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'They’ve got a chance': All Blacks win gives Springboks hope against France

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Former South Africa back-row and 2007 Rugby World Cup winner Bobby Skinstad believes the All Blacks‘ victory over Ireland on Saturday at the Stade de France will give the Springboks belief that they can do the same against France tonight.

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The All Blacks entered their quarter-final with Ireland as underdogs, with everything suggesting Andy Farrell’s side would win. Ireland are ranked the number one team in the world, they were unbeaten at the World Cup, they had beaten New Zealand the last time the two sides had met and they had won three of their four meetings since the 2019 World Cup. The exact same can apply for France and South Africa- Les Bleus are ranked second in the world, they are unbeaten at this World Cup and they beat the Springboks this time last year.

But speaking after the Ian Foster’s side pulled off a titanic 28-24 win in what he described as “one of the greatest clashes I’ve ever seen,” Skinstad said his compatriots will now think they have a chance of pulling off a similar upset at the same place this evening in the last quarter-final of the weekend.

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New Zealand post-match presser 14-10-2023

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New Zealand post-match presser 14-10-2023

“I think it gives South Africa the thought that maybe they’ve got a chance,” he said. “It’s a team that’s ranked above you, a team that’s playing better than you, but you are able to knock them over on the night.”

The Springboks have already lost this World Cup, as had the All Blacks, and while the former flanker feels Fabien Galthie’s side are playing better than Jacques Nienaber’s, the All Blacks’ performance would have been just the tonic they would have wanted. Moreover, the events of the Springboks’ last meeting with the All Blacks – a record loss for New Zealand in August – compared to their last meeting with Ireland – a victory for Ireland in the pool stages- will give Siya Kolisi’s men more encouragement should they potentially meet them in the final.

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TL 1 hour ago
Joe Schmidt bows out on a high - but can the Wallabies escape 'the twilight zone'?

It’s hard to see how any coach could have done much better and that coaches can only shift the dial so much in Australia, we’ve had some of the best in the world and the trajectory has been the same. The win/loss record is obviously an important metric, but it is only one metric, and not necessarily the best to assess a team that is really still in a building phase (2024 was recovery!). You could look at something like average losing margin, and the trajectory there is much better, with the 2025/2026 results close to half the losing margin in 2024 and during Eddie’s reign (roughly 10, compared to closer to 20). Much has been made of the so called merry-go-round at 10 (really sick of that phrase but here I am using it), but losing Noah, Lygnah and Dono between Fiji and SA games in 2025, and Carter then Dono in 2026 had nothing to do with Joe. He consistently backed his first choices and backed youth at 10 when he could. The injuries led to a massive increase in uncertainty around whether to risk players who weren’t ready or back experience but lose the future benefit. In that situation I think we need to permit our coaches a greater degree of experimentation and error. Much has been made of the LSL situation, but what about how Joe’s selections at lock have led to some real depth of capability there, with players that weren’t as conspicuously impressive (e.g. Williams, Canham). Joe has made his mistakes, but he righted the trend that was heading sharply down, and I suspect that as with what he left in Ireland and as with Stuart Lancaster your old mate, the true test of his time will be what happens in the wake.

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