Saracens to edge epic final - Andy Goode
It’s hard to remember a European Cup final that was so tough to call and with two teams at the height of their powers to such an extent but I’m putting my money on Saracens after extra time.
Brad Barritt being back from his ankle injury is massive for Saracens. Had he not been fit and Nick Tompkins and Alex Lozowski had been coming up against Robbie Henshaw and Garry Ringrose in the centres, you’d probably have given Leinster a significant edge in that department.
It’ll be interesting to see how long he lasts for and if he’s fully fit but his calmness and leadership, as well as his defence, is a massive boost and should help Owen Farrell no end.
The other big selection for me is Will Skelton being picked in the second row and Maro Itoje being shifted to blindside to accommodate him. Mark McCall has gone for all out size and power.
He knows Leinster have a very good set piece and a really strong driving game and I think that selection will help to combat that, as well as offer them a fair bit when they have the ball too.
Saracens’ bench could make the difference as well. They just look to have slightly more strength in depth in their squad for this one and the extra experience they have to bring on later in the game especially could prove pivotal.
I think Jerome Garces is going to have a massive impact on the game and whoever reacts best to the way he’s refereeing, especially at the breakdown and the set piece, stands the best chance of winning the game.
There are mouth-watering match-ups all over the field but the one between Farrell and Johnny Sexton is the biggest of them all and I think whoever can keep their composure best in the cauldron of St James’ Park and a Champions Cup final will come out on top.
They’ve both got moments of brilliance in them but they’ve both got a tipping point as well.
I watched an interview Farrell did with Nick Mullins this week and he seemed to be praising Sexton through gritted teeth. There’s obviously huge respect there but praising his opposite number didn’t seem to come naturally to him.
Leinster’s attack is all built around multiple phases and they’ll have some short-side plays that they’ll attack Saracens with, as well as a few different shapes and tricks in their locker to test a defence that has been dominant throughout the tournament so far.
The kicking game will clearly play a big part as well, with both teams box kicking a lot. Saracens were so dominant in the air in their semi-final against Munster and I don’t think that’ll be the case against Leinster.
The back threes will have a lot of work to do and are quite evenly matched but I think James Lowe is one of the best players in the world at the moment and might just have a moment of magic up his sleeve to change the game.
Whoever wins, it should be an absolute cracker for the neutral. There might not be tries galore and linebreaks being made left, right and centre but the physicality will be incredible, it’ll be a gainline war and that should keep us all entertained.
It’s going to be a hell of a ding-dong but I’m just favouring Saracens because I think their power game might just edge it. The sheer size and power of some of their ball carriers in the forwards if they come wave after wave might just make the difference.
It’s going to be an intriguing battle between the two best sides in Europe by a distance and there’s virtually nothing to choose between them but I’m going for Saracens after they’ve gone toe to toe for 80 minutes, and an extra 20 as well just for good measure.
Comments on RugbyPass
Ben Smith Springboks living rent free in his head 😊😂
67 Go to commentsGood to hear he would like to play the game at the highest level, I hadn’t been to sure how much of a motivator that was before now. Sadly he’s probably chosen the rugby club to go to. Try not to worry about all the input about how you should play rugby Joey and just try to emulate what you do on the league field and have fun. You’ll limit your game too much (well not really because he’s a standard athlete like SBW and he’ll still have enough) if you’re trying to make sure you can recycle the ball back etc. On the other hard, you can totally just try and recycle by looking to offload any and everywhere if you’re going to ground 😋
1 Go to commentsThis just proves that theres always a stat and a metric to use to justify your abilities and your success. Ben did it last week by creating an imaginary competition and now you did the same to counter his argument and espouse a new yardstick for success. Why not just use the current one and lets say the Boks have won 4 world cups making them the most successful world cup team. Outside of the world cup the All Blacks are the most successful team winning countless rugby championships and dominating the rankings with high win percentages. Over the last 4 years statistically the Irish are the best having the highest win rate and also having positive records against every tier 1 side. The most successful Northern team in the game has been England with a world cup title and the most six nations titles in history. The AB’s are the most dominant team in history with the highest win rate and 3 world cups. Lets not try to reinvent the wheel. Just be honest about the actual stats and what each team has been good at doing and that will be enough to define their level of success.
19 Go to commentsHow is 7’s played there? I’m surprised 10 or 11 man rugby hasn’t taken off. 7 just doesn’t fit the 15s dynamics (rules n field etc) but these other versions do.
