 Cup is the crucial link between age group greatness and international readiness.
Look through the All Blacks team this weekend: Kane Hames, Nepo Laulala, Scott Barrett, Liam Squire, Sam Cane, Reiko Ioane and Damian McKenzie will all start on Saturday night. All of them played in the Mitre 10 Cup last year, some have strapped on the sprigs this year. They may have then gone on to Super Rugby and, ultimately to All Blacks selection, but their participation in the provincial championship gave their development structure and direction.
Can the Wallabies say the same about their starting team this weekend? Are they being tested in an ultra-competitive environment away from Cheika’s watch and their super rugby squads? Put simply, do the next wave of Wallabies have the runs on the board at the senior level of the game? The answer it seems is no.
That’s why the All Blacks won’t fear them this weekend, and why the All Blacks will win again. All Blacks are made, the Wallabies are selected. It is a harsh reality for our friends across the ditch, but until the investment is made in a domestic league to really sort the wheat from the chaff, those corks will continue to bob in that ocean of indifference, and the results will be the same.
Comments on RugbyPass
smith at 9 / mounga 10 / laumape 12 / fainganuku 14
36 Go to commentsBar the injuries, it’s pretty much their top team …
2 Go to commentsDon’t disagree with much of this but it appears you forgot Rodda and Beale, who started at the Force on the weekend.
9 Go to commentsExcept for the injured Zach Gallagher this would be Saders best forward pack for the season. Blackadder needs to stay at 7, for all of Christies tackling he is not dominant and offers very little else. McNicholfullback is maybe a good option, Fihaki not really upto it, there was a reason Burke played there last year. Maybe Havilli to 2nd five McLeod to wing. Need a strong winger on 1 side to compliment Reece
1 Go to commentsTo me TJ is clearly the best 9 in the competition right now but he's also a proven player off the bench, there's few playmaking players who can come off the bench as calm and settled as he is, Beauden can, TJ can and I doubt any of the scrumhalves in contention can, if they want to experiment with new 9s I want him on the bench ready to step in if they crumble under the pressure. The Boks put their best front row on the bench, I'd like to see us take a similar approach, the Hurricanes have been doing similar things with players like Kirifi.
36 Go to commentsROG has better chance to win a WC if he starts training and make himself eligible as a player. He won’t make the Ireland squad but I reckon he may get close with Namibia (needs to improve his Afrikaans) or Portugal. Both sides had 1000:1 odds to win the RWC in 2023 which is an improvement on ROG’s odds of winning a RWC as a coach. Unlike Top 14 teams, national teams can’t go shopping and buy the best players - you work with the available talent pool and turn them into world beaters.
2 Go to commentsthat backline nope that backline is terrible why would you have sevu Reece when he’s not even top 5 wingers in the comp why have Blackadder when there’s better players no Scott barret isn’t an automatic the guy is more of a liability than anything why have him there when you have samipeni who’s far far better
36 Go to commentsAh, good to find you Nick. Agree with everything about Cale. So much to like about his game
49 Go to commentsNot too bad. Questions at 6, lock and HB for me. The ABs will be a lot stronger once Jordan and Roigard return. Also, work needs to be made to secure Frizzell back for next season and maybe also Mo’unga; they’re just wasting time playing in japan
36 Go to commentsOn the title, i wonder for many of those people it is a case something like a belief in working smarter, not harder?
1 Go to commentsForget Sotutu. One of those whose top level is Super Rugby. Id take a punt on Wallace Sititi Finau ahead of Glass body Blackadder.
36 Go to commentsI’m a pensioner so I've been around a bit. My opinion of SBW is he is an elite athlete and a great New Zealander and roll model. He has been to the top and knows what he's talking about. To all the negative comments regarding SBW the typical New Zealand way, cut that tall poppy down.
17 Go to commentsI'm not listening to a guy moralise over others when this is the guy who walked out mid season on Canterbury RLFC when he had a contract with them, what a hypocrite. All the Kiwis sticking up for this unprincipled individual because they can't accept justified criticism, he has zero credibility or integrity. Those praising him are a joke.
17 Go to commentsI’d put Finau at 6 instead of Blackadder but that’s the only change I’d make. Can’t wait to see who Razor picks.
36 Go to commentsTamati Williams, Codie Taylor, and Same Cane? Not sure about Hoskins Sotutu at test level. Wasn’t that impressive last season. Need a balance between experience and talent/youth.
36 Go to commentsInteresting insight. Fantastic athlete, and a genuine human being.
17 Go to commentsThey played at night in Suva last weekend and it’s an afternoon game forecast for 19 degrees in Canberra this weekend. Heat change is a non issue.
2 Go to commentsWishing Rosie a speedy recovery
1 Go to commentsObscene that SA haven’t been knocking
1 Go to commentsChances of Blackadder being injured seem too high to give him serious consideration. ABs loosie combination finally looked good with 2 committed to tackling and clearing rucks in the centre and Ardie roaming. Hoskins/Ardie together would force one of them into where they don’t excel and don’t get to use their talent, or require a change in tactics. If we continue to evolve last years systems I would take Papali’i and Finau at 6 and 7 (conceding that Blackadder will be injured) and Ardie at 8.
36 Go to comments