7 Go to commentsPick Swinton at your peril A liability just like JWH from the Roosters Skelton ??? went missing at RWC
14 Go to commentsLike tennis, who have a ranking system, and I believe rugby too, just measure over each period preceding a world cup event who was the longest number one and that would be it. In tennis the number one player frequently is not the grand slam winner. I love and adore the All Blacks since the days of Ian Kirkpatrick when I was a kid in SA. And still do because they are the masters of running rugby and are gentleman on and off the field - in general. And in my opinion they have been the majority of the time the best rugby team in the world.
19 Go to commentsHaving overseas possessions in 2024 is absurd. These Frenchies should have to give the New Caledonians their freedom.
21 Go to commentsBell injured his foot didn’t he? Bring Tupou in he’ll deliver when it counts. Agree mostly but I would switch in the Reds number 8 Harry Wilson for Swinton and move Rob Valentini to 6 instead. Wilson is a clever player who reads the play, you can’t outmuscle the AB’s and Springboks, if you have any chance it’s by playing clever. Same goes for Paisami, he’s a little guy who doesn’t really trouble the likes of De Allende and Jordie Barrett. I’d rather play Carter Gordon at 12 and put Michael Lynagh’s boy at 10. That way you get a BMT type goalkicker at 10 and a playmaker at 12. Anyways, just my two cents as a Bok supporter.
14 Go to commentsThanks Brett, love your articles which are alway pertinent. It’s a difficult topic trying to have a panel adjudicating consistently penalties for red card issues. Many of the mitigating reasons raised are judged subjectively, hence the different outcomes. How to take away subjective opinions?
7 Go to commentsYes Sir! Surprising, just like Fraser would also have escaped sanction if he was a few inches lower, even if it was by accident that he missed! Has there really been talk about those sanctions or is this just sensational journalism? I stopped reading, so might have missed any notations.
7 Go to commentsAI is only as good as the information put in, the nuances of the sport, what you see out the corner of the eye, how you sum up in a split second the situation, yes the AI is a tool but will not help win games, more likely contribute to a loss, Rugby Players are not robots, all AI can do if offer a solution not the solution. AI will effect many sports, help train better golfers etc.
45 Go to commentsIt couldn’t have been Ryan Crotty. He wasn’t selected in either World Cup side - they chose Money Bill instead. And Money Bill only cared about himself, and that manager he had, not the team.
26 Go to commentsYawn 🥱 nobody would give a hoot about this new trophy. End of the day we just have to beat Ireland and NZ this year then they can finally shut up 🤐
19 Go to commentsTalking bout Ryan Crotty? Heard Crotty say in a interview once that SBW doesen't care about the team . He went on to say that whenever they lost a big game, SBW would be happy as if nothing happened, according to him someone who cares would look down.. Personally I think Crotty is in the wrong, not for feeling gutted but for expecting others 2 be like him… I have been a bad loser forever as it matters so much to me but good on you SBW for being able to see the bigger picture….
26 Go to commentsThis sounds like a WWE idea so Americans can also get excited about rugby, RUGBY NEEDS A INTERNATIONAL CALENDER .. The rugby Championship and Six Nations can be held at same time, top 3 of six nations and top 3 of Rugby championship (6 nations should include Georgia AND another qualifying country while Fiji, Japan and Samoa/Tonga qualifier should make out 6 Southern teams).. Scrap June internationals and year end tours. Have a Elite top six Cup and the Bottom 6 in a secondary comp….
19 Go to commentsThe rugby championship would be even stronger with Fiji in it… I know it doesen’t fit the long term plans of NZ or Aus but you are robbing a whole nation of being able to see their best players play for Fiji…. Every second player in NZ and AUS teams has Fijian surnames… shame on you!!! World rugby won’t step in either as France and England has now also joined in…. I guess where money is involved it will always be the poor countries missing out….
84 Go to commentsNo surprise there. How hard can it be to pick a ball off the ground and chuck it to a mate? 😂
2 Go to commentsSometimes people just like a moan mate!
7 Go to commentsexcellent idea ! rugby needs this 💪
19 Go to comments9 Brumbies! What a joke! The best performing team in Oz! Ditch Skelton for Swain or Neville. Ryan Lonergan ahead of McDermott any day! Best selection bolter is Toole … amazing player
14 Go to comments